ACUS11 KWNS 240452
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240452=20
COZ000-240545-

Mesoscale Discussion 1289
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1152 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Areas affected...portions of eastern Colorado

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385...

Valid 240452Z - 240545Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe hail risk continues with ongoing supercells,
and this risk should persist for at least a few more hours.

DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells continue to progress across central
and eastern CO, with the strongest storms (and associated greatest
risk for severe hail) ongoing from El Paso to Las Animas Counties.
Up to 3500 J/kg MLCAPE and 60 kts of effective bulk shear precedes
these storms, and strong buoyancy should linger through the early
morning hours given upper 60s F surface dewpoints in place. As such,
the severe hail risk (including a few stones exceeding 2 inches in
diameter) will continue for several more hours, and a few severe
gusts may occur as well. The risk for severe gusts may also increase
if the larger storms in southern CO can merge into an MCS.

..Squitieri.. 06/24/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!89YsxrUvjDBp4UJWl_dV40002Ci40h-NUgr_dMvwGQnia6ESonBGP6UxFQuk9U9N_4SY9hxfU= J5ICuRguLGFZILXqk4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON 37530452 38570481 40120499 40300497 40510411 40470375
40370316 40000262 39450218 38410213 37730217 37370232
37220266 37180358 37250405 37530452=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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