• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2174

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Oct 25 02:33:55 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 250233
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 250233=20
    TXZ000-250430-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2174
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0933 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025

    Areas affected...Portions of North/Central Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629...

    Valid 250233Z - 250430Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A mesovortex circulation will be the focus for additional
    severe gusts and perhaps a brief tornado. Severe potential is
    greatest where temperatures remain in the mid 70s F.

    DISCUSSION...The line segment that has passed through parts of the
    DFW metro produced at least one severe gusts in Fort Worth in
    association with a mesovortex circulation. Where temperatures are in
    the mid 70s F (such as the current DAL observation) severe
    potential--including the risk for additional severe gusts and a
    brief tornado--will be greatest. Farther east, both temperatures and
    dewpoints are not nearly as supportive and a steady decline in
    intensity is expected east of the DFW metro.

    ..Wendt.. 10/25/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6ToPj_CYGK7cRuaxx09WWrWiTeU6p-ZtdapSdviOHg4vdfxpUsM6QYC_u0tewYEJssNVzqW5Q= LwAtdsfAKJAtOb3PD8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FWD...

    LAT...LON 32129758 32839745 33069734 33179679 33199667 33039631
    32079643 31699674 31729724 32129758=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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