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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0312

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Mar 31 22:53:08 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 312253
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 312252=20
    OKZ000-TXZ000-010015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0312
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0552 PM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026

    Areas affected...portions of northwestern Texas into western
    Oklahoma

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 81...

    Valid 312252Z - 010015Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 81
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe wind and hail remains possible with ongoing
    multicells and supercells along the TX Panhandle/OK border. Strong
    to potentially severe storms may also develop along the dryline in
    northwestern TX.

    DISCUSSION...Supercells and multicells along the surface cold
    front/dryline intersection persists along the eastern TX panhandle,
    and are moving into western OK. Current MRMS mesh depicts potential
    1-2 inch diameter hail falling from these storms. These cells are
    also overspreading a surface airmass characterized by 30 T/Td
    spreads, suggesting that damaging gusts may also occur as well.
    While the greatest short-term severe potential exists with these
    storms, visible satellite and MRMS mosaic radar data indicates
    intensifying convection along the dryline across northwestern TX. If
    these storms can mature, steep tropospheric lapse rates will promote
    severe gust potential, perhaps accompanied by some hail.

    ..Squitieri.. 03/31/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8zBA_SUq_MT_geYlkQ9JpHdzmBqRPjw3H3AJz0sFPE2jwZaY0gqWMAeMwhtNHCmaRzfsVuFp7= tzhlBeFREjEonOH2iw$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...

    LAT...LON 34100101 35099998 35919926 36139878 36169816 35989780
    35569766 35069772 34319826 33619922 33369985 33350037
    33400078 33480106 34100101=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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