ACUS11 KWNS 111953
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111952
KYZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-112145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1931
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0252 PM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

Areas affected...southeast Indiana and southwest Ohio into portions
of northern and eastern Kentucky

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568...

Valid 111952Z - 112145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568
continues.

SUMMARY...A corridor of more concentrated damaging wind gusts and
brief tornado potential appears to be developing across the
discussion area.

DISCUSSION...Latest mesoanalysis places the western flank of a
broadly bowing MCS in progress over southeast IN into southwest OH
in close proximity to a warm front slowly advancing east through
portions of northern and eastern KY. There, earlier VWP data from
KILN and current objective analysis indicate a slight enhancement of
low-level shear, which coincides with a favorable shear-cold pool
balance along the leading edge of the convective system. As such,
the potential exists for brief tornadoes, particularly where the MCS
intersects the warm front. Otherwise, the setup appears favorable
for more concentrated damaging wind potential with gusts up to 70-80
mph.

The watch may need to be locally extended across a greater portion
of eastern Kentucky.

..Mead.. 08/11/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-T7YGEV_FClGYPpkKR85C7KKJ3CKzQh2AP9JWFvelgq7YMrkwyUOJfVh084-EOBfC-2iQxKw9tRAECdnZt9OpAA9bC8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

LAT...LON 38568492 38958534 39208536 39388507 39568477 39718443
39698401 38848333 38068260 37538252 37248283 37238312
37598372 38568492

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)