• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1178

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jun 18 10:12:47 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 181012
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 181012=20
    ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-181115-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1178
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0512 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

    Areas affected...Eastern Louisiana...Southern
    Mississippi...Southwest Alabama

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 348...

    Valid 181012Z - 181115Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 348 continues.

    SUMMARY...A tornado threat will likely continue into the mid to late
    morning over parts of eastern Louisiana and southern Mississippi.
    The threat may also impact southwest Alabama. A watch extension or
    replacement watch will be needed.

    DISCUSSION...The remnants of Tropical Cyclone Arthur is currently
    moving inland across the lower Mississippi Valley. On the
    southwestern edge of the system, multiple supercells are ongoing
    that are capable of producing tornadoes. These storms are located
    just to west and north of New Orleans, near the center of a 40 knot
    low-level speed max analyzed by the RAP. In this vicinity, the
    latest WSR-88D VWP to the northwest of Lake Pontchartrain currently
    shows a looped hodograph, with 30 to 40 knots of flow in the lowest
    2 km above ground level. This environment will support a continued
    tornado threat as the system moves slowly north-northeastward this
    morning. Isolated severe wind gusts will also be possible.

    ..Broyles.. 06/18/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5r0_cVbIYdjcECYlbYTFyollBKpqu7dwZSVkdYxZBR4bbK-ToB1SBql6b4qSk3-w2gpyE1XFF= mHEe-nne7GVKxWJP1w$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

    LAT...LON 31169115 31609043 31808961 31858873 31718811 31418771
    31018760 30618771 30358798 29978858 29588976 29569045
    29649104 30019154 30669156 31169115=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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