ACUS11 KWNS 240811
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240811=20
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-241115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1290
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0311 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

Areas affected...western Kansas into the Panhandles and northwest
Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 386...

Valid 240811Z - 241115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 386
continues.

SUMMARY...Potential for localized severe hail or wind gusts exists
into western Kansas, and extending southeast of the existing watch
into the northeast Texas Panhandle and far northwest Oklahoma.
Additional watches are not anticipated at this time.

DISCUSSION...Outflow associated with earlier severe storms over
eastern CO is now pushing into southwest KS, and is intersecting a
northwest to southeast oriented line of elevated storms in a zone of
theta-e advection associated with southerly 850 mb winds. VWPs from
AMA to GLD indicate around 15-20 kt out of the south to southeast.

The primary instability axis stretches from southeast CO into
northwest OK, and while SBCIN is increasing, elevated instability
should continue to support areas of new development. New storm cores
may produce hail briefly, and locally damaging gusts may still
occur.=20

At this time it appears the cold pool from southeast CO into
southwest KS may not be sufficient for significant upscale MCS
growth. However, there is non-zero potential, and the area
south/southeast of WW 386 will continue to be monitored this
morning.

..Jewell.. 06/24/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8kegYeT0JxTIiaE3uiqcz3B7EcH4wRn50tN4ssjkBYB7k20R7nUe2PNMvyN5K9S-dKAfS3omZ= g_X_AiWlxdRv_fVRZ8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...

LAT...LON 37190264 37810231 38590231 38940246 39200239 39200175
39010092 38680012 38089928 37729891 37089884 36409908
35839976 35770030 35930119 36420154 36840204 37190264=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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