1. Forum
  2. Fidonet
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0292

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Mar 30 04:59:52 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 300459
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 300458=20
    TXZ000-OKZ000-300700-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0292
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1158 PM CDT Sat Mar 29 2025

    Areas affected...Northeast Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67...

    Valid 300458Z - 300700Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A severe threat is likely continue for a couple more hours
    across parts of northeast Texas. Isolated large hail and severe wind
    gusts will be the primary threats. Although a local watch extension
    will be possible, weather watch issuance appears unlikely to the
    east of the current watch.

    DISCUSSION...The latest WSR-88D imagery from Fort Worth shows a line
    of severe storms extending from near the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex
    southward to just north of Waco. This line is located along the
    eastern edge of a corridor of moderate instability, where the RAP is
    analyzing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2000 J/kg range. In addition, the
    Fort Worth WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear around 40 knots with some
    directional shear in the lowest 1 km AGL. This will likely continue
    to support a severe potential with supercells embedded in the line.
    Isolated large hail and severe wind gusts will be the primary
    threats. The severe threat is expected to persist for a couple more
    hours, but may become more isolated with time as instability begins
    to weaken across the region.

    ..Broyles.. 03/30/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8i0Hl18_mZ1O5VTH87_SdtEdowmlwlqFYABoVhSDAHDcM5y72SQ2IIm1UmGpN4OTKoczkKWiG= MMqlPCI97ssa11GL0U$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...OUN...

    LAT...LON 33839636 32739713 31919782 31439781 31239743 31229663
    31679599 33049530 33829519 33839636=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)