• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1551

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jul 3 19:21:56 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 031920
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 031920=20
    MEZ000-NHZ000-032115-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1551
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0220 PM CDT Thu Jul 03 2025

    Areas affected...southern ME and NH

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 483...

    Valid 031920Z - 032115Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 483
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Limited threat for strong storms is anticipated into early
    evening within WW 483, mainly across NH and southern ME.

    DISCUSSION...Overall strong to severe storm activity has diminished
    into peak heating. Outflow from leading convection outpaced deeper
    convective cores and has mitigated a more substantial damaging wind
    threat. Locally strong gusts remain possible across the remainder of
    Downeast ME that has yet to overturn. The upstream round of
    convection from southern VT to far western ME has struggled to
    appreciably intensify despite ongoing airmass recovery to its south
    over most of NH into far southern ME. It is plausible that
    convection may still increase along this outflow with a risk of
    locally strong gusts. Farther north in ME, surface temperatures in
    the mid 60s to low 70s appear unlikely to support an increased
    damaging wind threat prior to 22Z watch expiration.

    ..Grams.. 07/03/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!733bJCSu0bfbx6-f15bZCanOmWgBVYE4KiEcRyApHnpekz8Oy0C5TyKdU8DSM3vA8W_d5lUp9= SgDktDGQb4PYD48elY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

    LAT...LON 45616740 45126707 44606763 43976995 43197179 43297224
    43587221 44297156 45447058 45706917 45616740=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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