ACUS11 KWNS 012055
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012054=20
CAZ000-012300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0337
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0354 PM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025

Areas affected...Portions of Sacramento/San Joaquin Valleys

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 012054Z - 012300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A couple stronger thunderstorms may exhibit low-level
rotation. A brief tornado or strong wind gust is possible.

DISCUSSION...Channeled southeasterly winds within the Valley have
allowed very modest low-level SRH to develop. With a shortwave
trough passing over the area, a couple of thunderstorms have
developed this afternoon. Very weak low-level rotation was noted in
a storm on KDAX velocity data. Given weak buoyancy, storms are not
expected to be overly strong or long lasting. The wind profile may
allow for marginally organized convection. A brief tornado or strong
wind gust is possible.

..Wendt/Smith.. 04/01/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5eIxM-5iKBZT2c0tR6H3yliIHdPpzAlASLDo2R3_9m_KvxBEo1-_RfEAtUMymyGfxbaZXlwvt= JHc_Jrxs3FXpBeRvhs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...STO...MTR...

LAT...LON 40182250 40752246 40902218 39772122 38632057 38042038
37632089 37862151 38242181 40182250=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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