ACUS11 KWNS 252315
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252315=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-260045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1321
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0615 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Areas affected...portions of the eastern Texas Panhandle into
western Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Watches 392...393...

Valid 252315Z - 260045Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm
Watches 392, 393 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for damaging wind gusts is increasing across
portions of western Oklahoma.

DISCUSSION...Several previously discrete supercells have begun to
cluster/grow upscale across the northeastern Texas Panhandle and far northwestern Oklahoma over the past 30-60 minutes. With dewpoint
depressions of 20-25+ F favoring continued cold pool development and consolidation, expectation is for this activity to continue to
consolidate into a forward-propagating cluster as it progresses east-southeastward into western Oklahoma. Moderate to strong
instability (2000-3000+ J/kg MLCAPE) and around 40 kts of effective
shear will favor a continued severe threat and an attendant increase
in the threat for a swath of damaging wind gusts (some 75+ mph).
Occasional large hail and perhaps a brief tornado will also remain
possible with any stronger embedded cores/supercell structures.

..Chalmers.. 06/25/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-h21IR-7RPiviAjo2CJp3fyOuadMrEmyPPs0TEW_diBVPtBuOPVMwzeGQ-3-iFlYXrKaP1KuJ= 5Zsg6c1mInDvg2LxV4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...

LAT...LON 36260049 36490019 36609974 36639954 36639891 36499846
36229822 35949816 35559822 35269853 35149896 35139947
35190004 35360044 35440063 35700081 35970077 36260049=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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