ACUS11 KWNS 300235
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300235=20
TXZ000-300400-

Mesoscale Discussion 0289
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0935 PM CDT Sat Mar 29 2025

Areas affected...Portions of north-central Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67...

Valid 300235Z - 300400Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67
continues.

SUMMARY...The risk of large hail and severe wind gusts may be
increasing across portions of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67.

DISCUSSION...The latest radar data indicates a recent
intensification of thunderstorms in central Texas, including a
supercell cluster tracking eastward into southern Erath County.
These storms are intercepting richer boundary-layer moisture
(lower/middle 60s F dewpoints) beneath steep midlevel lapse rates
(sampled by 00Z FWD sounding). Despite increased inhibition at the
base of the EML, the favorable buoyancy and 40-50 kt of 0-6 km shear
(with ample low-level hodograph curvature) will support the
maintenance and or slight intensification of these storms over the
next hour or so. Large hail (up to around 2-2.5 inches in diameter)
and severe wind gusts up to 70 mph are the primary concerns. With
time, gradual upscale growth and a strengthening/consolidating cold
pool may favor more severe wind.

..Weinman.. 03/30/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5tIiOwxEiu73aa8kApFoBbvx2-Gux1LnOSJmXqbrE5IozX8q7MEJ99t1boIOLqSNseUHg9nyI= rdeoxagC0U06iIgyE8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...

LAT...LON 31549891 31979859 32609799 32689761 32639724 32429707
31839716 31439744 31189791 31179847 31349884 31549891=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)