ACUS11 KWNS 232046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232045=20
FLZ000-GAZ000-232215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1279
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0345 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Areas affected...portions of north Florida

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 232045Z - 232215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A thunderstorm cluster will develop east/southeast through
the remainder of the afternoon. Occasional gusty winds will be
possible with these storms, though severe risk is expected to be
limited.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms has shown some better organization
recently as it continues to propagate east/southeast. This activity
is occurring within a very moist and unstable airmass. Steep
low-level lapse rates may support occasionally strong/locally
damaging wind gusts until the storms move offshore. Very weak
vertical shear should temper the overall severe risk. A watch is not
expected.

..Leitman/Guyer.. 06/23/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8O5YA2Qa_G7E4PxxTr-ks8kPZuZJKWTughImdcEHd06YYXkGDWqZdxX-iGhrt6pheGoLnEuwQ= 9NgtP9jdjX5rwPFenY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON 30858217 30508121 29748097 29508136 29458209 29598292
29758331 30058345 30318315 30858217=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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