ACUS11 KWNS 192214
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192214=20
MSZ000-LAZ000-192345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1206
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0514 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Areas affected...portions of eastern Louisiana into central and
southern Mississippi

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 192214Z - 192345Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A couple of damaging gusts are possible this evening with
wet downbursts. The severe threat should remain sparse, so a WW
issuance is not expected.

DISCUSSION...MRMS mosaic radar and satellite imagery, as well as
NLDN lightning data, all show a slight uptick in intensity with
pulse-cellular storms across eastern LA into central and southern
MS. If storms can merge, the very unstable environment (e.g. 3500
J/kg MLCAPE) will encourage the development of water-loaded
downdrafts capable of supporting a couple of damaging gusts. Given
weak vertical wind shear and the potential lack of overall favorable clustering, the severe threat should remain disorganized and sparse,
with no WW issuance currently planned.

..Squitieri/Smith.. 06/19/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5CfxxY9-bOEIaUC8YLt21jH-v90YHlDLY_S2YdQZNMSaf-GST0fg0uLDPeoBxF6rK9CsFbgrM= gZfAqACHa0mS_s-uAY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 31489235 32159175 32629134 32649041 32338964 31658877
31068844 30688845 30458879 30318934 30389016 30499111
30649181 30779215 31489235=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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