ACUS11 KWNS 232358
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232358=20
KSZ000-COZ000-240100-

Mesoscale Discussion 1284
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0658 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Areas affected...portions of central into eastern Colorado

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385...

Valid 232358Z - 240100Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe hail will remain a concern with ongoing supercells.
A couple of severe gusts could occur as well.

DISCUSSION...Splitting supercells have developed east of I-25, and
are progressing eastward. Regional VADs and 23Z mesoanalysis depict
primarily straight, elongated hodographs over central and eastern
CO, suggesting that severe hail will remain likely with splitting
supercells given 2500+ J/kg MLCAPE. Given 60 kts of effective bulk
shear comprising the straight hodographs, 2.0-3.5 inch diameter hail
remains possible, especially with left-splitting supercells. A
couple of severe gusts or a tornado may also occur.

..Squitieri.. 06/23/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5D01dU9idNPt3_J7fiVS79fuvCGLNsly34q7s4B0T5LQ3WwBPJ8dG0yexCwui_SCf3GdRvWnp= C9-ee2eFE8xJ6DOrhY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON 38780491 39660449 40010372 40100297 39930228 39300202
38570232 38310283 38220350 38280422 38780491=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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