ACUS11 KWNS 250011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250011=20
TXZ000-250145-

Mesoscale Discussion 2173
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0711 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025

Areas affected...DFW Vicinity

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629...

Valid 250011Z - 250145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629
continues.

SUMMARY...A linear segment of storms will pose some risk for
damaging/severe winds as well as a brief QLCS tornado or two into
mid evening.

DISCUSSION...A linear segment is moving into parts of North Texas
this evening. This feature produced a 51 kt wind gust in Brownwood.
Though temperatures south of the differential heating boundary have
cooled a degree or two over the last hour, low 80s F inflow remains.
Given the more unstable inflow than storm to the north and modest
increase in 850 mb winds, it is likely this activity continues over
the next couple of hours and approaches the DFW metro. The KFWS VAD
continues to show enlarged low-level hodographs as well as an
improving mid-level wind profile. Damaging/severe gusts as well as
QLCS circulations/tornadoes will be possible into mid evening.

..Wendt.. 10/25/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_SQ0gdA5_ePH6RImHUdzZoeELQXjvxlcVmdqIZhJkSlyvkeoVFrv6vA2JZmh-8Ln9wRWI56A5= AQ-SOcjuPCD8faswp8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...

LAT...LON 31649865 32429880 33019807 33059791 33029750 32819704
32549697 32069762 31649865=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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