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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0350

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Apr 2 12:18:01 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 021217
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 021217=20
    MOZ000-ILZ000-021415-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0350
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0717 AM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025

    Areas affected...portions of western to east-central MO

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 94...96...

    Valid 021217Z - 021415Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 94, 96 continues.

    SUMMARY...Strong/damaging gusts and a couple of tornadoes remain
    possible across WW 94 and 96 over west-central MO. A downstream
    watch may be needed later this morning, though timing is uncertain.

    DISCUSSION...Strong to severe thunderstorms continue near a surface
    cold front across western MO this morning. Boundary layer moistening
    is slowly occurring as an intense low-level jet streams over the
    area, contributing to enlarged, looping hodographs. Some rotation
    has been noted amid the somewhat messy storm mode early this
    morning. Capping and weaker instability with eastward extent likely
    is tempering severe potential somewhat, but isolated strong gusts, a
    couple of tornadoes and sporadic large hail remain possible. This
    convection will continue to propagate eastward through the morning
    and some potential for a downstream watch into east-central MO
    exists. However, timing is uncertain as destabilization is expected
    to be more modest across eastern MO through the morning hours.
    Trends will continue to be monitored.

    ..Leitman/Gleason.. 04/02/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9A2ZJS0hMKqwky00mw1CmJDU2T_Fm9DYlN3Kx1XQfk_3P0d0NVr9yqh17OWO2CbjQ7dx37UN5= g55Wb5PDDHX36JP2x4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...

    LAT...LON 37939104 37849188 37919307 38159412 38449427 38779406
    39179347 39429184 39299092 38789054 38249070 37939104=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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