• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0491

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Apr 19 04:09:26 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 190409
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 190408=20
    KYZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-190615-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0491
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1108 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

    Areas affected...Parts of southeast IN...northern KY...far southwest
    OH

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 129...

    Valid 190408Z - 190615Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 129
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The damaging-wind threat continues, but should become
    increasingly isolated with time.

    DISCUSSION...A well-organized QLCS is moving quickly across southern
    IN and northern KY late tonight, with recent observed wind gusts of
    35-45 kt. While some weakening has been noted compared to earlier
    this evening, convection is still keeping pace with the gust front
    along the north-south oriented portion of the QLCS, and some
    damaging-wind threat will near the edge of WW 129 by 05 UTC.
    However, downstream instability is quite weak, and convective
    intensity should continue to generally weaken with time, resulting
    in an increasingly isolated/marginal severe threat into the early
    overnight hours. As a result, while local watch extension of WW 129
    may need to be considered (depending on observational trends),
    downstream watch issuance is currently considered unlikely.

    ..Dean/Guyer.. 04/19/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!97IvCURIT5oWpQDvoBEDY40V7kGbrLAbh5fmIiRY2xx-By_I1Puss_AVU__SNRK6NnugYnU5K= A3aZ-meopck-mnoBo8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...

    LAT...LON 39458582 39478479 39328441 38478443 37858485 37598530
    37558585 37548626 37658657 38078638 38368614 38718595
    39458582=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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