018=20
AXNT20 KNHC 020543
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Sep 2 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0505 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning E of 35W: A tight pressure gradient between a 1029=20
mb high pressure system south of the Azores and lower pressure=20
over NW Africa will continue to support strong to gale-force N-NE=20
winds and rough to very rough seas in the Agadir region through at
least 02/0900 UTC. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas will=20
persist off Morocco into early Wed. For more details, refer to the
Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!461ij1Cl2jZM-= qm57NR5AV-pGcsAIafMIAP9cAWr6zh2QZwBiWtiBeDpYzsjAnUxI5xGMN8i8sm5x1RDZwxo2bSt= V60$=20

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 22W, south of 18N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. The broad disturbance is producing scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection from 04N to 18N and east=20
of 40W. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual=20
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form=20
by the middle or latter part of this week. This system is expected
to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across=20
the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the week.=20
There is a low chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48
hours, and a medium chance of formation in the next 7 days. Refer
to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__h= ttp://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!461ij1Cl2jZM-qm57NR5AV-pGcsAIafMIAP9cAW= r6zh2QZwBiWtiBeDpYzsjAnUxI5xGMN8i8sm5x1RDZwxoXOwW80I$=20=20
for more details.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward at 10-15 kt. The wave is embedded in a dry Saharan
airmass that is suppressing the development of showers and
thunderstorms near the wave axis.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Isolated moderate convection is=20
present south of 15N and west of 78W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues to 10N27W to 10N42W. The=20
ITCZ extends from 10N42W to 10N46W and then from 10N52W to 11N61W.
Isolated moderate convection is noted within 120 nm on both sides
of the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends from near Naples, Florida to south=20
Texas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is=20
occurring within 120 nm of the front. The strongest convection is=20
noted in the SE Gulf and Florida Straits. Similar convection is=20
evident in the eastern Bay of Campeche. The moderate pressure=20
gradient between the ridge to the north and low pressure over=20
southern Florida result in moderate easterly winds and seas of 2-4
ft in the NE Gulf. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight=20
seas prevail. However, mariners navigating near strong storms can=20
expect gusty winds and higher seas.
=20=20
For the forecast, the front will remain stationary while=20
it gradually dissipates through Tue. The front will be a focus=20
for showers and thunderstorms for the north-central and southeast
Gulf into mid-week. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place will=20
maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally=20
moderate seas through Sat night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A stationary front across of southern Florida and divergence aloft
continue to support scattered showers across Cuba and the
nearshore waters in the NW Caribbean. Similar convection is seen
in Hispaniola and moving into the Gulf of Gonave. Generally drier
conditions are seen in the rest of the basin.

The subtropical ridge north of the islands is forcing fresh to
locally strong easterly trade winds in the south-central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 4-7 ft. Moderate to locally
fresh easterly breezes and slight to moderate seas are present in
the north-central, eastern Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving into eastern Honduras and
Nicaragua will move west of the basin through early Tue.
Elsewhere, Atlantic high pressure building behind the tropical
wave and in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia
will support moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
across much of the central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to
occasionally strong winds are expected to pulse at night off
Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela. In addition, moderate to
fresh winds will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through the
forecast period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section for details on the Gale
Warning in the Agadir region issued by Meteo-France.

A stationary front extends from near 31N72W to a 1009 mb low pres
just off Port Saint Lucie, Florida. Numerous showers and isolated
thunderstorm are evident on satellite imagery over much of the SW
North Atlantic, especially west of 70W. The pressure gradient
between the ridge over the eastern United States and the
aforementioned low pressure sustain fresh to locally strong=20
easterly winds and moderate to locally rough seas north of the=20
front and west of 77W.

Farther east, a surface trough from 24N to 29N and along 51W
continues to generate scattered showers near the trough axis. The
remainder of the basin is dominated by a 1029 mb high pressure
system south of the Azores. The pressure gradient between this
ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics result in moderate
to strong NE-E winds north of the monsoon trough and east of 50W.
Moderate to rough seas are occurring in these waters. The strongest
winds and highest seas are found east of 20W. Moderate to fresh SW
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are present south of the monsoon trough
and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to=20
moderate seas are prevalent.
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will persist through Thu.
Expect moderate to fresh NE winds with moderate seas north of the
front tonight through Tue morning. Scattered showers and=20
thunderstorms associated with this frontal boundary will affect=20
the Florida seaboard, and the northern and central Bahamas through
Fri. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will dominate the pattern from
the central Atlantic through the Bahamas, supporting gentle to=20
moderate breezes and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
Delgado

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

017=20
AXNT20 KNHC 020543
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Sep 2 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0505 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning E of 35W: A tight pressure gradient between a 1029=20
mb high pressure system south of the Azores and lower pressure=20
over NW Africa will continue to support strong to gale-force N-NE=20
winds and rough to very rough seas in the Agadir region through at
least 02/0900 UTC. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas will=20
persist off Morocco into early Wed. For more details, refer to the
Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!73BguOI4xzHZt= SSvUpYAGmoW6JDYVnnkoxq9sTwM6mu588HWQdwBSqn9I8djnZ8JTAJ4RycLO8d9J9MZeZIbB6Q9= c6E$=20

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 22W, south of 18N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. The broad disturbance is producing scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection from 04N to 18N and east=20
of 40W. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual=20
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form=20
by the middle or latter part of this week. This system is expected
to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across=20
the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the week.=20
There is a low chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48
hours, and a medium chance of formation in the next 7 days. Refer
to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__h= ttp://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!73BguOI4xzHZtSSvUpYAGmoW6JDYVnnkoxq9sTw= M6mu588HWQdwBSqn9I8djnZ8JTAJ4RycLO8d9J9MZeZIbaP9LD94$=20=20
for more details.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward at 10-15 kt. The wave is embedded in a dry Saharan
airmass that is suppressing the development of showers and
thunderstorms near the wave axis.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Isolated moderate convection is=20
present south of 15N and west of 78W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues to 10N27W to 10N42W. The=20
ITCZ extends from 10N42W to 10N46W and then from 10N52W to 11N61W.
Isolated moderate convection is noted within 120 nm on both sides
of the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends from near Naples, Florida to south=20
Texas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is=20
occurring within 120 nm of the front. The strongest convection is=20
noted in the SE Gulf and Florida Straits. Similar convection is=20
evident in the eastern Bay of Campeche. The moderate pressure=20
gradient between the ridge to the north and low pressure over=20
southern Florida result in moderate easterly winds and seas of 2-4
ft in the NE Gulf. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight=20
seas prevail. However, mariners navigating near strong storms can=20
expect gusty winds and higher seas.
=20=20
For the forecast, the front will remain stationary while=20
it gradually dissipates through Tue. The front will be a focus=20
for showers and thunderstorms for the north-central and southeast
Gulf into mid-week. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place will=20
maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally=20
moderate seas through Sat night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A stationary front across of southern Florida and divergence aloft
continue to support scattered showers across Cuba and the
nearshore waters in the NW Caribbean. Similar convection is seen
in Hispaniola and moving into the Gulf of Gonave. Generally drier
conditions are seen in the rest of the basin.

The subtropical ridge north of the islands is forcing fresh to
locally strong easterly trade winds in the south-central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 4-7 ft. Moderate to locally
fresh easterly breezes and slight to moderate seas are present in
the north-central, eastern Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving into eastern Honduras and
Nicaragua will move west of the basin through early Tue.
Elsewhere, Atlantic high pressure building behind the tropical
wave and in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia
will support moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
across much of the central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to
occasionally strong winds are expected to pulse at night off
Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela. In addition, moderate to
fresh winds will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through the
forecast period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section for details on the Gale
Warning in the Agadir region issued by Meteo-France.

A stationary front extends from near 31N72W to a 1009 mb low pres
just off Port Saint Lucie, Florida. Numerous showers and isolated
thunderstorm are evident on satellite imagery over much of the SW
North Atlantic, especially west of 70W. The pressure gradient
between the ridge over the eastern United States and the
aforementioned low pressure sustain fresh to locally strong=20
easterly winds and moderate to locally rough seas north of the=20
front and west of 77W.

Farther east, a surface trough from 24N to 29N and along 51W
continues to generate scattered showers near the trough axis. The
remainder of the basin is dominated by a 1029 mb high pressure
system south of the Azores. The pressure gradient between this
ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics result in moderate
to strong NE-E winds north of the monsoon trough and east of 50W.
Moderate to rough seas are occurring in these waters. The strongest
winds and highest seas are found east of 20W. Moderate to fresh SW
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are present south of the monsoon trough
and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to=20
moderate seas are prevalent.
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will persist through Thu.
Expect moderate to fresh NE winds with moderate seas north of the
front tonight through Tue morning. Scattered showers and=20
thunderstorms associated with this frontal boundary will affect=20
the Florida seaboard, and the northern and central Bahamas through
Fri. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will dominate the pattern from
the central Atlantic through the Bahamas, supporting gentle to=20
moderate breezes and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
Delgado

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

044=20
AXNT20 KNHC 040551
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Sep 4 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 34W from 19N southward,
several hundred nautical miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. It is moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is seen from 12N to 15N between 30W and 34W.
Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this
system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form late this week or this weekend over the eastern or
central tropical Atlantic. There is a medium chance of formation=20
within the next 2 days, and a high chance within the next 7 days.=20
Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-WY_iAIQIp= kf0g2qCN3SPpd4qFdJgVf88lv4SeiMt8WrzTrIh0MpmxzHUzF6mJGh8vDO_v2UHimxrlwD2QKfo= SEsOlM$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave.

A tropical wave just east of the Lesser Antilles is near 59W from
21N southward, and moving west around 10 kt. Very dry air at low=20
to mid levels are hindering any significant convection.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Senegal=20
near Dakar, then extends west-southwestward across 12N30W to=20
near 09N45W. An ITCZ continues from 09N45W to north of Suriname=20
at 07N56W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is=20
noted near and south of the monsoon trough from 07N to 13N between
the coast of Guinea-Sirre Leon and 29W. Farther west, similar=20
convection is present up to 140 nm along either side of monsoon=20
trough and ITCZ between 38W and 48W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered heavy showers and isolated strong thunderstorms across
the Caribbean waters near Costa Rica, Panama and northwestern
Colombia.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A frontal trough curves westward from near Key Largo, Florida
through a 1009 nm low near 26N88W to near 24N94W at the west-
central Gulf. Scattered moderate convection is occurring across
the Florida Straits, including the Florida Keys. Gentle to=20
moderate E to SE winds are seen over the northeastern Gulf, while
light to gentle winds dominate the rest of the Gulf. Seas of 1 to 3
ft prevail for the entire Gulf.
=20=20
For the forecast, the frontal trough is likely to persist over the
east-central Gulf through Sat. This feature will continue to=20
generate scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms,
mainly across the eastern part of the Gulf. A cold front is=20
forecast to enter the northern Gulf waters on Sun, becoming=20
stationary early next week. A slight increase in winds and seas is
expected behind this boundary. Elsewhere, a weak pressure=20
gradient in place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with=20
slight to locally moderate seas through early next week.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A 1015 mb high is located at the lee of Cuba, while an upper-level
trough is over Hispaniola and the central basin. Modest=20
convergent surface winds over the eastern half of the high are=20
being enhanced by divergent flow near the upper trough, resulting=20
in scattered showers and isolated strong thunderstorms across=20
eastern Cuba, Jamaica nearby waters, including the Windward=20
Passage. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional=20
convection in the Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh ENE to ESE=20
winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are present at the south-central=20
basin, and Gulf of Honduras. Light to gentle winds with 1 to 3 ft=20
seas are noted at the northwestern basin and near the Windward=20
Passage, except locally stronger winds and higher seas near=20
showers and thunderstorms. Gentle to moderate ENE to ESE winds and
seas at 2 to 4 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the subtropical ridge extending southwestward
from the central Atlantic to the northwestern basin will combined
with lower pressures in northern Colombia to support moderate to=20
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central basin through Sat. Fresh to locally strong winds are=20
expected to pulse at night off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela=20
through Fri night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E winds=20
and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras=20
through Sat night.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section at the beginning about
the potential development of a tropical depression in the eastern
and central Atlantic.

A stationary front extends southwestward from a 1010 mb low=20
off the Georgia/south Carolina coast at 33N72W across 31N73W to=20
near Key Largo, Florida. Convergent winds near and south of this
boundary are causing scattered moderate to isolated strong=20
convection from 20N to 28N between 72W and 80W, including the=20
Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands and the Great Bahama Bank.
Farther east, an upper-level low near 25N59W and its related
surface troughs are generating scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection from 22N to 27N between 53W and 60W. Refer to
the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections for additional
convection in the Atlantic Basin.

Mainly gentle W to NW to NE winds with seas at 2 to 5 ft are
evident west of the stationary front. For the western and central
Atlantic north of 10N between 35W and the stationary front,
moderate with locally fresh NE to SE to S winds and 4 to 6 ft seas
are present. For the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W,
gentle to moderate SE to SW winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft in mixed
moderate swells prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will persist
through the weekend but also shift slightly westward as the=20
Atlantic high pressure westward. Moderate to fresh southerly=20
winds are expected ahead of the boundary through late Thu. Unsettled
weather is expected to conditions will continue south and east of
the front, including Cuba over the next few days. Stronger winds=20
and higher seas are likely near heavy showers and strong thunderstorms. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue to dominate the=20
weather pattern across the western Atlantic, supporting gentle to
moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$

Chan

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

060=20
AXNT20 KNHC 040551
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Sep 4 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 34W from 19N southward,
several hundred nautical miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. It is moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is seen from 12N to 15N between 30W and 34W.
Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this
system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form late this week or this weekend over the eastern or
central tropical Atlantic. There is a medium chance of formation=20
within the next 2 days, and a high chance within the next 7 days.=20
Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!43yHqQkMN7= BJUATbBPhbZCd1FJdnq6ejoxd796X-hdjI6RbSxPW3_kBXWbpCGZmu3fH-bDWghhkgyrbWlPC5s= t0kP2Q$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave.

A tropical wave just east of the Lesser Antilles is near 59W from
21N southward, and moving west around 10 kt. Very dry air at low=20
to mid levels are hindering any significant convection.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Senegal=20
near Dakar, then extends west-southwestward across 12N30W to=20
near 09N45W. An ITCZ continues from 09N45W to north of Suriname=20
at 07N56W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is=20
noted near and south of the monsoon trough from 07N to 13N between
the coast of Guinea-Sirre Leon and 29W. Farther west, similar=20
convection is present up to 140 nm along either side of monsoon=20
trough and ITCZ between 38W and 48W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered heavy showers and isolated strong thunderstorms across
the Caribbean waters near Costa Rica, Panama and northwestern
Colombia.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A frontal trough curves westward from near Key Largo, Florida
through a 1009 nm low near 26N88W to near 24N94W at the west-
central Gulf. Scattered moderate convection is occurring across
the Florida Straits, including the Florida Keys. Gentle to=20
moderate E to SE winds are seen over the northeastern Gulf, while
light to gentle winds dominate the rest of the Gulf. Seas of 1 to 3
ft prevail for the entire Gulf.
=20=20
For the forecast, the frontal trough is likely to persist over the
east-central Gulf through Sat. This feature will continue to=20
generate scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms,
mainly across the eastern part of the Gulf. A cold front is=20
forecast to enter the northern Gulf waters on Sun, becoming=20
stationary early next week. A slight increase in winds and seas is
expected behind this boundary. Elsewhere, a weak pressure=20
gradient in place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with=20
slight to locally moderate seas through early next week.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A 1015 mb high is located at the lee of Cuba, while an upper-level
trough is over Hispaniola and the central basin. Modest=20
convergent surface winds over the eastern half of the high are=20
being enhanced by divergent flow near the upper trough, resulting=20
in scattered showers and isolated strong thunderstorms across=20
eastern Cuba, Jamaica nearby waters, including the Windward=20
Passage. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional=20
convection in the Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh ENE to ESE=20
winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are present at the south-central=20
basin, and Gulf of Honduras. Light to gentle winds with 1 to 3 ft=20
seas are noted at the northwestern basin and near the Windward=20
Passage, except locally stronger winds and higher seas near=20
showers and thunderstorms. Gentle to moderate ENE to ESE winds and
seas at 2 to 4 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the subtropical ridge extending southwestward
from the central Atlantic to the northwestern basin will combined
with lower pressures in northern Colombia to support moderate to=20
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central basin through Sat. Fresh to locally strong winds are=20
expected to pulse at night off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela=20
through Fri night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E winds=20
and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras=20
through Sat night.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section at the beginning about
the potential development of a tropical depression in the eastern
and central Atlantic.

A stationary front extends southwestward from a 1010 mb low=20
off the Georgia/south Carolina coast at 33N72W across 31N73W to=20
near Key Largo, Florida. Convergent winds near and south of this
boundary are causing scattered moderate to isolated strong=20
convection from 20N to 28N between 72W and 80W, including the=20
Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands and the Great Bahama Bank.
Farther east, an upper-level low near 25N59W and its related
surface troughs are generating scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection from 22N to 27N between 53W and 60W. Refer to
the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections for additional
convection in the Atlantic Basin.

Mainly gentle W to NW to NE winds with seas at 2 to 5 ft are
evident west of the stationary front. For the western and central
Atlantic north of 10N between 35W and the stationary front,
moderate with locally fresh NE to SE to S winds and 4 to 6 ft seas
are present. For the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W,
gentle to moderate SE to SW winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft in mixed
moderate swells prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will persist
through the weekend but also shift slightly westward as the=20
Atlantic high pressure westward. Moderate to fresh southerly=20
winds are expected ahead of the boundary through late Thu. Unsettled
weather is expected to conditions will continue south and east of
the front, including Cuba over the next few days. Stronger winds=20
and higher seas are likely near heavy showers and strong thunderstorms. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue to dominate the=20
weather pattern across the western Atlantic, supporting gentle to
moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$

Chan

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

283=20
AXNT20 KNHC 041510
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Sep 4 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 36W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 12N to 14N and between 30W and 35W. Environmental=20
conditions are conducive for development of this system during the
next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form=20
late this week or this weekend over the eastern or central=20
tropical Atlantic. There is a medium chance of formation within=20
the next 2 days, and a high chance within the next 7 days. Refer=20
to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__h= ttp://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9-4qhq79_rC22Y-74AYom2Ik-3rzp7x-30qpRhG= xcJjjme06IA9dAx2juwjai8h_QhLfB1nA8QoDIzNdFhQXH7yOSxw$=20=20
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 62W south of 21N, and
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
active from 12N to 14N between 62W and 64W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 1011 mb low
pressure near 12N33W, then westward to near 09N45W. An ITCZ=20
extends from 09N45W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate convection is=20
present from 06N to 09N between 15W and 25W, and 08N to 11N=20
between 42W and 47W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A frontal trough extends from the Florida Keys to 1009 mb low
pressure in the east-central Gulf near 27N86W to 24N93W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms cover much of the eastern Gulf to the
south of the trough. Moderate E winds and 3 to 4 ft seas are
evident across the southeast Gulf, south of the low pressure.
Light to gentle to breezes and slight seas are noted elsewhere.=20
=20=20
For the forecast, the frontal trough will persist over the east-central=20
Gulf through Sat and continue to generate scattered to numerous=20
showers and isolated thunderstorms, mainly across the eastern part
of the basin. A cold front is forecast to enter the northern Gulf
waters on Sun, becoming stationary early next week. Winds and=20
seas will increase in the NE Gulf behind the front, especially by=20
the middle of next week. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in=20
place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the forecast period.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...
In addition to the scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of=20
the tropical wave in the southeast Caribbean west of the Windward
Islands, scattered convection is also ongoing over the far
southwest Caribbean off Panama and Costa Rica associated with
convergent low level trade wind flow north of the monsoon trough.
Farther north, a small cluster of thunderstorms is active off
southeast Cuba in the Gulf of Guacanayabo related divergent flow
aloft and local morning land breeze convergence. Moderate trade
convergence and 3 to 5 ft seas cover much of the eastern and
central Caribbean, except for fresh trade winds and 5 to 7 ft seas
off Colombia. Light to gentle breezes and 1 to 3 ft seas are
observed over the northwest Caribbean.

For the forecast, the subtropical ridge will continue to force=20
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas=20
across much of the central Caribbean through early Sun. Fresh to=20
locally strong winds are expected to pulse off Colombia and the=20
Gulf of Venezuela at night through Fri night. In addition,=20
moderate to locally fresh E winds and slight to moderate seas will
prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through Sat night. A tropical=20
wave will move into the eastern Caribbean today, continue westward
into the central Caribbean this weekend and across the western=20
Caribbean early next week. Convection associated with this=20
tropical wave is currently limited.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about the potential=20
development of a tropical depression in the eastern and central=20
Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from 1009 mb low pressure over the
north-central Atlantic near 46N37W, to off the eastern seaboard of
the United States, then across the northern Bahamas and South=20
Florida and into the far southeast Gulf of America. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are active with 90 nm east of the front
south of 31N. Farther east, a cold-core mid to upper level low is
centered near 24N60W, supporting scattered showers and=20
thunderstorms within a 240 nm radius. An associated surface trough
extends from 27N55W to 24N59W. As discussed in the Special
Features section above, a 1011 mb low pressure is analyzed near=20
12N133W, close to where a tropical wave is interacting with the
monsoon trough. A recent scatterometer satellite pass indicated
fresh winds within 90 nm of this low pressure center. Broad
ridging dominates the remainder of the subtropical Atlantic north
of 25N, anchored by 1027 mb high pressure centered near 34N40W.
This pattern is supporting generally moderate winds and seas
elsewhere across the basin, except for fresh to strong NE winds
and locally rough seas off northwest Africa.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, the frontal boundary will persist
east of Florida through the weekend, but will drift westward as=20
the Atlantic high pressure moves also westward over the next few=20
days. Moderate to fresh S winds are expected ahead of the boundary
through late today. Scattered to numerous showers and=20
thunderstorms E of the front are affecting the NW Bahamas, South=20
Florida, the Straits of Florida and Cuba. Unsettled weather=20
conditions will continue ahead of the front over the next few=20
days. Stronger winds and higher seas are likely near=20
thunderstorms. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue to=20
dominate the weather pattern across the forecast waters,=20
supporting gentle to moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
Christensen

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

411=20
AXNT20 KNHC 041510
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Sep 4 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 36W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 12N to 14N and between 30W and 35W. Environmental=20
conditions are conducive for development of this system during the
next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form=20
late this week or this weekend over the eastern or central=20
tropical Atlantic. There is a medium chance of formation within=20
the next 2 days, and a high chance within the next 7 days. Refer=20
to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__h= ttp://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9i2_xFzmEeyRNes2EIPPN_7TVmHSEejAb2sJWKF= 9X3SSuNtWp7Zm-v7tRM2poVlKdzUnTe1ihfcOAxxab9tbtAR4keg$=20=20
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 62W south of 21N, and
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
active from 12N to 14N between 62W and 64W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 1011 mb low
pressure near 12N33W, then westward to near 09N45W. An ITCZ=20
extends from 09N45W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate convection is=20
present from 06N to 09N between 15W and 25W, and 08N to 11N=20
between 42W and 47W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A frontal trough extends from the Florida Keys to 1009 mb low
pressure in the east-central Gulf near 27N86W to 24N93W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms cover much of the eastern Gulf to the
south of the trough. Moderate E winds and 3 to 4 ft seas are
evident across the southeast Gulf, south of the low pressure.
Light to gentle to breezes and slight seas are noted elsewhere.=20
=20=20
For the forecast, the frontal trough will persist over the east-central=20
Gulf through Sat and continue to generate scattered to numerous=20
showers and isolated thunderstorms, mainly across the eastern part
of the basin. A cold front is forecast to enter the northern Gulf
waters on Sun, becoming stationary early next week. Winds and=20
seas will increase in the NE Gulf behind the front, especially by=20
the middle of next week. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in=20
place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the forecast period.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...
In addition to the scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of=20
the tropical wave in the southeast Caribbean west of the Windward
Islands, scattered convection is also ongoing over the far
southwest Caribbean off Panama and Costa Rica associated with
convergent low level trade wind flow north of the monsoon trough.
Farther north, a small cluster of thunderstorms is active off
southeast Cuba in the Gulf of Guacanayabo related divergent flow
aloft and local morning land breeze convergence. Moderate trade
convergence and 3 to 5 ft seas cover much of the eastern and
central Caribbean, except for fresh trade winds and 5 to 7 ft seas
off Colombia. Light to gentle breezes and 1 to 3 ft seas are
observed over the northwest Caribbean.

For the forecast, the subtropical ridge will continue to force=20
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas=20
across much of the central Caribbean through early Sun. Fresh to=20
locally strong winds are expected to pulse off Colombia and the=20
Gulf of Venezuela at night through Fri night. In addition,=20
moderate to locally fresh E winds and slight to moderate seas will
prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through Sat night. A tropical=20
wave will move into the eastern Caribbean today, continue westward
into the central Caribbean this weekend and across the western=20
Caribbean early next week. Convection associated with this=20
tropical wave is currently limited.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about the potential=20
development of a tropical depression in the eastern and central=20
Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from 1009 mb low pressure over the
north-central Atlantic near 46N37W, to off the eastern seaboard of
the United States, then across the northern Bahamas and South=20
Florida and into the far southeast Gulf of America. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are active with 90 nm east of the front
south of 31N. Farther east, a cold-core mid to upper level low is
centered near 24N60W, supporting scattered showers and=20
thunderstorms within a 240 nm radius. An associated surface trough
extends from 27N55W to 24N59W. As discussed in the Special
Features section above, a 1011 mb low pressure is analyzed near=20
12N133W, close to where a tropical wave is interacting with the
monsoon trough. A recent scatterometer satellite pass indicated
fresh winds within 90 nm of this low pressure center. Broad
ridging dominates the remainder of the subtropical Atlantic north
of 25N, anchored by 1027 mb high pressure centered near 34N40W.
This pattern is supporting generally moderate winds and seas
elsewhere across the basin, except for fresh to strong NE winds
and locally rough seas off northwest Africa.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, the frontal boundary will persist
east of Florida through the weekend, but will drift westward as=20
the Atlantic high pressure moves also westward over the next few=20
days. Moderate to fresh S winds are expected ahead of the boundary
through late today. Scattered to numerous showers and=20
thunderstorms E of the front are affecting the NW Bahamas, South=20
Florida, the Straits of Florida and Cuba. Unsettled weather=20
conditions will continue ahead of the front over the next few=20
days. Stronger winds and higher seas are likely near=20
thunderstorms. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue to=20
dominate the weather pattern across the forecast waters,=20
supporting gentle to moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
Christensen

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

198=20
AXNT20 KNHC 042131
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Sep 5 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
2130 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
A broad area of low pressure has formed along a tropical wave over
the eastern tropical Atlantic. Recent satellite imagery suggests
the system continues to slowly become better organized with shower
and thunderstorm activity along its eastern periphery.
Environmental conditions are favorable for additional development
of the system and a tropical depression is likely to form by this
weekend as it moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic. There is a medium chance=20
of formation within the next 2 days, and a high chance within the=20
next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-8mI9dPlax= 6nb9Yse_OJjHZh88aDJ6cB0bIxmyTkGVt-Nf2j2Kl0IT3lZ15vBA95GK4zCj9NhAntkbiixNNSw= T7quSM$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 63W south of 21N,=20
and moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is=20
active from 13N to 16N between 59W and 63W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues to 1013 mb low pressure near
12N34W to near 09N48W. The ITCZ extends from 09N48W to 10N54W.=20
Aside from convection noted above, scattered moderate convection=20
is noted from 06N to 11N between 13W and 31W, and from 07N to 11N
between 40W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A frontal trough extends from the Florida Keys to 1009 mb low
pressure in the east-central Gulf. Scattered showers and=20
thunderstorms cover much of the eastern Gulf to the south of the=20
trough. Moderate E winds and seas in the 3 to 4 ft range prevail=20
across the southeast Gulf, south of the trough. Light to gentle=20
winds and slight seas are noted elsewhere.=20
=20=20
For the forecast, the frontal trough will persist over the east-
central Gulf likely through Sun, and continue to generate=20
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, mainly across the
eastern part of the basin. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in
place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the forecast period. A reinforcing=20
frontal boundary is forecast to reach the northern Gulf on Sun.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

High pressure prevails over the Atlantic waters N of the basin.
The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong winds, and
seas of 5-7 ft, over the south central Caribbean. Moderate winds,
and seas of 2-4 ft, prevail elsewhere E of 80W. Light to gentle=20
winds and slight seas are found over the western Caribbean.=20

For the forecast, The Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian=20
low will continue to support moderate to fresh easterly trade=20
winds along with moderate seas across much of the central=20
Caribbean through early Sun. Fresh to locally strong winds are=20
expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela mainly at
night through Sat night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E
winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of=20
Honduras through Sat night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about the potential=20
for tropical cyclone development in the tropical Atlantic.

A frontal boundary extends across the NW part of the discussion
waters from 31N72W to the Florida Straits. Scattered moderate to
strong convection is in the vicinity of this boundary. Light to
gentle winds, and seas of 2-4 ft prevail west of the front. A
surface trough extends from 28N57W to 21N62W. Scattered moderate
convection is in the vicinity of this trough. High pressure
dominates the remainder of the waters N of 20N, anchored by a 1026
mb high centered near 34N42W. Moderate to fresh winds are over=20
the waters E of 40W, reaching strong speeds near the coast of=20
Africa. Seas over these waters are in the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to=20
moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, prevail elsewhere.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, the front will shift westward as=20
the Atlantic high pressure also moves west over the next few days.
Moderate to fresh S winds are expected ahead of the front through
this evening. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms E=20
of the front continue to affect the Bahamas, South Florida, the=20
Straits of Florida and Cuba. Unsettled weather conditions will=20
continue ahead of the front over the next few days. Stronger winds
and higher seas are likely near thunderstorms. Elsewhere, the=20
Atlantic ridge will continue to dominate the weather pattern=20
across the forecast waters, supporting gentle to moderate winds=20
and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
AL

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

561=20
AXNT20 KNHC 042131
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Sep 5 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
2130 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
A broad area of low pressure has formed along a tropical wave over
the eastern tropical Atlantic. Recent satellite imagery suggests
the system continues to slowly become better organized with shower
and thunderstorm activity along its eastern periphery.
Environmental conditions are favorable for additional development
of the system and a tropical depression is likely to form by this
weekend as it moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic. There is a medium chance=20
of formation within the next 2 days, and a high chance within the=20
next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!4_58Fy-4cm= 2TRZ9KmhLUQeCpo-nf6QFbhtnUIdVRBGFoWfVn-dYSU6eBlJPkpsUdnllN1CuSCzTurpowIfxWT= iWqXsI$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 63W south of 21N,=20
and moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is=20
active from 13N to 16N between 59W and 63W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues to 1013 mb low pressure near
12N34W to near 09N48W. The ITCZ extends from 09N48W to 10N54W.=20
Aside from convection noted above, scattered moderate convection=20
is noted from 06N to 11N between 13W and 31W, and from 07N to 11N
between 40W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A frontal trough extends from the Florida Keys to 1009 mb low
pressure in the east-central Gulf. Scattered showers and=20
thunderstorms cover much of the eastern Gulf to the south of the=20
trough. Moderate E winds and seas in the 3 to 4 ft range prevail=20
across the southeast Gulf, south of the trough. Light to gentle=20
winds and slight seas are noted elsewhere.=20
=20=20
For the forecast, the frontal trough will persist over the east-
central Gulf likely through Sun, and continue to generate=20
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, mainly across the
eastern part of the basin. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in
place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the forecast period. A reinforcing=20
frontal boundary is forecast to reach the northern Gulf on Sun.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

High pressure prevails over the Atlantic waters N of the basin.
The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong winds, and
seas of 5-7 ft, over the south central Caribbean. Moderate winds,
and seas of 2-4 ft, prevail elsewhere E of 80W. Light to gentle=20
winds and slight seas are found over the western Caribbean.=20

For the forecast, The Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian=20
low will continue to support moderate to fresh easterly trade=20
winds along with moderate seas across much of the central=20
Caribbean through early Sun. Fresh to locally strong winds are=20
expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela mainly at
night through Sat night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E
winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of=20
Honduras through Sat night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about the potential=20
for tropical cyclone development in the tropical Atlantic.

A frontal boundary extends across the NW part of the discussion
waters from 31N72W to the Florida Straits. Scattered moderate to
strong convection is in the vicinity of this boundary. Light to
gentle winds, and seas of 2-4 ft prevail west of the front. A
surface trough extends from 28N57W to 21N62W. Scattered moderate
convection is in the vicinity of this trough. High pressure
dominates the remainder of the waters N of 20N, anchored by a 1026
mb high centered near 34N42W. Moderate to fresh winds are over=20
the waters E of 40W, reaching strong speeds near the coast of=20
Africa. Seas over these waters are in the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to=20
moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, prevail elsewhere.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, the front will shift westward as=20
the Atlantic high pressure also moves west over the next few days.
Moderate to fresh S winds are expected ahead of the front through
this evening. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms E=20
of the front continue to affect the Bahamas, South Florida, the=20
Straits of Florida and Cuba. Unsettled weather conditions will=20
continue ahead of the front over the next few days. Stronger winds
and higher seas are likely near thunderstorms. Elsewhere, the=20
Atlantic ridge will continue to dominate the weather pattern=20
across the forecast waters, supporting gentle to moderate winds=20
and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
AL

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

380=20
AXNT20 KNHC 050554
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Sep 5 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 35W from 17N southward
through a broad 1011 mb low near 12N35W, and moving west at 5 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is seen from 11N to 15N between 30W
and 37W. Environmental conditions are favorable for development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this
weekend. This system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by
the middle to latter part of next week, and interests there should
continue to monitor its progress. There is a medium chance of=20
formation within the next 2 days, and a high chance within the=20
next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-GC-mMjVu7= XMfB3OZPBLMCIS8AuwhfC9NpHKfwk2hqNehoWYMccqn0rqNGEk_8vpobYdkef7bsGCIw9H9QIAw= 18d9xQ$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 64W from 20N southward.
passing near the Virgin Islands to northeastern Venezuela. It is=20
moving west around 10 kt. Widely scattered moderate convection
is seen near and just west of the Lesser Antilles.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of=20
Mauritania just south of Dakar, then extends west-southwestward=20
through a 1011 mb low pressure near 12N35W to 08N45W. An ITCZ=20
continues westward from 08N45W to north of the Suriname-French
Guyana border at 08N54W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is present south of the monsoon trough from 05N to 11N
between 16W and 44W, and near the ITCZ from 08N to 12N between 51W
and 55W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous heavy showers and scattered strong thunderstorms across
the Caribbean waters near Panama and northwestern Colombia.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A modest frontal trough extends westward from southern Florida=20
through 1009 mb low pressure near 26N86W to the central Gulf.=20
Isolated thunderstorms are seen across the east-central Gulf and=20
Florida Straits. Gentle to moderate SE to SW winds with 2 to 4 ft
seas are noted at the northwestern Gulf and Florida Straits. Light
to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 2 ft prevail for the rest of the
Gulf.
=20=20
For the forecast, the frontal trough will persist over the east-=20
central Gulf through Sun night, generating showers and=20
thunderstorms offshore Florida. Otherwise, a weak pressure=20
gradient over the Gulf will lead to moderate or weaker winds and=20
generally slight seas into early next week. A weak cold front will
move into the northern Gulf late Sun, then stall over northern=20
Gulf waters early next week.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Convergent trades are coupling with an upper-level trough in the
vicinity to trigger scattered showers and isolated strong
thunderstorms across the lee of Cuba, and near Jamaica and the
Windward Passage. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical
Waves sections for additional weather in the Caribbean Sea. A 1013
mb high is supporting light to gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft seas at
the northwestern basin, except moderate to fresh winds with 2 to=20
4 ft seas at the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh with locally=20
strong easterly winds and seas at 5 to 7 ft are evident at the=20
south-central basin. Gentle to moderate with locally fresh NE to=20
SE winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft dominate the lee of Cuba and near=20
the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and 2 to 5=20
ft seas prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian=20
low will continue to support moderate to fresh easterly trade=20
winds along with moderate seas across much of the central=20
Caribbean through early Sun. Fresh to locally strong winds are=20
expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela mainly at
night into Sat night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E=20
winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of=20
Honduras through Sat night. A tropical wave, with axis along 63W,=20
will move across the eastern Caribbean through Fri, and will=20
continue westward into the central Caribbean this weekend and=20
across the western Caribbean early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about the potential=20
for tropical cyclone development in the tropical Atlantic.

A stationary front runs southwestward from off the Carolinas coast
across 31N75W to the northwest Bahamas. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are occurring over the northwest and
central Bahamas, Florida Straits and Great Bahama Bank. Widely
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen south and
east of the front, north of 20N between 71W and 73W. Farther east,
an upper-level low near 45N61W is causing scattered moderate
convection from 24N to 29N between 57W and 62W. Refer to the
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at the beginning
for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.=20

Mostly gentle winds are west of the aforementioned stationary
front. A large dome of 1024 mb high at the central Atlantic is
supporting moderate with locally fresh ENE to SSE winds and 4 to 6
ft seas north of 10N/20N between 35W and the Lesser
Antilles/stationary front. For the remainder of the Atlantic west
of 35W, gentle to moderate SE to SW winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft in
mixed moderate to large swells prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will meander=20
over east of Florida and the northwest Bahamas through the=20
weekend, bringing showers and thunderstorms to that region, along=20
with locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the Bermuda=20
Ridge will dominate weather through the forecast period, bringing
gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.=20

$$

Chan

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

381=20
AXNT20 KNHC 050554
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Sep 5 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 35W from 17N southward
through a broad 1011 mb low near 12N35W, and moving west at 5 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is seen from 11N to 15N between 30W
and 37W. Environmental conditions are favorable for development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this
weekend. This system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by
the middle to latter part of next week, and interests there should
continue to monitor its progress. There is a medium chance of=20
formation within the next 2 days, and a high chance within the=20
next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9IIRDJ6fW5= B0AzfQYCIL5_T7x8e_hr0uwSOIT7Reyh7-myLn49SNwdLpgz76RB1iehGyuJqKf5uhsgdHLCTPR= -YbI6Q$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 64W from 20N southward.
passing near the Virgin Islands to northeastern Venezuela. It is=20
moving west around 10 kt. Widely scattered moderate convection
is seen near and just west of the Lesser Antilles.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of=20
Mauritania just south of Dakar, then extends west-southwestward=20
through a 1011 mb low pressure near 12N35W to 08N45W. An ITCZ=20
continues westward from 08N45W to north of the Suriname-French
Guyana border at 08N54W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is present south of the monsoon trough from 05N to 11N
between 16W and 44W, and near the ITCZ from 08N to 12N between 51W
and 55W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous heavy showers and scattered strong thunderstorms across
the Caribbean waters near Panama and northwestern Colombia.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A modest frontal trough extends westward from southern Florida=20
through 1009 mb low pressure near 26N86W to the central Gulf.=20
Isolated thunderstorms are seen across the east-central Gulf and=20
Florida Straits. Gentle to moderate SE to SW winds with 2 to 4 ft
seas are noted at the northwestern Gulf and Florida Straits. Light
to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 2 ft prevail for the rest of the
Gulf.
=20=20
For the forecast, the frontal trough will persist over the east-=20
central Gulf through Sun night, generating showers and=20
thunderstorms offshore Florida. Otherwise, a weak pressure=20
gradient over the Gulf will lead to moderate or weaker winds and=20
generally slight seas into early next week. A weak cold front will
move into the northern Gulf late Sun, then stall over northern=20
Gulf waters early next week.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Convergent trades are coupling with an upper-level trough in the
vicinity to trigger scattered showers and isolated strong
thunderstorms across the lee of Cuba, and near Jamaica and the
Windward Passage. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical
Waves sections for additional weather in the Caribbean Sea. A 1013
mb high is supporting light to gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft seas at
the northwestern basin, except moderate to fresh winds with 2 to=20
4 ft seas at the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh with locally=20
strong easterly winds and seas at 5 to 7 ft are evident at the=20
south-central basin. Gentle to moderate with locally fresh NE to=20
SE winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft dominate the lee of Cuba and near=20
the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and 2 to 5=20
ft seas prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian=20
low will continue to support moderate to fresh easterly trade=20
winds along with moderate seas across much of the central=20
Caribbean through early Sun. Fresh to locally strong winds are=20
expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela mainly at
night into Sat night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E=20
winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of=20
Honduras through Sat night. A tropical wave, with axis along 63W,=20
will move across the eastern Caribbean through Fri, and will=20
continue westward into the central Caribbean this weekend and=20
across the western Caribbean early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about the potential=20
for tropical cyclone development in the tropical Atlantic.

A stationary front runs southwestward from off the Carolinas coast
across 31N75W to the northwest Bahamas. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are occurring over the northwest and
central Bahamas, Florida Straits and Great Bahama Bank. Widely
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen south and
east of the front, north of 20N between 71W and 73W. Farther east,
an upper-level low near 45N61W is causing scattered moderate
convection from 24N to 29N between 57W and 62W. Refer to the
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at the beginning
for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.=20

Mostly gentle winds are west of the aforementioned stationary
front. A large dome of 1024 mb high at the central Atlantic is
supporting moderate with locally fresh ENE to SSE winds and 4 to 6
ft seas north of 10N/20N between 35W and the Lesser
Antilles/stationary front. For the remainder of the Atlantic west
of 35W, gentle to moderate SE to SW winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft in
mixed moderate to large swells prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will meander=20
over east of Florida and the northwest Bahamas through the=20
weekend, bringing showers and thunderstorms to that region, along=20
with locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the Bermuda=20
Ridge will dominate weather through the forecast period, bringing
gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.=20

$$

Chan

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

990=20
AXNT20 KNHC 051027
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Sep 5 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0915 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 35W from 17N southward
to 07N, with a a broad 1011 mb low near 13N35W along the axis,
drifting W at less than 5 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is seen from 09N to 16N between 30W and 39W.
Environmental conditions are favorable for development of this
system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this=20
weekend. This system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by=20
the middle to latter part of next week, and interests there should
continue to monitor its progress. There is a medium chance of=20
formation within the next 2 days, and a high chance within the=20
next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!6WJe4DGWAp= D9tuDCoPgQJVIO43OBI9yYQ3lRONPRltZW2bV7PYY8z0-9X5dNNTFS7HXdb84sIoWZmy61vyEr0= A9CVhs$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave (AL91) that is likely to become a tropical
depression by this weekend.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 65W from Puerto Rico to
central Venezuela, moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted behind the wave over the NE Caribbean, N of
14N.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of=20
Mauritania near 20N16W, then extends west-southwestward through a
1011 mb low pressure near 13N35W to 08N45W. The ITCZ continues=20
westward from 08N45W to 08N54W. Scattered moderate to isolated=20
strong convection is present south of the monsoon trough from 05N=20
to 11N between 16W and 45W. Scattered moderate convection is=20
noted near the ITCZ from 08N to 12N between 48W and 54W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous strong convection across the Caribbean waters S of 11N,=20
near Costa Rica, Panama, and Colombia.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A surface trough extends from the Florida Everglades to the=20
central Gulf around 25N89W. A 1010 mb low pressure is noted along=20
this trough at 26N86W. Scattered moderate convection is associated
with this trough within 150 nm of the southwest Florida coast.=20
Light to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 2 ft prevail over the Gulf.
=20=20
For the forecast, the trough will persist over the eastern
Gulf into Sun night, generating showers and thunderstorms offshore
Florida. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will=20
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas into=20
early next week. A cold front will move into the northern Gulf=20
late Sun, then stall early next week over northern waters.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough sections above for
information on convection being caused by those features.=20
Convergent trades are coupling with an upper- level trough in the=20
vicinity to trigger scattered moderate to strong convection=20
across waters near Cuba, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Haiti. A
tradewind dominant regime prevails over the basin, with generally
moderate easterly winds, fresh over the central basin, and gentle
in the NW. Seas are 4 to 6 ft in the central Caribbean, 3 to 5 ft
in the east and SW, and 1 to 3 ft in the NW.=20

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic=20
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to=20
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central Caribbean into early Sun. Fresh to locally strong=20
winds are expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight and Sat night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E=20
winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of=20
Honduras through Sat night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about the potential=20
for tropical cyclone development in the tropical Atlantic.

A stationary front runs southwestward from off the Carolinas coast
to 31N75W to the northwest Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection
is noted in association with this feature for waters W of 73W=20
including much of the Bahamas and around Cuba. Farther east, a=20
mid- and upper-level low centered near 45N61W is causing scattered
moderate convection from 24N to 29N between 57W and 62W. Refer to
the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at the=20
beginning for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.=20

Light to gentle NE winds are west of the stationary front. A=20
large dome of 1024 mb high at the central Atlantic is supporting=20
moderate with locally fresh E winds and 4 to 6 ft seas north of=20
10N between 25W and 65W. Farther W, more southerly winds and seas
of 3 to 5 ft are present. In the far eastern Atlantic, E of 25W,
fresh to locally strong NE winds and seas of 6 to 10 ft prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will meander=20
over the far NW basin into the start of next week, bringing=20
showers and thunderstorms to that region, along with locally=20
hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will=20
dominate weather through the forecast period, bringing gentle to=20
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.=20

$$
Konarik

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

989=20
AXNT20 KNHC 051027
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Sep 5 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0915 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 35W from 17N southward
to 07N, with a a broad 1011 mb low near 13N35W along the axis,
drifting W at less than 5 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is seen from 09N to 16N between 30W and 39W.
Environmental conditions are favorable for development of this
system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this=20
weekend. This system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by=20
the middle to latter part of next week, and interests there should
continue to monitor its progress. There is a medium chance of=20
formation within the next 2 days, and a high chance within the=20
next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-Ujm6q1MXu= Tze9eGuzDdf3mBIeAIBCwpLGb0oGtcmCD2F04x6Hq1PX2qtoqNSkLCq8JGoObdkVKadIg_0Yrb_= 5N6sCo$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave (AL91) that is likely to become a tropical
depression by this weekend.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 65W from Puerto Rico to
central Venezuela, moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted behind the wave over the NE Caribbean, N of
14N.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of=20
Mauritania near 20N16W, then extends west-southwestward through a
1011 mb low pressure near 13N35W to 08N45W. The ITCZ continues=20
westward from 08N45W to 08N54W. Scattered moderate to isolated=20
strong convection is present south of the monsoon trough from 05N=20
to 11N between 16W and 45W. Scattered moderate convection is=20
noted near the ITCZ from 08N to 12N between 48W and 54W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous strong convection across the Caribbean waters S of 11N,=20
near Costa Rica, Panama, and Colombia.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A surface trough extends from the Florida Everglades to the=20
central Gulf around 25N89W. A 1010 mb low pressure is noted along=20
this trough at 26N86W. Scattered moderate convection is associated
with this trough within 150 nm of the southwest Florida coast.=20
Light to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 2 ft prevail over the Gulf.
=20=20
For the forecast, the trough will persist over the eastern
Gulf into Sun night, generating showers and thunderstorms offshore
Florida. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will=20
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas into=20
early next week. A cold front will move into the northern Gulf=20
late Sun, then stall early next week over northern waters.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough sections above for
information on convection being caused by those features.=20
Convergent trades are coupling with an upper- level trough in the=20
vicinity to trigger scattered moderate to strong convection=20
across waters near Cuba, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Haiti. A
tradewind dominant regime prevails over the basin, with generally
moderate easterly winds, fresh over the central basin, and gentle
in the NW. Seas are 4 to 6 ft in the central Caribbean, 3 to 5 ft
in the east and SW, and 1 to 3 ft in the NW.=20

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic=20
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to=20
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central Caribbean into early Sun. Fresh to locally strong=20
winds are expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight and Sat night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E=20
winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of=20
Honduras through Sat night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about the potential=20
for tropical cyclone development in the tropical Atlantic.

A stationary front runs southwestward from off the Carolinas coast
to 31N75W to the northwest Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection
is noted in association with this feature for waters W of 73W=20
including much of the Bahamas and around Cuba. Farther east, a=20
mid- and upper-level low centered near 45N61W is causing scattered
moderate convection from 24N to 29N between 57W and 62W. Refer to
the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at the=20
beginning for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.=20

Light to gentle NE winds are west of the stationary front. A=20
large dome of 1024 mb high at the central Atlantic is supporting=20
moderate with locally fresh E winds and 4 to 6 ft seas north of=20
10N between 25W and 65W. Farther W, more southerly winds and seas
of 3 to 5 ft are present. In the far eastern Atlantic, E of 25W,
fresh to locally strong NE winds and seas of 6 to 10 ft prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will meander=20
over the far NW basin into the start of next week, bringing=20
showers and thunderstorms to that region, along with locally=20
hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will=20
dominate weather through the forecast period, bringing gentle to=20
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.=20

$$
Konarik

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

472
AXNT20 KNHC 052325
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Sep 6 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed with axis along
36W from 17N southward to 06N, with a broad 1011 mb low near
12N36W. These features are moving W at 5 kt. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is noted from 10N to 15N between
35W and 40W.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 67W from Puerto Rico
to central Venezuela, moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted along the wave from 14N to 19N between 65W
and 70W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W, then extends
to 08N48W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
present from 05N to 13N between 24W and 47W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A surface trough persists from the northeast Gulf to the central
Gulf, anchored by 1012 mb low pressure near 27N86W. Scattered
moderate convection is associated with these features. An upper
level trough is supporting numerous moderate to strong convection
over the SE Gulf. Outside of convection, light to gentle winds
and slight seas prevail over the Gulf.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas into
early next week. A cold front will move into the northern Gulf
late Sun, then stall early next week over northern waters.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See the section above for information on the tropical wave moving
across the basin.

Convergent trades are coupling with an upper-level trough in the
vicinity to trigger isolated moderate convection across waters
near Cuba, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Haiti. A tradewind
dominant regime prevails over the basin, with generally moderate
easterly winds, fresh over the central basin, and gentle in the
NW. Moderate seas prevail across most of the basin except for
slight seas across the NW portion.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central Caribbean into early Sun. Fresh to strong winds are
expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela tonight.
In addition, moderate to fresh E winds and slight to moderate
seas will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through Sat night.
A tropical wave currently in the eastern Atlantic may bring
strong winds and rough seas to the Atlantic waters east of the
Leeward Islands by the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 31N74W to the northern Bahamas.
Scattered moderate convection is noted along the front including
the northern Bahamas. Farther east, a surface trough is analyzed
from 28N59W to 22N63W. Scattered showers prevail within 200 nm on
either side of the trough. Light to gentle E winds are west of
the stationary front, while moderate SE winds are noted ahead of
the front. A 1027 mb high at the central Atlantic is supporting
moderate with fresh E winds and moderate seas north of 10N
between 25W and 60W. In the far eastern Atlantic, E of 25W, fresh
to strong NE winds and rough seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will meander
westward from 31N75W to the northern Bahamas into the start of
next week, bringing showers and thunderstorms to that region,
along with locally hazardous winds and seas. Fresh winds and
building seas will follow a reinforcing front that will move into
the waters off northeast Florida and stall Mon into Tue.
Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will dominate weather through the
forecast period, bringing gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas.

$$
ERA

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

471
AXNT20 KNHC 052325
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Sep 6 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed with axis along
36W from 17N southward to 06N, with a broad 1011 mb low near
12N36W. These features are moving W at 5 kt. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is noted from 10N to 15N between
35W and 40W.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 67W from Puerto Rico
to central Venezuela, moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted along the wave from 14N to 19N between 65W
and 70W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W, then extends
to 08N48W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
present from 05N to 13N between 24W and 47W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A surface trough persists from the northeast Gulf to the central
Gulf, anchored by 1012 mb low pressure near 27N86W. Scattered
moderate convection is associated with these features. An upper
level trough is supporting numerous moderate to strong convection
over the SE Gulf. Outside of convection, light to gentle winds
and slight seas prevail over the Gulf.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas into
early next week. A cold front will move into the northern Gulf
late Sun, then stall early next week over northern waters.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See the section above for information on the tropical wave moving
across the basin.

Convergent trades are coupling with an upper-level trough in the
vicinity to trigger isolated moderate convection across waters
near Cuba, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Haiti. A tradewind
dominant regime prevails over the basin, with generally moderate
easterly winds, fresh over the central basin, and gentle in the
NW. Moderate seas prevail across most of the basin except for
slight seas across the NW portion.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central Caribbean into early Sun. Fresh to strong winds are
expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela tonight.
In addition, moderate to fresh E winds and slight to moderate
seas will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through Sat night.
A tropical wave currently in the eastern Atlantic may bring
strong winds and rough seas to the Atlantic waters east of the
Leeward Islands by the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 31N74W to the northern Bahamas.
Scattered moderate convection is noted along the front including
the northern Bahamas. Farther east, a surface trough is analyzed
from 28N59W to 22N63W. Scattered showers prevail within 200 nm on
either side of the trough. Light to gentle E winds are west of
the stationary front, while moderate SE winds are noted ahead of
the front. A 1027 mb high at the central Atlantic is supporting
moderate with fresh E winds and moderate seas north of 10N
between 25W and 60W. In the far eastern Atlantic, E of 25W, fresh
to strong NE winds and rough seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will meander
westward from 31N75W to the northern Bahamas into the start of
next week, bringing showers and thunderstorms to that region,
along with locally hazardous winds and seas. Fresh winds and
building seas will follow a reinforcing front that will move into
the waters off northeast Florida and stall Mon into Tue.
Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will dominate weather through the
forecast period, bringing gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas.

$$
ERA

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

555
AXNT20 KNHC 060606
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Sep 6 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 37W from 17N southward
through a broad 1011 mb low near 12N36W. These features are
moving west around 5 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted from 12N to 15N between 35W and 41W. This
system could develop further during the early and middle part of
next week. There is a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation
for the next 2 to 7 days. Interests near the Lesser Antilles should
monitor its progress.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 68W from 20N southward
across the Mona Passage into north-central Venezuela. It is moving
west around 10 kt. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are occurring over Hispaniola. Isolated thunderstorms are seen to
the south from 15N to 17N between 67W and 75W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the Caribbean
waters near northwestern Colombia and eastern Panama.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Mauritian coast
just north of Dakar, then extends southwestward across 12N30W and
a 1011 mb low at 12N36W to 09N49W. An ITCZ continues westward
from 09N49W to north of Guyana at 10N59W. Numerous moderate to
scattered strong convection is flaring up near and south of the
monsoon trough from 06N to 11N between . Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is present from 05N to 13N between 24W
and 47W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

An elongated 1012 mb low and related surface trough are persisting
across the east-central Gulf, creating isolated thunderstorms at
the east-central and southeastern Basin. Gentle to moderate ENE to
SSE to WSW winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft are present at the eastern
and far western Gulf. Mostly gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft seas
prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas into
early next week. A cold front will move into the northern Gulf
late Sun, then stall and replace the trough over the northeast and
central Gulf early next week, continuing unsettled weather over
the region.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Convergent trades are coupling with an upper-level trough in the
vicinity to trigger scattered heavy showers and isolated strong
thunderstorms across waters near Cuba and the Cayman Islands.
Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections for
additional weather in the Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh ENE to
ESE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are present at the south-central
basin. Light to gentle winds and 2 to 4 ft seas in moderate
easterly swell are noted at the northwestern basin, and waters
near Costa Rica and Panama. Gentle to moderate E to ESE winds with
seas at 3 to 5 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central basin into early Sun. Fresh to locally strong winds
are expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E winds and slight
to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through Sat
night. Looking ahead, a tropical wave currently in the eastern
Atlantic may bring strong winds and rough seas to the Atlantic
waters east of the Leeward Islands by the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A frontal trough extends south-southwestward from off the Georgia
coast across 31N76W to the Great Bahama Bank. Widely scattered to
scattered moderate convection is noted from the Great Bahama Bank
northward to beyond 31N and west of 75W. Farther east, an upper-
level low near 24N64W and its related surface trough are causing
scattered moderate convection from 22N to 29N between 59W and 66W.
Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at
the beginning for additional weather in the Atlantic Basin.

Mainly gentle SE to S winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft are evident
north of 20N and west of 65W. Farther east, gentle to moderate NE
to ESE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas dominate north of 12N between 35W
and 65W/Lesser Antilles. For the remainder of the Atlantic Basin
west of 35W, gentle to moderate SE to SW winds along with 4 to 6
ft seas in mixed moderate swell prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the frontal trough will linger over
the Bahamas and east of Florida this weekend, then reinforced by
a frontal boundary that will stall over the same area early next
week. This will keep showers and thunderstorms along with locally
hazardous winds and seas in place offshore Florida and north of
the Bahamas during this time. Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will
dominate weather into midweek next week, sustaining gentle to
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.

$$

Chan

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

634
AXNT20 KNHC 060606
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Sep 6 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 37W from 17N southward
through a broad 1011 mb low near 12N36W. These features are
moving west around 5 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted from 12N to 15N between 35W and 41W. This
system could develop further during the early and middle part of
next week. There is a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation
for the next 2 to 7 days. Interests near the Lesser Antilles should
monitor its progress.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 68W from 20N southward
across the Mona Passage into north-central Venezuela. It is moving
west around 10 kt. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are occurring over Hispaniola. Isolated thunderstorms are seen to
the south from 15N to 17N between 67W and 75W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the Caribbean
waters near northwestern Colombia and eastern Panama.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Mauritian coast
just north of Dakar, then extends southwestward across 12N30W and
a 1011 mb low at 12N36W to 09N49W. An ITCZ continues westward
from 09N49W to north of Guyana at 10N59W. Numerous moderate to
scattered strong convection is flaring up near and south of the
monsoon trough from 06N to 11N between . Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is present from 05N to 13N between 24W
and 47W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

An elongated 1012 mb low and related surface trough are persisting
across the east-central Gulf, creating isolated thunderstorms at
the east-central and southeastern Basin. Gentle to moderate ENE to
SSE to WSW winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft are present at the eastern
and far western Gulf. Mostly gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft seas
prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas into
early next week. A cold front will move into the northern Gulf
late Sun, then stall and replace the trough over the northeast and
central Gulf early next week, continuing unsettled weather over
the region.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Convergent trades are coupling with an upper-level trough in the
vicinity to trigger scattered heavy showers and isolated strong
thunderstorms across waters near Cuba and the Cayman Islands.
Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections for
additional weather in the Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh ENE to
ESE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are present at the south-central
basin. Light to gentle winds and 2 to 4 ft seas in moderate
easterly swell are noted at the northwestern basin, and waters
near Costa Rica and Panama. Gentle to moderate E to ESE winds with
seas at 3 to 5 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central basin into early Sun. Fresh to locally strong winds
are expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E winds and slight
to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through Sat
night. Looking ahead, a tropical wave currently in the eastern
Atlantic may bring strong winds and rough seas to the Atlantic
waters east of the Leeward Islands by the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A frontal trough extends south-southwestward from off the Georgia
coast across 31N76W to the Great Bahama Bank. Widely scattered to
scattered moderate convection is noted from the Great Bahama Bank
northward to beyond 31N and west of 75W. Farther east, an upper-
level low near 24N64W and its related surface trough are causing
scattered moderate convection from 22N to 29N between 59W and 66W.
Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at
the beginning for additional weather in the Atlantic Basin.

Mainly gentle SE to S winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft are evident
north of 20N and west of 65W. Farther east, gentle to moderate NE
to ESE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas dominate north of 12N between 35W
and 65W/Lesser Antilles. For the remainder of the Atlantic Basin
west of 35W, gentle to moderate SE to SW winds along with 4 to 6
ft seas in mixed moderate swell prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the frontal trough will linger over
the Bahamas and east of Florida this weekend, then reinforced by
a frontal boundary that will stall over the same area early next
week. This will keep showers and thunderstorms along with locally
hazardous winds and seas in place offshore Florida and north of
the Bahamas during this time. Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will
dominate weather into midweek next week, sustaining gentle to
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.

$$

Chan

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

734
AXNT20 KNHC 301833
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 30 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 34W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 63W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed south of 12N between 60W and 65W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is evident west of 87W and S of 18N.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 13N25W and
then to 10N44W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N
to 16N and east of 20W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough reaches
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is
ongoing S of 11N between 75W and 82W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front is draped across the northeastern Gulf, producing
scattered moderate convection across areas N of 26N between 85W
and 95W. A surface trough is also analyzed from the south-central
Gulf into the Bay of Campeche, with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms occurring near the surface trough. Otherwise at the
surface, weak ridging prevails, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, a stationary front from the Florida Big Bend to
near the mouth of the Mississippi River will linger over the NE
Gulf into early next week, leading to scattered showers and
thunderstorms, capable of inducing locally hazardous winds and
seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place will maintain mainly
gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas
through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough/ITCZ sections for
details on convection in the basin.

The subtropical ridge north of the islands continues to sustain
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas in the
central Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas are evident elsewhere in the Caribbean.

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving into the Gulf of
Honduras will bring showers and thunderstorms along with locally
strong winds and higher seas to the gulf and adjacent waters of
the NW Caribbean this weekend. Otherwise, Atlantic high pressure
in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia will
maintain fresh to strong trades along with moderate to locally
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean through early next
week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front stretches from 31N70W to NE Florida. This
feature and an upper level trough to the north combine to produce
scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms west of
74W and N of 22N. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs also
produce scattered showers N of 23N between 63W and 68W. The
remainder of the SW North Atlantic is under the influence of a
subtropical ridge that maintains generally moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic are dominated by a 1029 mb high
pressure system between the Azores and Nova Scotia. This ridge
forces moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate to rough seas
north of 20N and east of 60W. Strong NE winds and rough seas are
evident off Morocco due to a tighter pressure gradient in the
region. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extends from
just W of Bermuda to just N of Daytona Beach, Florida, with a
surface trough extending southward offshore the Florida coast.
These features are leading to scattered thunderstorms northward
from the NW Bahamas, which will continue through Monday, as low
pressure forms along the front near the Florida coast and tracks
ENE along it. Behind the low, NE to E winds will increase to fresh
to strong N of the boundary, mainly N of 29N and W of 77W Sun
night into Tue. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in control of
the general weather pattern providing for a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
Adams

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

735
AXNT20 KNHC 301833
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 30 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 34W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 63W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed south of 12N between 60W and 65W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is evident west of 87W and S of 18N.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 13N25W and
then to 10N44W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N
to 16N and east of 20W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough reaches
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is
ongoing S of 11N between 75W and 82W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front is draped across the northeastern Gulf, producing
scattered moderate convection across areas N of 26N between 85W
and 95W. A surface trough is also analyzed from the south-central
Gulf into the Bay of Campeche, with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms occurring near the surface trough. Otherwise at the
surface, weak ridging prevails, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, a stationary front from the Florida Big Bend to
near the mouth of the Mississippi River will linger over the NE
Gulf into early next week, leading to scattered showers and
thunderstorms, capable of inducing locally hazardous winds and
seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place will maintain mainly
gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas
through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough/ITCZ sections for
details on convection in the basin.

The subtropical ridge north of the islands continues to sustain
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas in the
central Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas are evident elsewhere in the Caribbean.

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving into the Gulf of
Honduras will bring showers and thunderstorms along with locally
strong winds and higher seas to the gulf and adjacent waters of
the NW Caribbean this weekend. Otherwise, Atlantic high pressure
in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia will
maintain fresh to strong trades along with moderate to locally
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean through early next
week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front stretches from 31N70W to NE Florida. This
feature and an upper level trough to the north combine to produce
scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms west of
74W and N of 22N. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs also
produce scattered showers N of 23N between 63W and 68W. The
remainder of the SW North Atlantic is under the influence of a
subtropical ridge that maintains generally moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic are dominated by a 1029 mb high
pressure system between the Azores and Nova Scotia. This ridge
forces moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate to rough seas
north of 20N and east of 60W. Strong NE winds and rough seas are
evident off Morocco due to a tighter pressure gradient in the
region. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extends from
just W of Bermuda to just N of Daytona Beach, Florida, with a
surface trough extending southward offshore the Florida coast.
These features are leading to scattered thunderstorms northward
from the NW Bahamas, which will continue through Monday, as low
pressure forms along the front near the Florida coast and tracks
ENE along it. Behind the low, NE to E winds will increase to fresh
to strong N of the boundary, mainly N of 29N and W of 77W Sun
night into Tue. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in control of
the general weather pattern providing for a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
Adams

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

085
AXNT20 KNHC 301810
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 30 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 84W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 63W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed south of 12N between 60W and 65W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is evident west of 87W and S of 18N.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 13N25W and
then to 10N44W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N
to 16N and east of 20W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough reaches
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is
ongoing S of 11N between 75W and 82W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front is draped across the northeastern Gulf, producing
scattered moderate convection across areas N of 26N between 85W
and 95W. A surface trough is also analyzed from the south-central
Gulf into the Bay of Campeche, with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms occurring near the surface trough. Otherwise at the
surface, weak ridging prevails, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, a stationary front from the Florida Big Bend to
near the mouth of the Mississippi River will linger over the NE
Gulf into early next week, leading to scattered showers and
thunderstorms, capable of inducing locally hazardous winds and
seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place will maintain mainly
gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas
through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough/ITCZ sections for
details on convection in the basin.

The subtropical ridge north of the islands continues to sustain
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas in the
central Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas are evident elsewhere in the Caribbean.

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving into the Gulf of
Honduras will bring showers and thunderstorms along with locally
strong winds and higher seas to the gulf and adjacent waters of
the NW Caribbean this weekend. Otherwise, Atlantic high pressure
in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia will
maintain fresh to strong trades along with moderate to locally
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean through early next
week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front stretches from 31N70W to NE Florida. This
feature and an upper level trough to the north combine to produce
scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms west of
74W and N of 22N. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs also
produce scattered showers N of 23N between 63W and 68W. The
remainder of the SW North Atlantic is under the influence of a
subtropical ridge that maintains generally moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic are dominated by a 1029 mb high
pressure system between the Azores and Nova Scotia. This ridge
forces moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate to rough seas
north of 20N and east of 60W. Strong NE winds and rough seas are
evident off Morocco due to a tighter pressure gradient in the
region. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extends from
just W of Bermuda to just N of Daytona Beach, Florida, with a
surface trough extending southward offshore the Florida coast.
These features are leading to scattered thunderstorms northward
from the NW Bahamas, which will continue through Monday, as low
pressure forms along the front near the Florida coast and tracks
ENE along it. Behind the low, NE to E winds will increase to fresh
to strong N of the boundary, mainly N of 29N and W of 77W Sun
night into Tue. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in control of
the general weather pattern providing for a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
Adams

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

086
AXNT20 KNHC 301810
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 30 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 84W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 63W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed south of 12N between 60W and 65W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is evident west of 87W and S of 18N.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 13N25W and
then to 10N44W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N
to 16N and east of 20W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough reaches
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is
ongoing S of 11N between 75W and 82W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front is draped across the northeastern Gulf, producing
scattered moderate convection across areas N of 26N between 85W
and 95W. A surface trough is also analyzed from the south-central
Gulf into the Bay of Campeche, with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms occurring near the surface trough. Otherwise at the
surface, weak ridging prevails, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, a stationary front from the Florida Big Bend to
near the mouth of the Mississippi River will linger over the NE
Gulf into early next week, leading to scattered showers and
thunderstorms, capable of inducing locally hazardous winds and
seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place will maintain mainly
gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas
through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough/ITCZ sections for
details on convection in the basin.

The subtropical ridge north of the islands continues to sustain
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas in the
central Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas are evident elsewhere in the Caribbean.

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving into the Gulf of
Honduras will bring showers and thunderstorms along with locally
strong winds and higher seas to the gulf and adjacent waters of
the NW Caribbean this weekend. Otherwise, Atlantic high pressure
in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia will
maintain fresh to strong trades along with moderate to locally
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean through early next
week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front stretches from 31N70W to NE Florida. This
feature and an upper level trough to the north combine to produce
scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms west of
74W and N of 22N. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs also
produce scattered showers N of 23N between 63W and 68W. The
remainder of the SW North Atlantic is under the influence of a
subtropical ridge that maintains generally moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic are dominated by a 1029 mb high
pressure system between the Azores and Nova Scotia. This ridge
forces moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate to rough seas
north of 20N and east of 60W. Strong NE winds and rough seas are
evident off Morocco due to a tighter pressure gradient in the
region. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extends from
just W of Bermuda to just N of Daytona Beach, Florida, with a
surface trough extending southward offshore the Florida coast.
These features are leading to scattered thunderstorms northward
from the NW Bahamas, which will continue through Monday, as low
pressure forms along the front near the Florida coast and tracks
ENE along it. Behind the low, NE to E winds will increase to fresh
to strong N of the boundary, mainly N of 29N and W of 77W Sun
night into Tue. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in control of
the general weather pattern providing for a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
Adams

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

124
AXNT20 KNHC 302337
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 31 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 34.5W, south of 19N,
moving westward around 5 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64.5W, south of 18N,
moving westward around 20 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has been repositioned, and is
along 88W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
occurring south of 22N and west of 84W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N17W and continues southwestward to 10N47W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 15N east of
25W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough reaches
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is
ongoing S of 11N between 74W and 80W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front is draped across the northeastern Gulf,
producing scattered moderate convection across areas N of 26N
between 90W and 95W. A surface trough is also analyzed from the
central Gulf into the Bay of Campeche, with scattered showers and
thunderstorms occurring near and to the east of the surface
trough. Otherwise at the surface, weak ridging prevails,
supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, the aforementioned front will sag south
tonight, then meander over the north-central and northeast Gulf
through early next week, bringing showers and thunderstorms to the
area. The stronger thunderstorms will induce locally hazardous
winds and seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place will
maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally
moderate seas through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough/ITCZ sections for
details on convection in the basin.

The subtropical ridge north of the islands continues to sustain
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas in the
central Caribbean, with locally strong winds just offshore of
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Elsewhere, locally fresh E
winds are occurring in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas are evident elsewhere in the
Caribbean.

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving through the Gulf of
Honduras will bring showers and thunderstorms along with locally
strong winds and higher seas to the gulf and adjacent waters of
the NW Caribbean through tonight. Otherwise, Atlantic high
pressure in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia
will maintain fresh to strong trades along with moderate seas
across much of the central Caribbean through early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front stretches from 31N68W to NE Florida. This
feature and an upper level trough to the north combine to produce
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms west of 72W and N
of 23N. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs are also
producing scattered showers and thunderstorms N of 24N between
55W and 70W. The remainder of the SW North Atlantic is under the
influence of a subtropical ridge that maintains generally moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1030 mb high
pressure system between the Azores and Nova Scotia. This ridge
forces moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate to
rough seas north of 20N and east of 60W. Strong NE winds and rough
seas are evident off Morocco due to a tighter pressure gradient
in the region. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front and
surface trough offshore of Florida are leading to scattered
thunderstorms N of 23N and W of 72W, which will continue through
Mon, as low pressure forms along the front near the Florida coast
and tracks NE to E along it. Behind the low, NE to E winds will
increase to fresh to strong N of the front, mainly N of 29N and W
of 77W Sun night into Tue. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in
control of the general weather pattern providing for a gentle to
moderate anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
ADAMS

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

123
AXNT20 KNHC 302337
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 31 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 34.5W, south of 19N,
moving westward around 5 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64.5W, south of 18N,
moving westward around 20 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has been repositioned, and is
along 88W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
occurring south of 22N and west of 84W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N17W and continues southwestward to 10N47W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 15N east of
25W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough reaches
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is
ongoing S of 11N between 74W and 80W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front is draped across the northeastern Gulf,
producing scattered moderate convection across areas N of 26N
between 90W and 95W. A surface trough is also analyzed from the
central Gulf into the Bay of Campeche, with scattered showers and
thunderstorms occurring near and to the east of the surface
trough. Otherwise at the surface, weak ridging prevails,
supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, the aforementioned front will sag south
tonight, then meander over the north-central and northeast Gulf
through early next week, bringing showers and thunderstorms to the
area. The stronger thunderstorms will induce locally hazardous
winds and seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place will
maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally
moderate seas through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough/ITCZ sections for
details on convection in the basin.

The subtropical ridge north of the islands continues to sustain
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas in the
central Caribbean, with locally strong winds just offshore of
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Elsewhere, locally fresh E
winds are occurring in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas are evident elsewhere in the
Caribbean.

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving through the Gulf of
Honduras will bring showers and thunderstorms along with locally
strong winds and higher seas to the gulf and adjacent waters of
the NW Caribbean through tonight. Otherwise, Atlantic high
pressure in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia
will maintain fresh to strong trades along with moderate seas
across much of the central Caribbean through early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front stretches from 31N68W to NE Florida. This
feature and an upper level trough to the north combine to produce
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms west of 72W and N
of 23N. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs are also
producing scattered showers and thunderstorms N of 24N between
55W and 70W. The remainder of the SW North Atlantic is under the
influence of a subtropical ridge that maintains generally moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1030 mb high
pressure system between the Azores and Nova Scotia. This ridge
forces moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate to
rough seas north of 20N and east of 60W. Strong NE winds and rough
seas are evident off Morocco due to a tighter pressure gradient
in the region. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front and
surface trough offshore of Florida are leading to scattered
thunderstorms N of 23N and W of 72W, which will continue through
Mon, as low pressure forms along the front near the Florida coast
and tracks NE to E along it. Behind the low, NE to E winds will
increase to fresh to strong N of the front, mainly N of 29N and W
of 77W Sun night into Tue. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in
control of the general weather pattern providing for a gentle to
moderate anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
ADAMS

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

237
AXNT20 KNHC 310444
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Aug 31 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0443UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35.5W, south of 19N,
moving westward 5 to 10 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W, south of 18N,
moving westward around 20 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is now over the Eastern Pacific.
Please refer to the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion
for more details on this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16.5W and continues
southwestward to 10.5N41W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N41W to
13N59W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 15N
east of 28.5W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough reaches
across the far SW Caribbean. Isolated moderate convection is
ongoing S of 12N between 74W and 81W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak stationary front extends from the Florida Big Bend area to
the SE Louisiana coast. This front is producing isolated moderate
convection N of 28N. An upper level trough is supporting numerous
moderate convection over the southeastern Gulf including the
Straits of Florida. A surface trough is also analyzed over the
Yucatan Peninsula and is supporting numerous moderate convection
over the eastern Bay of Campeche. Otherwise at the surface, weak
ridging prevails, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight
seas.

For the forecast, the aforementioned front will sag south tonight
into Mon, then meander over the north-central and northeast Gulf
through early next week, bringing showers and isolated
thunderstorms to the area. The stronger thunderstorms will induce
locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in
place will maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to
locally moderate seas through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough/ITCZ sections for
details on convection in the basin.

An upper level trough north of the area and tropical moisture
combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in
the NW Caribbean and the water between Hispaniola and Jamaica.
The subtropical ridge north of the islands continues to sustain
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas in the
central Caribbean, with locally strong winds just offshore of
Colombia. Elsewhere, locally fresh E winds are occurring in the
Gulf of Honduras. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas are evident elsewhere in the Caribbean.

For the forecast, the unsettled weather over the NW Caribbean will
continue into early next week. Otherwise, Atlantic high pressure
in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia will
support fresh to strong trades along with moderate to locally
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean through early next
week. Later, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas will prevail across the central and eastern
Caribbean through the workweek.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak stationary front extends from a 1012 mb low off NE Florida
to near Daytona Beach, Florida, with a surface trough extending
southward offshore Florida through the NW Bahamas. Both features
are leading to scattered thunderstorms N of Cuba and W of
75W. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs are also producing
scattered showers and thunderstorms N of 23.5N between 55W and
68.5W. The remainder of the SW North Atlantic is under the
influence of a subtropical ridge that maintains generally moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1031 mb near
41.5N36.5W. This ridge forces moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds and moderate to rough seas north of 20N and east of 58W.
Strong NE winds and rough seas are evident off Morocco due to a
tighter pressure gradient in the region. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned low pres will
track NE to E, dragging the front southward across much of
Florida. Behind the low, NE to E winds will increase to fresh to
strong N of the front, mainly N of 29N and W of 77W Sun night into
Tue. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in control of the
general weather pattern providing for a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
KRV

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

236
AXNT20 KNHC 310443
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Aug 31 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0443UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35.5W, south of 19N,
moving westward 5 to 10 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W, south of 18N,
moving westward around 20 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is now over the Eastern Pacific.
Please refer to the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion
for more details on this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16.5W and continues
southwestward to 10.5N41W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N41W to
13N59W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 15N
east of 28.5W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough reaches
across the far SW Caribbean. Isolated moderate convection is
ongoing S of 12N between 74W and 81W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak stationary front extends from the Florida Big Bend area to
the SE Louisiana coast. This front is producing isolated moderate
convection N of 28N. An upper level trough is supporting numerous
moderate convection over the southeastern Gulf including the
Straits of Florida. A surface trough is also analyzed over the
Yucatan Peninsula and is supporting numerous moderate convection
over the eastern Bay of Campeche. Otherwise at the surface, weak
ridging prevails, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight
seas.

For the forecast, the aforementioned front will sag south tonight
into Mon, then meander over the north-central and northeast Gulf
through early next week, bringing showers and isolated
thunderstorms to the area. The stronger thunderstorms will induce
locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in
place will maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to
locally moderate seas through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough/ITCZ sections for
details on convection in the basin.

An upper level trough north of the area and tropical moisture
combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in
the NW Caribbean and the water between Hispaniola and Jamaica.
The subtropical ridge north of the islands continues to sustain
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas in the
central Caribbean, with locally strong winds just offshore of
Colombia. Elsewhere, locally fresh E winds are occurring in the
Gulf of Honduras. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas are evident elsewhere in the Caribbean.

For the forecast, the unsettled weather over the NW Caribbean will
continue into early next week. Otherwise, Atlantic high pressure
in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia will
support fresh to strong trades along with moderate to locally
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean through early next
week. Later, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas will prevail across the central and eastern
Caribbean through the workweek.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak stationary front extends from a 1012 mb low off NE Florida
to near Daytona Beach, Florida, with a surface trough extending
southward offshore Florida through the NW Bahamas. Both features
are leading to scattered thunderstorms N of Cuba and W of
75W. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs are also producing
scattered showers and thunderstorms N of 23.5N between 55W and
68.5W. The remainder of the SW North Atlantic is under the
influence of a subtropical ridge that maintains generally moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1031 mb near
41.5N36.5W. This ridge forces moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds and moderate to rough seas north of 20N and east of 58W.
Strong NE winds and rough seas are evident off Morocco due to a
tighter pressure gradient in the region. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned low pres will
track NE to E, dragging the front southward across much of
Florida. Behind the low, NE to E winds will increase to fresh to
strong N of the front, mainly N of 29N and W of 77W Sun night into
Tue. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in control of the
general weather pattern providing for a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
KRV

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

371=20
AXNT20 KNHC 311005
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Aug 31 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0955 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning E of 35W: A tight pressure gradient between a 1030 mb
high pressure system west of the Azores and lower pressures over
NW Africa will support strong to gale-force N-NE winds and rough
to very rough seas in the Agadir region from 01/0600 UTC to at=20
least 01/1200 UTC. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas will
persist off Morocco into early Wed. For more details, refer to=20
the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!4EZYFye3EOAPU= CdXnr3U-g3Pm9ocvyfCQLtAeoYC01f-u7qpWkpGrVEXSPSNNumi3C6pTKSTX3-DHcGoZsWr1aYv= ePs$=20

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 37W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward at 10 kt. No significant convection is occurring=20
near this wave.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 67W, south of 18N,=20
moving westward around 20 kt. A few showers are noted near the
wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 102N30W and
10N44W. The ITCZ extends from 10N44W to 13N59W. Scattered=20
moderate convection is observed from 04N to 15N and east of=20
25W. Similar convection is found from 05N to 15N and between 42W
and 56W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak stationary front extends from the Florida Big Bend area to
the SE Louisiana coast. This front is producing isolated moderate
convection N of 28N. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are also noted in the Bay of Campeche. Otherwise at the surface,=20
weak ridging prevails, supporting moderate or weaker winds and=20
slight seas.
=20=20
For the forecast, the aforementioned front will sag south today=20
into early Mon, then meander over the north-central and northeast=20
Gulf through early next week, bringing showers and isolated=20
thunderstorms to the area. The stronger thunderstorms will induce=20
locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in=20
place will maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered over the central Atlantic and lower
pressures over northern South American continue to support fresh
to locally strong easterly winds in the south-central Caribbean.
Seas in these waters are 5-8 ft. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly breezes and slight to moderate seas are present in the
north-central, eastern Caribbean and also in the Bay of Honduras.
In the rest of the basin, light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail. An upper level trough over the SE United States sustains
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, the unsettled weather conditions in the NW=20
Caribbean will continue into Mon. A tropical wave moving across=20
the eastern Caribbean will produce some showers over the next few=20
days, reaching the central Caribbean today and the western=20
Caribbean Mon. Otherwise, Atlantic high pressure in combination=20
with low pressure over northern Colombia will support fresh to=20
strong trades along with moderate to locally rough seas across=20
much of the central Caribbean through this week. Later, moderate=20
to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas will prevail=20
across the central and eastern Caribbean through the workweek.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak stationary front extends from a 1012 mb low off NE Florida
to near Palm Coast, Florida, with a surface trough extending=20
southward offshore Florida through the NW Bahamas. Both features=20
are leading to scattered thunderstorms N of Cuba and W of 73W.=20
Farther east, a couple of surface troughs are also producing=20
scattered showers and thunderstorms N of 25N and between 55W and=20
70W. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas are noted west of
73W and north of 26N. The remainder of the SW North Atlantic is=20
under the influence of a subtropical ridge that maintains generally
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1030 mb high
pressure system west of the Azores. This ridge forces moderate to
locally strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas north of 18N
and east of 50W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are prevalent.
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the low pres will track NE to E,
dragging the front southward across much of Florida. Behind the=20
low, NE to E winds will increase to fresh to strong N of the front
and seas will build to locally rough, mainly N of 29N and W of=20
75W Sun night into early Tue. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain
in control of the general weather pattern providing for a gentle=20
to moderate anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
Delgado

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

372=20
AXNT20 KNHC 311005
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Aug 31 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0955 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning E of 35W: A tight pressure gradient between a 1030 mb
high pressure system west of the Azores and lower pressures over
NW Africa will support strong to gale-force N-NE winds and rough
to very rough seas in the Agadir region from 01/0600 UTC to at=20
least 01/1200 UTC. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas will
persist off Morocco into early Wed. For more details, refer to=20
the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!4f61SvNUpa9Mh= wRwPagr4BNjzl7GYZPm6eXxeXAn4GSynGxZW-3kDNgGA156qIobg9sInj3hlhp-EiG6W-KW-FAl= xZg$=20

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 37W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward at 10 kt. No significant convection is occurring=20
near this wave.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 67W, south of 18N,=20
moving westward around 20 kt. A few showers are noted near the
wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 102N30W and
10N44W. The ITCZ extends from 10N44W to 13N59W. Scattered=20
moderate convection is observed from 04N to 15N and east of=20
25W. Similar convection is found from 05N to 15N and between 42W
and 56W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak stationary front extends from the Florida Big Bend area to
the SE Louisiana coast. This front is producing isolated moderate
convection N of 28N. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are also noted in the Bay of Campeche. Otherwise at the surface,=20
weak ridging prevails, supporting moderate or weaker winds and=20
slight seas.
=20=20
For the forecast, the aforementioned front will sag south today=20
into early Mon, then meander over the north-central and northeast=20
Gulf through early next week, bringing showers and isolated=20
thunderstorms to the area. The stronger thunderstorms will induce=20
locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in=20
place will maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered over the central Atlantic and lower
pressures over northern South American continue to support fresh
to locally strong easterly winds in the south-central Caribbean.
Seas in these waters are 5-8 ft. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly breezes and slight to moderate seas are present in the
north-central, eastern Caribbean and also in the Bay of Honduras.
In the rest of the basin, light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail. An upper level trough over the SE United States sustains
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, the unsettled weather conditions in the NW=20
Caribbean will continue into Mon. A tropical wave moving across=20
the eastern Caribbean will produce some showers over the next few=20
days, reaching the central Caribbean today and the western=20
Caribbean Mon. Otherwise, Atlantic high pressure in combination=20
with low pressure over northern Colombia will support fresh to=20
strong trades along with moderate to locally rough seas across=20
much of the central Caribbean through this week. Later, moderate=20
to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas will prevail=20
across the central and eastern Caribbean through the workweek.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak stationary front extends from a 1012 mb low off NE Florida
to near Palm Coast, Florida, with a surface trough extending=20
southward offshore Florida through the NW Bahamas. Both features=20
are leading to scattered thunderstorms N of Cuba and W of 73W.=20
Farther east, a couple of surface troughs are also producing=20
scattered showers and thunderstorms N of 25N and between 55W and=20
70W. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas are noted west of
73W and north of 26N. The remainder of the SW North Atlantic is=20
under the influence of a subtropical ridge that maintains generally
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1030 mb high
pressure system west of the Azores. This ridge forces moderate to
locally strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas north of 18N
and east of 50W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are prevalent.
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the low pres will track NE to E,
dragging the front southward across much of Florida. Behind the=20
low, NE to E winds will increase to fresh to strong N of the front
and seas will build to locally rough, mainly N of 29N and W of=20
75W Sun night into early Tue. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain
in control of the general weather pattern providing for a gentle=20
to moderate anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
Delgado

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

562
AXNT20 KNHC 311826
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 31 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 38W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10 kt. No significant convection is occurring
near this wave.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 69W, south of 19N,
moving westward around 20 kt. A few showers are noted near the
wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 11N23W then
westward to near 10N41W. The ITCZ extends from 10N41W to 13N59W.
Scattered moderate convection is observed from 04N to 13N and
east of 25W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also
seen from 06N to 14N between 44W and 56W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is seen
generally S of 11N and W of 80W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak stationary front extends from the Florida Big Bend area to
the SE Texas coast. This front is producing isolated moderate
convection N of 28N and W of 92W. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are also across much of the Gulf N of 25N.
Otherwise at the surface, weak ridging prevails, supporting
moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, a weak mostly stationary front extends from
near Crystal River, Florida to the mouth of the Mississippi River
in southeast Louisiana. The front will sag south today into early
Mon, then meander over the north- central and northeast Gulf
through early next week, bringing showers and isolated
thunderstorms to the area. The stronger thunderstorms will induce
locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in
place will maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to
locally moderate seas through the period.


...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered over the central Atlantic and lower
pressures over northern South American continue to support fresh
to locally strong E to NE winds in the south-central Caribbean.
Seas in these waters are 5-8 ft. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly breezes and slight to moderate seas are present in the
north- central Caribbean and also in the Bay of Honduras. In the
rest of the basin, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving across the central
Caribbean will produce some showers over the next few days,
reaching the the western Caribbean Mon. Otherwise, Atlantic high
pressure in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia
will support fresh to strong trades along with moderate to locally
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean through this
week. Later, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas will prevail across the central and eastern Caribbean
through next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak stationary front extends from a 1011 mb low off NE Florida
to near Flagler Beach, Florida, with a surface trough extending
from the low southward offshore Florida through the NW Bahamas.
Both features are leading to scattered thunderstorms N of Cuba and
W of 71W. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs are also
producing scattered showers and thunderstorms N of 27N and
between 60W and 70W. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas
are noted west of 73W and north of 26N. The remainder of the SW
North Atlantic is under the influence of a subtropical ridge that
maintains generally moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1030 mb high
pressure system west of the Azores. This ridge forces moderate to
locally strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas north of 18N
and east of 50W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, a weak mostly stationary front
extends from a 1011 mb low off NE Florida to near Daytona Beach,
Florida, supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms along
and northeast of the northern Bahamas, which will continue through
early this week. The low pressure will track to the northeast,
dragging the front southward across much of Florida. Following the
low and north of the front off northeast Florida, expect fresh to
strong winds with moderate to rough seas through the early part
of the week. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in control of
the general weather pattern providing for a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
Adams

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

595=20
AXNT20 KNHC 311931 RRA
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 31 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning E of 35W: A tight pressure gradient between a 1030 mb
high pressure system west of the Azores and lower pressures over
NW Africa will support strong to gale-force N-NE winds and rough
to very rough seas in the Agadir region from 01/0600 UTC to at=20
least 01/1200 UTC. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas will
persist off Morocco into early Wed. For more details, refer to=20
the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!-AlFekn2-924q= wpe8PIvKy1NICyFg_Ue_cUt7YzTr_2x0IbUrzcTpk-ZeaKvFaU7pwjfqygTxkB6ASsBCZhx2kQw= krQ$=20

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 38W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward at 10 kt. No significant convection is occurring=20
near this wave.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 69W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward around 20 kt. A few showers are noted near the=20
wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 11N23W then
westward to near 10N41W. The ITCZ extends from 10N41W to 13N59W.=20
Scattered moderate convection is observed from 04N to 13N and=20
east of 25W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also
seen from 06N to 14N between 44W and 56W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is seen
generally S of 11N and W of 80W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak stationary front extends from the Florida Big Bend area to
the SE Texas coast. This front is producing isolated moderate=20
convection N of 28N and W of 92W. Scattered showers and isolated=20 thunderstorms are also across much of the Gulf N of 25N.=20
Otherwise at the surface, weak ridging prevails, supporting=20
moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.
=20=20
For the forecast, a weak mostly stationary front extends from=20
near Crystal River, Florida to the mouth of the Mississippi River=20
in southeast Louisiana. The front will sag south today into early=20
Mon, then meander over the north- central and northeast Gulf=20
through early next week, bringing showers and isolated=20
thunderstorms to the area. The stronger thunderstorms will induce=20
locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in=20
place will maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the period.=20


...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered over the central Atlantic and lower
pressures over northern South American continue to support fresh
to locally strong E to NE winds in the south-central Caribbean.=20
Seas in these waters are 5-8 ft. Moderate to locally fresh=20
easterly breezes and slight to moderate seas are present in the=20
north- central Caribbean and also in the Bay of Honduras. In the=20
rest of the basin, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.=20

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving across the central=20
Caribbean will produce some showers over the next few days,=20
reaching the the western Caribbean Mon. Otherwise, Atlantic high=20
pressure in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia=20
will support fresh to strong trades along with moderate to locally
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean through this=20
week. Later, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas will prevail across the central and eastern Caribbean=20
through next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak stationary front extends from a 1011 mb low off NE Florida
to near Flagler Beach, Florida, with a surface trough extending
from the low southward offshore Florida through the NW Bahamas.=20
Both features are leading to scattered thunderstorms N of Cuba and
W of 71W. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs are also=20
producing scattered showers and thunderstorms N of 27N and=20
between 60W and 70W. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas=20
are noted west of 73W and north of 26N. The remainder of the SW=20
North Atlantic is under the influence of a subtropical ridge that=20
maintains generally moderate or weaker winds and slight to=20
moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1030 mb high
pressure system west of the Azores. This ridge forces moderate to
locally strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas north of 18N
and east of 50W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are prevalent.
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak mostly stationary front=20
extends from a 1011 mb low off NE Florida to near Daytona Beach,=20
Florida, supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms along=20
and northeast of the northern Bahamas, which will continue through
early this week. The low pressure will track to the northeast,=20
dragging the front southward across much of Florida. Following the
low and north of the front off northeast Florida, expect fresh to
strong winds with moderate to rough seas through the early part=20
of the week. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in control of=20
the general weather pattern providing for a gentle to moderate=20
anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
Adams

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

596=20
AXNT20 KNHC 311931
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 31 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning E of 35W: A tight pressure gradient between a 1030 mb
high pressure system west of the Azores and lower pressures over
NW Africa will support strong to gale-force N-NE winds and rough
to very rough seas in the Agadir region from 01/0600 UTC to at=20
least 01/1200 UTC. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas will
persist off Morocco into early Wed. For more details, refer to=20
the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!6DbW5k2YaA-CY= OWOOMJs4BCouF07S2Wkc2J4QqOTUnYop_776czubNDpeQSTIVf66ouLlgmDYLDJ_pKaRGiYfphZ= upw$=20

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 38W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward at 10 kt. No significant convection is occurring=20
near this wave.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 69W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward around 20 kt. A few showers are noted near the=20
wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 11N23W then
westward to near 10N41W. The ITCZ extends from 10N41W to 13N59W.=20
Scattered moderate convection is observed from 04N to 13N and=20
east of 25W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also
seen from 06N to 14N between 44W and 56W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is seen
generally S of 11N and W of 80W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak stationary front extends from the Florida Big Bend area to
the SE Texas coast. This front is producing isolated moderate=20
convection N of 28N and W of 92W. Scattered showers and isolated=20 thunderstorms are also across much of the Gulf N of 25N.=20
Otherwise at the surface, weak ridging prevails, supporting=20
moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.
=20=20
For the forecast, a weak mostly stationary front extends from=20
near Crystal River, Florida to the mouth of the Mississippi River=20
in southeast Louisiana. The front will sag south today into early=20
Mon, then meander over the north- central and northeast Gulf=20
through early next week, bringing showers and isolated=20
thunderstorms to the area. The stronger thunderstorms will induce=20
locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in=20
place will maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the period.=20


...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered over the central Atlantic and lower
pressures over northern South American continue to support fresh
to locally strong E to NE winds in the south-central Caribbean.=20
Seas in these waters are 5-8 ft. Moderate to locally fresh=20
easterly breezes and slight to moderate seas are present in the=20
north- central Caribbean and also in the Bay of Honduras. In the=20
rest of the basin, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.=20

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving across the central=20
Caribbean will produce some showers over the next few days,=20
reaching the the western Caribbean Mon. Otherwise, Atlantic high=20
pressure in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia=20
will support fresh to strong trades along with moderate to locally
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean through this=20
week. Later, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas will prevail across the central and eastern Caribbean=20
through next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak stationary front extends from a 1011 mb low off NE Florida
to near Flagler Beach, Florida, with a surface trough extending
from the low southward offshore Florida through the NW Bahamas.=20
Both features are leading to scattered thunderstorms N of Cuba and
W of 71W. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs are also=20
producing scattered showers and thunderstorms N of 27N and=20
between 60W and 70W. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas=20
are noted west of 73W and north of 26N. The remainder of the SW=20
North Atlantic is under the influence of a subtropical ridge that=20
maintains generally moderate or weaker winds and slight to=20
moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1030 mb high
pressure system west of the Azores. This ridge forces moderate to
locally strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas north of 18N
and east of 50W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are prevalent.
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak mostly stationary front=20
extends from a 1011 mb low off NE Florida to near Daytona Beach,=20
Florida, supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms along=20
and northeast of the northern Bahamas, which will continue through
early this week. The low pressure will track to the northeast,=20
dragging the front southward across much of Florida. Following the
low and north of the front off northeast Florida, expect fresh to
strong winds with moderate to rough seas through the early part=20
of the week. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in control of=20
the general weather pattern providing for a gentle to moderate=20
anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
Adams

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

561
AXNT20 KNHC 311826
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 31 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 38W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10 kt. No significant convection is occurring
near this wave.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 69W, south of 19N,
moving westward around 20 kt. A few showers are noted near the
wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 11N23W then
westward to near 10N41W. The ITCZ extends from 10N41W to 13N59W.
Scattered moderate convection is observed from 04N to 13N and
east of 25W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also
seen from 06N to 14N between 44W and 56W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is seen
generally S of 11N and W of 80W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak stationary front extends from the Florida Big Bend area to
the SE Texas coast. This front is producing isolated moderate
convection N of 28N and W of 92W. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are also across much of the Gulf N of 25N.
Otherwise at the surface, weak ridging prevails, supporting
moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, a weak mostly stationary front extends from
near Crystal River, Florida to the mouth of the Mississippi River
in southeast Louisiana. The front will sag south today into early
Mon, then meander over the north- central and northeast Gulf
through early next week, bringing showers and isolated
thunderstorms to the area. The stronger thunderstorms will induce
locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in
place will maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to
locally moderate seas through the period.


...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered over the central Atlantic and lower
pressures over northern South American continue to support fresh
to locally strong E to NE winds in the south-central Caribbean.
Seas in these waters are 5-8 ft. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly breezes and slight to moderate seas are present in the
north- central Caribbean and also in the Bay of Honduras. In the
rest of the basin, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving across the central
Caribbean will produce some showers over the next few days,
reaching the the western Caribbean Mon. Otherwise, Atlantic high
pressure in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia
will support fresh to strong trades along with moderate to locally
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean through this
week. Later, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas will prevail across the central and eastern Caribbean
through next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak stationary front extends from a 1011 mb low off NE Florida
to near Flagler Beach, Florida, with a surface trough extending
from the low southward offshore Florida through the NW Bahamas.
Both features are leading to scattered thunderstorms N of Cuba and
W of 71W. Farther east, a couple of surface troughs are also
producing scattered showers and thunderstorms N of 27N and
between 60W and 70W. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas
are noted west of 73W and north of 26N. The remainder of the SW
North Atlantic is under the influence of a subtropical ridge that
maintains generally moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1030 mb high
pressure system west of the Azores. This ridge forces moderate to
locally strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas north of 18N
and east of 50W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, a weak mostly stationary front
extends from a 1011 mb low off NE Florida to near Daytona Beach,
Florida, supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms along
and northeast of the northern Bahamas, which will continue through
early this week. The low pressure will track to the northeast,
dragging the front southward across much of Florida. Following the
low and north of the front off northeast Florida, expect fresh to
strong winds with moderate to rough seas through the early part
of the week. Elsewhere, high pressure will remain in control of
the general weather pattern providing for a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic wind flow.

$$
Adams

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

523=20
AXNT20 KNHC 312104
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Sep 1 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning E of 35W: A tight pressure gradient between a 1030 mb
high pressure system west of the Azores and lower pressure over=20
NW Africa will support strong to gale-force N-NE winds and rough=20
to very rough seas in the Agadir region from 01/0600 UTC to at=20
least 01/1200 UTC. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas will=20
persist off Morocco into early Wed. For more details, refer to the
Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!7F9ccPNrBPdUz= HW7eWaschU6cYrh8JTWvyBE00PPxsXqClrkFjG88zBdS60MXnGGHxtYophIbp2vFHBF9CF1pofo= byk$=20

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 17/18W,=20
south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 15N between
13W and 20W.=20

The axis of an Atlantic tropical wave is near 39W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is noted
near this wave.

The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave is near 70W, south=20
of 19N, moving westward around 20 kt. Isolated moderate convection
is near the wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic off the coast of Africa
near 15N17W and continues to 11N22W to near 10N42W. The ITCZ=20
extends from 10N42W to 13N60W. Aside from convection noted in the
tropical waves section above, scattered moderate convection is
noted from 04N to 11N between 20W and 30W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak cold front extends from near Brooksville, Florida to=20
Galveston, Texas. Moderate winds prevail N of the front, where
seas are in the 2-3 ft range. Light to gentle winds, and seas of=20
1-2 ft prevail elsewhere.=20
=20=20
For the forecast, the front will continue to drift southward into
the central Gulf through Mon, then will stall and dissipate=20
through Tue. The front will be a focus for showers and=20
thunderstorms into mid week. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place
will maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the period.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Fresh to strong winds are noted over the south central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh winds are over the remainder of the central
Caribbean waters. Gentle to moderate winds are noted over the
remainder of the Caribbean waters, except light to gentle winds
over the far NW Caribbean. Seas are in the 6-8 ft range over the
south central Caribbean and 3-5 ft over the north central
Caribbean. Elsewhere, seas of 2-4 ft prevail.=20

For the forecast, Atlantic high pressure in combination with low=20
pressure over northern Colombia will support fresh to strong=20
trades along with moderate to locally rough seas across much of=20
the central Caribbean through this week.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends across the western Atlantic through=20
31N72W to near Fort Pierce, Florida. Moderate to fresh winds, and
seas of 4-7 ft prevail north of the front. Troughing prevails
elsewhere N of 20N and W of 35W. High pressure dominates the
waters N of 20N and E of 35W. Moderate to fresh winds are noted N
of 18N and E of 40W, reaching strong speeds off the coast of
Africa. Seas over these waters are in the 5-7 ft range. Elsewhere,
light to gentle winds, and seas of 3-5 ft prevail.=20=20
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will persist through most
of this week. Expect fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough
seas north of the front into Tue, along with scattered showers=20
and thunderstorms. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will dominate the
pattern from the central Atlantic through the Bahamas, supporting
gentle to moderate breezes and mostly moderate seas.

$$
AL

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

593=20
AXNT20 KNHC 312104
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Sep 1 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning E of 35W: A tight pressure gradient between a 1030 mb
high pressure system west of the Azores and lower pressure over=20
NW Africa will support strong to gale-force N-NE winds and rough=20
to very rough seas in the Agadir region from 01/0600 UTC to at=20
least 01/1200 UTC. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas will=20
persist off Morocco into early Wed. For more details, refer to the
Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://wwmiws.wmo.int__;!!DZ3fjg!6b0uaIg7RwN3s= exUTV3AJgfChiI3lkyta8xb0qgDXr5WxskQfBRHyr5JKmsmORxsUY_kXkzM6xVqU63Fn_mD3KP-= hf4$=20

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 17/18W,=20
south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 15N between
13W and 20W.=20

The axis of an Atlantic tropical wave is near 39W, south of 19N,=20
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is noted
near this wave.

The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave is near 70W, south=20
of 19N, moving westward around 20 kt. Isolated moderate convection
is near the wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic off the coast of Africa
near 15N17W and continues to 11N22W to near 10N42W. The ITCZ=20
extends from 10N42W to 13N60W. Aside from convection noted in the
tropical waves section above, scattered moderate convection is
noted from 04N to 11N between 20W and 30W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak cold front extends from near Brooksville, Florida to=20
Galveston, Texas. Moderate winds prevail N of the front, where
seas are in the 2-3 ft range. Light to gentle winds, and seas of=20
1-2 ft prevail elsewhere.=20
=20=20
For the forecast, the front will continue to drift southward into
the central Gulf through Mon, then will stall and dissipate=20
through Tue. The front will be a focus for showers and=20
thunderstorms into mid week. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place
will maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the period.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Fresh to strong winds are noted over the south central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh winds are over the remainder of the central
Caribbean waters. Gentle to moderate winds are noted over the
remainder of the Caribbean waters, except light to gentle winds
over the far NW Caribbean. Seas are in the 6-8 ft range over the
south central Caribbean and 3-5 ft over the north central
Caribbean. Elsewhere, seas of 2-4 ft prevail.=20

For the forecast, Atlantic high pressure in combination with low=20
pressure over northern Colombia will support fresh to strong=20
trades along with moderate to locally rough seas across much of=20
the central Caribbean through this week.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends across the western Atlantic through=20
31N72W to near Fort Pierce, Florida. Moderate to fresh winds, and
seas of 4-7 ft prevail north of the front. Troughing prevails
elsewhere N of 20N and W of 35W. High pressure dominates the
waters N of 20N and E of 35W. Moderate to fresh winds are noted N
of 18N and E of 40W, reaching strong speeds off the coast of
Africa. Seas over these waters are in the 5-7 ft range. Elsewhere,
light to gentle winds, and seas of 3-5 ft prevail.=20=20
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will persist through most
of this week. Expect fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough
seas north of the front into Tue, along with scattered showers=20
and thunderstorms. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will dominate the
pattern from the central Atlantic through the Bahamas, supporting
gentle to moderate breezes and mostly moderate seas.

$$
AL

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

689=20
AXNT20 KNHC 021101
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Sep 2 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1040 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 25W, from 03N to 18N,=20
moving westward at 10-15 kt. The broad disturbance is producing=20
scattered moderate and isolated strong convection from 04N to 15N
between 20W and 35W. Environmental conditions appear conducive=20
for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression=20
could form by the middle or latter part of this week. This system=20
is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 kt=20
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the=20
week. There is a low chance of tropical cyclone formation in the=20
next 48 hours, and a medium chance of formation in the next 7=20
days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!_lFW1Sn1xn= nVCK0txOR4YUf83ysHYea9oPMvzQsDkd59RytKugO1YkGaKBJhM7Jy-pbnyWap7ljcJphuFYjaE= 3L5JpY$ for more details.

A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic along 52W, from 05N to
19N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. The wave is embedded in a dry=20
Saharan airmass that is suppressing the development of showers and thunderstorms near the wave axis.

A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean along 86W, south of=20
19N, moving westward at 5-10 kt. There is no significant
convection associated with this wave at this time.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues to 11N25W to 09N41W. The=20
ITCZ extends from 09N41W to 10N49W and then from 10N53W to=20
10N61W. Aside from the convection associated with the tropical
waves, scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 11N between
15W and 25W, from 06N to 13N between 35W and 50W, and from 08N to
13N between 51W and 60W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends from Everglades City, Florida to=20
25N90W to Corpus Christi, Texas and continues to generate scattered
showers over the NE and NW Gulf offshore waters. Similar shower
activity is off Tampico, Mexico. A weak pressure gradient prevails
across the region, which support light to gentle variable winds
and slight seas basin-wide, except for moderate NE to E winds
over the NE Florida coastal waters.
=20=20
For the forecast, the stalled front will remain stationary while=20
it gradually dissipates through today. The front will be a focus=20
for showers and thunderstorms for the north-central and southeast=20
Gulf into mid-week. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place will=20
maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally=20
moderate seas through Sat night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge north of the islands is forcing moderate to
fresh easterly winds in the central Caribbean with periods of
locally strong winds off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela.=20
Seas in these waters are moderate in the 4-7 ft range. Moderate=20
or weaker breezes and slight seas are elsewhere. Otherwise, the
eastern extension of the monsoon trough is generating heavy
showers and tstms over the offshore waters of Colombia and eastern
Panama.=20

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving into eastern Honduras=20
and Nicaragua will move west of the basin through this morning.=20
Elsewhere, Atlantic high pressure building behind the tropical=20
wave and in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia=20
will support moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas=20
across much of the central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to=20
occasionally strong winds are expected to pulse at night off=20
Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela. In addition, moderate to
locally fresh winds will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through=20
the forecast period.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends across the western Atlantic through=20
31N73W to a 1009 mb low pressure off Jupiter Island, Florida.=20
Heavy showers and tstms are ahead of the front, affecting the
northern and central Bahamas and adjacent offshore waters. Winds
west and east of the front are moderate and seas are slight to
moderate in the vicinity of the front. The Azores High extends a
ridge across the remainder central and eastern subtropical waters
and support moderate or weaker winds west of 20W. East of 20W,
fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas prevail due to a
tighter pressure gradient with lower pressure over NW Africa.=20
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will persist=20
through Thu. Expect moderate to fresh NE winds with moderate seas=20
north of the front through this morning. Scattered showers and=20
thunderstorms associated with this frontal boundary will affect=20
the Florida seaboard, and the northern and central Bahamas through
Fri. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will dominate the pattern from
the central Atlantic through the Bahamas, supporting gentle to=20
moderate breezes and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
Ramos

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

688=20
AXNT20 KNHC 021100
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Sep 2 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1040 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 25W, from 03N to 18N,=20
moving westward at 10-15 kt. The broad disturbance is producing=20
scattered moderate and isolated strong convection from 04N to 15N
between 20W and 35W. Environmental conditions appear conducive=20
for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression=20
could form by the middle or latter part of this week. This system=20
is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 kt=20
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the=20
week. There is a low chance of tropical cyclone formation in the=20
next 48 hours, and a medium chance of formation in the next 7=20
days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!8intx4ViIW= FaSt25O-9l74Zz6URRwZoEbt1qE9IquPBjoG_T2zWqJaTVd46T1yJWKdh7cMIaPPrlw3OhgTQG5= v_SsZE$ for more details.

A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic along 52W, from 05N to
19N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. The wave is embedded in a dry=20
Saharan airmass that is suppressing the development of showers and thunderstorms near the wave axis.

A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean along 86W, south of=20
19N, moving westward at 5-10 kt. There is no significant
convection associated with this wave at this time.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues to 11N25W to 09N41W. The=20
ITCZ extends from 09N41W to 10N49W and then from 10N53W to=20
10N61W. Aside from the convection associated with the tropical
waves, scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 11N between
15W and 25W, from 06N to 13N between 35W and 50W, and from 08N to
13N between 51W and 60W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends from Everglades City, Florida to=20
25N90W to Corpus Christi, Texas and continues to generate scattered
showers over the NE and NW Gulf offshore waters. Similar shower
activity is off Tampico, Mexico. A weak pressure gradient prevails
across the region, which support light to gentle variable winds
and slight seas basin-wide, except for moderate NE to E winds
over the NE Florida coastal waters.
=20=20
For the forecast, the stalled front will remain stationary while=20
it gradually dissipates through today. The front will be a focus=20
for showers and thunderstorms for the north-central and southeast=20
Gulf into mid-week. Elsewhere, the weak gradient in place will=20
maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally=20
moderate seas through Sat night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge north of the islands is forcing moderate to
fresh easterly winds in the central Caribbean with periods of
locally strong winds off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela.=20
Seas in these waters are moderate in the 4-7 ft range. Moderate=20
or weaker breezes and slight seas are elsewhere. Otherwise, the
eastern extension of the monsoon trough is generating heavy
showers and tstms over the offshore waters of Colombia and eastern
Panama.=20

For the forecast, a tropical wave moving into eastern Honduras=20
and Nicaragua will move west of the basin through this morning.=20
Elsewhere, Atlantic high pressure building behind the tropical=20
wave and in combination with low pressure over northern Colombia=20
will support moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas=20
across much of the central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to=20
occasionally strong winds are expected to pulse at night off=20
Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela. In addition, moderate to
locally fresh winds will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through=20
the forecast period.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends across the western Atlantic through=20
31N73W to a 1009 mb low pressure off Jupiter Island, Florida.=20
Heavy showers and tstms are ahead of the front, affecting the
northern and central Bahamas and adjacent offshore waters. Winds
west and east of the front are moderate and seas are slight to
moderate in the vicinity of the front. The Azores High extends a
ridge across the remainder central and eastern subtropical waters
and support moderate or weaker winds west of 20W. East of 20W,
fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas prevail due to a
tighter pressure gradient with lower pressure over NW Africa.=20
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will persist=20
through Thu. Expect moderate to fresh NE winds with moderate seas=20
north of the front through this morning. Scattered showers and=20
thunderstorms associated with this frontal boundary will affect=20
the Florida seaboard, and the northern and central Bahamas through
Fri. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will dominate the pattern from
the central Atlantic through the Bahamas, supporting gentle to=20
moderate breezes and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
Ramos

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

953=20
AXNT20 KNHC 021800
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Sep 2 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1730 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is along=20
26.5W, from 18N southward, moving toward the west around 10 to 15=20
kt. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 08N to 14N=20
between 26N and 36W. Environmental conditions remain conducive for
gradual development of this system during the next several days,=20
and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this
weekend. This system is expected to initially move slowly=20
westward and then gradually accelerate westward to west-
northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central=20
tropical Atlantic into early next week. There is a low chance of=20
tropical formation within the next 48 hours, and a high chance=20
within the next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather=20
Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg= !8BVIFLxPhwJ_5vAWKqIDzEZw2sWeBo0rSu1KcX35Y3CaJoW2KHRI7JK8MVmtCcwWPRNfk-6Qg7= pzviMQa5EsMAZNsW8$ for more details.

The axis of a tropical wave in the central Atlantic is along 54W,
from 19N southward, moving toward the west around 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 07N to 13N=20
between 48W and 62W.=20

The axis of a tropical wave in the far western Caribbean is along=20
87W/88W from 19N southward, moving toward the west around 10 to=20
15 kt. No significant convection is occurring near this wave in=20
the Caribbean at this time.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 09N38W. The
ITCZ continues from 09N38W to 09N53W, and resumes from 09.5N54.5W
to 10.5N63W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 08N=20
to 12N east of 25W, and from 05N to 12N between 36W and 48W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary from extends from south Florida near 26N81W=20
northwestward through the central Gulf of America and to 28N97W=20
along the Texas coast. Scattered moderate convection is occurring=20
near this front, and gusty and erratic winds and rapidly building=20
seas are likely near thunderstorms. Recent scatterometer satellite
data show moderate NE winds are occurring north of the front in=20
the northeastern and north-central Gulf, and moderate W winds=20
occurring to the south through the Straits of Florida. Elsewhere,=20
gentle winds and slight seas are noted over the rest of the basin=20
as a weak pressure gradient prevails over the region.=20
=20=20
For the forecast, the aforementioned stationary front will=20
gradually dissipate through Wed. The front will continue to=20
generate scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, mainly=20
across the northern Gulf. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in=20
place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with slight to=20
locally moderate seas through Sat night.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between low pressure over northern Colombia
and the subtropical ridge to the north is maintaining moderate to
fresh trade winds across the west-central through eastern=20
Caribbean Sea, as observed on recent scatterometer satellite data.
Seas of 3 to 5 ft are noted over this region, with 6 to 7 ft seas
occurring offshore of northwestern Colombia. Gentle to moderate E
to SE winds and slight seas prevail over the northwestern=20
Caribbean. Otherwise, the eastern extension of the Pacific monsoon
trough is generating heavy showers and thunderstorms over the=20
southwestern basin offshore of Costa Rica through Panama.=20

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian=20
low will support moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
across much of the central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to=20
locally strong winds are expected to pulse at night off Colombia=20
and the Gulf of Venezuela through Fri. In addition, moderate to=20
fresh winds will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through the=20
forecast period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1009 mb low has been analyzed off the coast of central Florida=20
near 29N78W, and a stationary front extends to the southwest to=20
26N80W through the central Gulf of America, and to the northeast=20
to 31N73W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is occurring to
the east of these features, from north of Cuba to 28N and west of
73W, with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms noted=20
farther north to 31N. Recent scatterometer satellite data show=20
moderate to fresh NE winds are occurring north of the front=20
offshore of Florida, with locally strong winds noted north of 30N=20
and west of 79W. East of the front, moderate to locally fresh SW=20
winds and moderate seas prevail. Elsewhere, a surface trough has=20
been analyzed from 26N51W to 30N50W, and moderate to locally fresh
S to SE winds are occurring near this trough. The rest of the=20
Atlantic basin is dominated by a 1027 mb high centered near=20
35N28.5W, and ridging extends over the waters, maintaining=20
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas west of 20W. East of=20
20W, fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas prevail due=20
to a tighter pressure gradient with lower pressure over NW Africa.
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front
will persist through Thu. Moderate to locally fresh NE winds with
moderate seas are expected in the wake of the front through=20
tonight. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue to dominate=20
the weather pattern across the forecast waters, supporting gentle=20
to moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
ADAMS

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

954=20
AXNT20 KNHC 021800
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Sep 2 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1730 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is along=20
26.5W, from 18N southward, moving toward the west around 10 to 15=20
kt. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 08N to 14N=20
between 26N and 36W. Environmental conditions remain conducive for
gradual development of this system during the next several days,=20
and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this
weekend. This system is expected to initially move slowly=20
westward and then gradually accelerate westward to west-
northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central=20
tropical Atlantic into early next week. There is a low chance of=20
tropical formation within the next 48 hours, and a high chance=20
within the next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather=20
Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg= !9RnwFgUEF2nWqoU5RLoxZYW_UxPbeT8sf_oaAg9hR03TtY5L32RchOvb2D4GI_MZwCbKJMBr81= KRPvkAQnvuI9dMWjw$ for more details.

The axis of a tropical wave in the central Atlantic is along 54W,
from 19N southward, moving toward the west around 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 07N to 13N=20
between 48W and 62W.=20

The axis of a tropical wave in the far western Caribbean is along=20
87W/88W from 19N southward, moving toward the west around 10 to=20
15 kt. No significant convection is occurring near this wave in=20
the Caribbean at this time.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 09N38W. The
ITCZ continues from 09N38W to 09N53W, and resumes from 09.5N54.5W
to 10.5N63W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 08N=20
to 12N east of 25W, and from 05N to 12N between 36W and 48W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary from extends from south Florida near 26N81W=20
northwestward through the central Gulf of America and to 28N97W=20
along the Texas coast. Scattered moderate convection is occurring=20
near this front, and gusty and erratic winds and rapidly building=20
seas are likely near thunderstorms. Recent scatterometer satellite
data show moderate NE winds are occurring north of the front in=20
the northeastern and north-central Gulf, and moderate W winds=20
occurring to the south through the Straits of Florida. Elsewhere,=20
gentle winds and slight seas are noted over the rest of the basin=20
as a weak pressure gradient prevails over the region.=20
=20=20
For the forecast, the aforementioned stationary front will=20
gradually dissipate through Wed. The front will continue to=20
generate scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, mainly=20
across the northern Gulf. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in=20
place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with slight to=20
locally moderate seas through Sat night.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between low pressure over northern Colombia
and the subtropical ridge to the north is maintaining moderate to
fresh trade winds across the west-central through eastern=20
Caribbean Sea, as observed on recent scatterometer satellite data.
Seas of 3 to 5 ft are noted over this region, with 6 to 7 ft seas
occurring offshore of northwestern Colombia. Gentle to moderate E
to SE winds and slight seas prevail over the northwestern=20
Caribbean. Otherwise, the eastern extension of the Pacific monsoon
trough is generating heavy showers and thunderstorms over the=20
southwestern basin offshore of Costa Rica through Panama.=20

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian=20
low will support moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
across much of the central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to=20
locally strong winds are expected to pulse at night off Colombia=20
and the Gulf of Venezuela through Fri. In addition, moderate to=20
fresh winds will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through the=20
forecast period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1009 mb low has been analyzed off the coast of central Florida=20
near 29N78W, and a stationary front extends to the southwest to=20
26N80W through the central Gulf of America, and to the northeast=20
to 31N73W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is occurring to
the east of these features, from north of Cuba to 28N and west of
73W, with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms noted=20
farther north to 31N. Recent scatterometer satellite data show=20
moderate to fresh NE winds are occurring north of the front=20
offshore of Florida, with locally strong winds noted north of 30N=20
and west of 79W. East of the front, moderate to locally fresh SW=20
winds and moderate seas prevail. Elsewhere, a surface trough has=20
been analyzed from 26N51W to 30N50W, and moderate to locally fresh
S to SE winds are occurring near this trough. The rest of the=20
Atlantic basin is dominated by a 1027 mb high centered near=20
35N28.5W, and ridging extends over the waters, maintaining=20
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas west of 20W. East of=20
20W, fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas prevail due=20
to a tighter pressure gradient with lower pressure over NW Africa.
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front
will persist through Thu. Moderate to locally fresh NE winds with
moderate seas are expected in the wake of the front through=20
tonight. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue to dominate=20
the weather pattern across the forecast waters, supporting gentle=20
to moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
ADAMS

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

696=20
AXNT20 KNHC 022145
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Sep 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
2130 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is near=20
28W, from 18N southward, moving toward the west around 10 to 15=20
kt. The wave continues to produce disorganized showers and=20
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions remain conducive for=20
gradual development of this system during the next several days,=20
and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this
weekend. This system is expected to initially move slowly=20
westward and then gradually accelerate westward to west-
northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central=20
tropical Atlantic into early next week. There is a low chance of=20
tropical formation within the next 48 hours, and a high chance=20
within the next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather=20
Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg= !_S3_oRAg66kqRJvbtLoPF0XmOMbPWQAJIULaO7iKI4_jJDZFhX9r5KGTwd5weeBmiN0ZgTxpWh= V9ye2Acg0-LHDdSUg$ for more details.

The axis of a tropical wave in the central Atlantic is near 56W,=20
from 19N southward, moving toward the west around 15 to 20 kt.=20
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 10N to 15N=20
between 54W and 59W.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 18N16W and extends to 09N38W. The ITCZ continues=20
from 09N38W to 10N54W. Aside from convection noted in the tropical
waves section above, scattered moderate convection is noted from=20
08N to 12N east of 25W, and from 05N to 12N between 30W and 52W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A nearly stationary front extends from south Florida to near=20
Corpus Christi, Texas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of the front. Gentle to locally=20
moderate winds are N of the front, where seas are in the 2-3 ft=20
range. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 1-2 ft, are S of the
front.=20
=20=20
For the forecast, the front will gradually dissipate through Wed.
Then, a frontal trough will likely persist over the east- central
Gulf through Fri. This system will generate scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms, mainly across the northern half of the
basin. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in place will maintain
gentle to moderate winds with slight to locally moderate seas=20
through Sun. Looking ahead, winds may increase to fresh speeds=20
across the NW Gulf by Sun night.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between low pressure over northern Colombia
and the subtropical ridge to the north is supporting fresh to
strong winds over the south central Caribbean. Moderate winds are
elsewhere E of 80W. Light to gentle winds are found W of 80W. Seas
are in the 4-6 ft range in the south central Caribbean, and 1-3 ft elsewhere.=20=20

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian=20
low will support moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
across much of the central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to=20
locally strong winds are expected to pulse at night off Colombia=20
and the Gulf of Venezuela through Fri night. In addition, moderate
to locally fresh winds will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras=20
through the forecast period.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A nearly stationary front extends from 31N74W to the NW Bahamas=20
and south Florida. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is east of the front. Moderate to fresh winds prevail=20
NW of the front and within 120 nm SE of the front. Seas over these
waters are in the 4-6 ft range. High pressure prevails over the
remainder of the discussion waters N of 20N. Moderate to fresh
winds are noted E of 35W, reaching strong speeds off the coast of
Africa. Seas over these waters are in the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to
moderate winds, and seas of 3-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.=20
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will persist=20
over the NW waters. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue=20
to dominate the weather pattern across the forecast waters,=20
supporting gentle to moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
AL

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

697=20
AXNT20 KNHC 022145
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Sep 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
2130 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is near=20
28W, from 18N southward, moving toward the west around 10 to 15=20
kt. The wave continues to produce disorganized showers and=20
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions remain conducive for=20
gradual development of this system during the next several days,=20
and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this
weekend. This system is expected to initially move slowly=20
westward and then gradually accelerate westward to west-
northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central=20
tropical Atlantic into early next week. There is a low chance of=20
tropical formation within the next 48 hours, and a high chance=20
within the next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather=20
Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg= !8ILPUje49afWVCTJRpBiH7g2oXuB5aK9v_hWvTF8jtaqR7sppuDOw5jyXKhaAsWGg9l8jhP5Ok= 8iWlGpRWcs1fP-S_o$ for more details.

The axis of a tropical wave in the central Atlantic is near 56W,=20
from 19N southward, moving toward the west around 15 to 20 kt.=20
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 10N to 15N=20
between 54W and 59W.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 18N16W and extends to 09N38W. The ITCZ continues=20
from 09N38W to 10N54W. Aside from convection noted in the tropical
waves section above, scattered moderate convection is noted from=20
08N to 12N east of 25W, and from 05N to 12N between 30W and 52W.=20

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A nearly stationary front extends from south Florida to near=20
Corpus Christi, Texas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of the front. Gentle to locally=20
moderate winds are N of the front, where seas are in the 2-3 ft=20
range. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 1-2 ft, are S of the
front.=20
=20=20
For the forecast, the front will gradually dissipate through Wed.
Then, a frontal trough will likely persist over the east- central
Gulf through Fri. This system will generate scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms, mainly across the northern half of the
basin. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in place will maintain
gentle to moderate winds with slight to locally moderate seas=20
through Sun. Looking ahead, winds may increase to fresh speeds=20
across the NW Gulf by Sun night.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between low pressure over northern Colombia
and the subtropical ridge to the north is supporting fresh to
strong winds over the south central Caribbean. Moderate winds are
elsewhere E of 80W. Light to gentle winds are found W of 80W. Seas
are in the 4-6 ft range in the south central Caribbean, and 1-3 ft elsewhere.=20=20

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian=20
low will support moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
across much of the central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to=20
locally strong winds are expected to pulse at night off Colombia=20
and the Gulf of Venezuela through Fri night. In addition, moderate
to locally fresh winds will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras=20
through the forecast period.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A nearly stationary front extends from 31N74W to the NW Bahamas=20
and south Florida. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is east of the front. Moderate to fresh winds prevail=20
NW of the front and within 120 nm SE of the front. Seas over these
waters are in the 4-6 ft range. High pressure prevails over the
remainder of the discussion waters N of 20N. Moderate to fresh
winds are noted E of 35W, reaching strong speeds off the coast of
Africa. Seas over these waters are in the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to
moderate winds, and seas of 3-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.=20
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will persist=20
over the NW waters. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue=20
to dominate the weather pattern across the forecast waters,=20
supporting gentle to moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
AL

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

281=20
AXNT20 KNHC 030555
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Sep 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 28W from 19N=20
southward, and moving west around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is seen from 11N to 14N between 27W and 33W. There is=20
a low chance of formation within the next 2 days, and a high=20
chance within the next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical=20
Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;= !!DZ3fjg!_RCeVz63-uFC-V09HoCgrftPlx4Qyj4o52EQxuMM3MPEoET_SUW14_NuM23Ux23DKq= m5iodC_fo-Rxi6Uw4RbrsGUt4$ for more details.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 56W from 21N southward,=20
and moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is=20
occurring within 60 nm of 12N60W.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Mauritania
just south of Dakar then extends west-southwestward, passing=20
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands near 13N30W to 09N47W. An ITCZ
continues westward from 09N47W to 10N55W. Widely scattered
moderate convection is found south of the monsoon trough near the
coast of Guinea and Guinea-Bissau. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is flaring up near and south of the trough from
07N to 10N between 23W and 42W, and up to 150 nm along either side
of the ITCZ.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered showers and isolated strong thunderstorms in the
Caribbean waters offshore from the Nicaragua-Costa Rica border.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front curves west-northwestward from Florida Straits
to a 1012 mb low near 26N87W, then continues westward as a
dissipating stationary front to near the coastal border of Texas
and Mexico. Widely scattered moderate convection is present across
the central and southeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate NE to E=20
winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft are evident north of the front, and at
the eastern Bay of Campeche. Light to gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft
seas prevail for the rest of the Gulf.
=20=20
For the forecast, the western part of the stationary front will=20
dissipate Wed morning, while the eastern portion should gradually
transition into a frontal trough across the east-central Gulf=20
through Fri. This feature will continue to generate scattered to=20
numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms, mainly across the=20
northern half of the Gulf. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in
place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with slight to=20
locally moderate seas through Sun. Looking ahead, winds may=20
increase to fresh across the northwestern Gulf by Sun night.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A subtropical ridge extends southwestward from a 1026 mb high at
the central Atlantic near 34N40W across 31N47W to the northwestern
Caribbean Basin. Convergent SW to W winds are generating widely
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the lee of
Cuba and near southern Hispaniola. Convergent easterly winds are
producing scattered heavy showers and strong thunderstorms at the
southwestern Gulf of Honduras. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
section for additional convection in the basin. Light to gentle
winds and 1 to 2 ft seas are found at the northwestern basin.=20
Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and seas of 3 to 6 ft dominate the south-central, part of the southwestern basin, and the Gulf of=20
Honduras. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft=20
prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the aforementioned subtropical ridge combined=20
with lower pressures in northern Colombia will sustain moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much=20
of the central basin through Sat. Fresh to locally strong winds=20
are expected to pulse at night off Colombia and the Gulf of=20
Venezuela through Fri night. In addition, moderate to locally=20
fresh winds will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through the=20
the weekend.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends southwestward from off the Carolina
coast across 31N75W and a 1009 mb low at 30N76W to the Straits of
Florida. Convergent southerly winds east and south of the front=20
are causing scattered moderate to isolated strong convection north
of 24N between 69W and 76W, and across the Great Bahama Bank,
including the central Bahamas. An upper-level trough is creating
widely scattered moderate convection farther east, north of 21N
between 50W and 57W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical
Waves sections at the beginning for additional convection in the
Atlantic Basin west of 35W.=20

Moderate to fresh with locally strong southerly winds and seas of
5 to 6 ft are noted near the 1009 mb low from 27N to 31N between=20
71W and 74W. Moderate to fresh W to NW to N winds with 4 to 6 ft
seas are found west of the stationary front. Otherwise, the=20
subtropical ridge extending southwestward from a 1026 mb high near
34N40W to beyond the southeast Bahamas is supporting gentle to=20
moderate ENE to SE winds north of 10N between 35W and 71W. Gentle
to moderate with locally fresh SE to SW winds and 5 to 7 ft seas
in mixed moderate swell prevail for the remainder of the Atlantic
west of 35W.
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the moderate to fresh with locally
strong winds near the 1009 mb low will persist from tonight into=20
Wed. Showers and thunderstorms south and east of the front will
linger into Fri. Winds and seas could be higher near heavier
showers and thunderstorms. Elsewhere, the subtropical ridge will=20
continue to dominate the weather pattern across the western
Atlantic, supporting gentle to moderate winds and mostly moderate
seas.=20

$$

Chan

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

000=20
AXNT20 KNHC 031055
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Sep 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1025 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 kt. Scattered to numerous showers and isolated=20
thunderstorms are evident from 06N to 15N and between 21W and 38W. Environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual development
of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form late this week or this weekend. There is a low=20
chance of formation within the next 2 days, and a high chance=20
within the next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather=20
Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg= !6B9_vtE_8NbZYCz2MOVh7kT0KbdVk2qWa6zKmvfgjrqu_cColQvGMG7jZGRw3SPulPmzluEOCS= EY4AYKDZEmm0nq0Ng$ for more details.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 56W from 21N southward,=20
and moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is=20
occurring within 60 nm of 12N60W.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues to 14N27W and to 09N46W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N46W to 10N56W. Scattered moderate to=20
isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 13N and east of
20W. Similar convection is observed from 05N to 14N and between
38W and 57W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary frontal boundary over the north-central Gulf waters
continues to generate scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms, especially over the eastern Gulf. A weak high
pressure regime persists across the basin, sustaining light to
gentle winds and slight seas. However, mariners can expect
strongest winds and higher seas near the strongest storms.
=20=20
For the forecast, the front will gradually weaken today, becoming
a frontal trough and likely persisting over the east-central Gulf
through Fri. This system will continue to generate scattered to=20
numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms, mainly across the=20
northern half of the basin. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in
place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the forecast period.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A stationary front north of Cuba continues to support scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms that are also affecting the NW
Caribbean waters north of 20N. Similar convection is present in
the SW Caribbean. A subtropical ridge north of the islands
supports moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas across
much of the central Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will sustain moderate=20
to fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much
of the central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to locally strong=20
winds are expected to pulse at night off Colombia and the Gulf of=20
Venezuela through Fri night. In addition, moderate to locally=20
fresh E winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf
of Honduras through Sat.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from a 1009 mb low pressure near 31N75W
to the NW Bahamas and south Florida. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are affecting the waters east of the front
to 69W and north of Cuba and the Bahamas. Fresh to locally strong
southerly winds and moderate seas are found north of 25N and east
of the front to 70W. Farther east, a surface trough along 56W and
NE of the Leeward Islands is interacting with an upper level low
supporting scattered showers. The remainder of the basin is
dominated by a broad subtropical ridge centered south of the
Azores. This ridge sustains moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas over much of the tropical Atlantic.
However, a tighter pressure gradient in the far eastern Atlantic allows
for fresh to strong N-NE winds and rough seas east of 20W and=20
north of 18N.=20
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will
persist from the NW Atlantic to the NW Bahamas and south Florida=20
through at least Fri. The pressure gradient between the Atlantic=20
ridge and the front supports fresh to locally strong southerly=20
winds north of 25N and between 70W and 75W. These winds will=20
persist through late today. Unsettled weather conditions will=20
continue ahead of the front over the next few days. Stronger winds
and higher seas are likely near the strongest storms. Elsewhere,=20
the Atlantic ridge will continue to dominate the weather pattern=20
across the forecast waters, supporting gentle to moderate winds=20
and mostly moderate seas..=20

$$
Delgado

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

280=20
AXNT20 KNHC 030555
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Sep 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
0500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 28W from 19N=20
southward, and moving west around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is seen from 11N to 14N between 27W and 33W. There is=20
a low chance of formation within the next 2 days, and a high=20
chance within the next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical=20
Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;= !!DZ3fjg!5ergmmJ6dfmssLl_DLGQmcENnjX6U1ngihs5g4vWmNqv7r-XrHjMcxNmaQN-UyWJ2Z= VKEq8Y3gsaZs5msdiuzHmmziE$ for more details.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 56W from 21N southward,=20
and moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is=20
occurring within 60 nm of 12N60W.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Mauritania
just south of Dakar then extends west-southwestward, passing=20
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands near 13N30W to 09N47W. An ITCZ
continues westward from 09N47W to 10N55W. Widely scattered
moderate convection is found south of the monsoon trough near the
coast of Guinea and Guinea-Bissau. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is flaring up near and south of the trough from
07N to 10N between 23W and 42W, and up to 150 nm along either side
of the ITCZ.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered showers and isolated strong thunderstorms in the
Caribbean waters offshore from the Nicaragua-Costa Rica border.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front curves west-northwestward from Florida Straits
to a 1012 mb low near 26N87W, then continues westward as a
dissipating stationary front to near the coastal border of Texas
and Mexico. Widely scattered moderate convection is present across
the central and southeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate NE to E=20
winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft are evident north of the front, and at
the eastern Bay of Campeche. Light to gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft
seas prevail for the rest of the Gulf.
=20=20
For the forecast, the western part of the stationary front will=20
dissipate Wed morning, while the eastern portion should gradually
transition into a frontal trough across the east-central Gulf=20
through Fri. This feature will continue to generate scattered to=20
numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms, mainly across the=20
northern half of the Gulf. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in
place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with slight to=20
locally moderate seas through Sun. Looking ahead, winds may=20
increase to fresh across the northwestern Gulf by Sun night.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A subtropical ridge extends southwestward from a 1026 mb high at
the central Atlantic near 34N40W across 31N47W to the northwestern
Caribbean Basin. Convergent SW to W winds are generating widely
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the lee of
Cuba and near southern Hispaniola. Convergent easterly winds are
producing scattered heavy showers and strong thunderstorms at the
southwestern Gulf of Honduras. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
section for additional convection in the basin. Light to gentle
winds and 1 to 2 ft seas are found at the northwestern basin.=20
Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and seas of 3 to 6 ft dominate the south-central, part of the southwestern basin, and the Gulf of=20
Honduras. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft=20
prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the aforementioned subtropical ridge combined=20
with lower pressures in northern Colombia will sustain moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much=20
of the central basin through Sat. Fresh to locally strong winds=20
are expected to pulse at night off Colombia and the Gulf of=20
Venezuela through Fri night. In addition, moderate to locally=20
fresh winds will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through the=20
the weekend.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends southwestward from off the Carolina
coast across 31N75W and a 1009 mb low at 30N76W to the Straits of
Florida. Convergent southerly winds east and south of the front=20
are causing scattered moderate to isolated strong convection north
of 24N between 69W and 76W, and across the Great Bahama Bank,
including the central Bahamas. An upper-level trough is creating
widely scattered moderate convection farther east, north of 21N
between 50W and 57W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical
Waves sections at the beginning for additional convection in the
Atlantic Basin west of 35W.=20

Moderate to fresh with locally strong southerly winds and seas of
5 to 6 ft are noted near the 1009 mb low from 27N to 31N between=20
71W and 74W. Moderate to fresh W to NW to N winds with 4 to 6 ft
seas are found west of the stationary front. Otherwise, the=20
subtropical ridge extending southwestward from a 1026 mb high near
34N40W to beyond the southeast Bahamas is supporting gentle to=20
moderate ENE to SE winds north of 10N between 35W and 71W. Gentle
to moderate with locally fresh SE to SW winds and 5 to 7 ft seas
in mixed moderate swell prevail for the remainder of the Atlantic
west of 35W.
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the moderate to fresh with locally
strong winds near the 1009 mb low will persist from tonight into=20
Wed. Showers and thunderstorms south and east of the front will
linger into Fri. Winds and seas could be higher near heavier
showers and thunderstorms. Elsewhere, the subtropical ridge will=20
continue to dominate the weather pattern across the western
Atlantic, supporting gentle to moderate winds and mostly moderate
seas.=20

$$

Chan

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

036=20
AXNT20 KNHC 031055
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Sep 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1025 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 kt. Scattered to numerous showers and isolated=20
thunderstorms are evident from 06N to 15N and between 21W and 38W. Environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual development
of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form late this week or this weekend. There is a low=20
chance of formation within the next 2 days, and a high chance=20
within the next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather=20
Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg= !7MBXSrovgoeCCVFG7IZDKuhuU7265P7zyB6wKFBzZ9bV89P9RIb6A7W2D7Hzrz1ymclXDtXsXL= JynrWuhFxRM-4306E$ for more details.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 56W from 21N southward,=20
and moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is=20
occurring within 60 nm of 12N60W.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues to 14N27W and to 09N46W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N46W to 10N56W. Scattered moderate to=20
isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 13N and east of
20W. Similar convection is observed from 05N to 14N and between
38W and 57W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary frontal boundary over the north-central Gulf waters
continues to generate scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms, especially over the eastern Gulf. A weak high
pressure regime persists across the basin, sustaining light to
gentle winds and slight seas. However, mariners can expect
strongest winds and higher seas near the strongest storms.
=20=20
For the forecast, the front will gradually weaken today, becoming
a frontal trough and likely persisting over the east-central Gulf
through Fri. This system will continue to generate scattered to=20
numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms, mainly across the=20
northern half of the basin. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient in
place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with slight to=20
locally moderate seas through the forecast period.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A stationary front north of Cuba continues to support scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms that are also affecting the NW
Caribbean waters north of 20N. Similar convection is present in
the SW Caribbean. A subtropical ridge north of the islands
supports moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas across
much of the central Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will sustain moderate=20
to fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much
of the central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to locally strong=20
winds are expected to pulse at night off Colombia and the Gulf of=20
Venezuela through Fri night. In addition, moderate to locally=20
fresh E winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf
of Honduras through Sat.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from a 1009 mb low pressure near 31N75W
to the NW Bahamas and south Florida. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are affecting the waters east of the front
to 69W and north of Cuba and the Bahamas. Fresh to locally strong
southerly winds and moderate seas are found north of 25N and east
of the front to 70W. Farther east, a surface trough along 56W and
NE of the Leeward Islands is interacting with an upper level low
supporting scattered showers. The remainder of the basin is
dominated by a broad subtropical ridge centered south of the
Azores. This ridge sustains moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas over much of the tropical Atlantic.
However, a tighter pressure gradient in the far eastern Atlantic allows
for fresh to strong N-NE winds and rough seas east of 20W and=20
north of 18N.=20
=20
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will
persist from the NW Atlantic to the NW Bahamas and south Florida=20
through at least Fri. The pressure gradient between the Atlantic=20
ridge and the front supports fresh to locally strong southerly=20
winds north of 25N and between 70W and 75W. These winds will=20
persist through late today. Unsettled weather conditions will=20
continue ahead of the front over the next few days. Stronger winds
and higher seas are likely near the strongest storms. Elsewhere,=20
the Atlantic ridge will continue to dominate the weather pattern=20
across the forecast waters, supporting gentle to moderate winds=20
and mostly moderate seas..=20

$$
Delgado

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

751=20
AXNT20 KNHC 031755
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Sep 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Atlantic Tropical Wave: An eastern Atlantic tropical wave
is along 32W, south of 19N, moving westward at 10 kt. Numerous=20
moderate convection is observed from 06N to 15N between 24W and=20
37W. Environmental conditions remain conducive for additional=20
development of this system during the next several days, and a=20
tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this=20
weekend. This system is expected to move westward to west-
northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central=20
tropical Atlantic into early next week. There is a medium chance=20
of formation within the next 2 days, and a high chance within the=20
next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!7RINHvnrWf= Hto-C3gxqhrXcFtHS7_acf7G-EupaT_e5Z8cBtSYhlR4ubIXhZMt9H6KCCPf9DtFj7L0ukK4BF-= hH0JPo$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 58W from 21N southward,=20
and moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is=20
occurring from 10N to 15N between 51W and 58W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Senegal near 15N17W and continues to 13N20W and to 11N40W. The=20
ITCZ extends from 11N40W to 10.5N56W. Scattered moderate to=20
isolated strong convection is noted from 07N to 14N and east of=20
23W. More scattered moderate convection is seen from 09N to 13N
between 43W and 50W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is seen generally S of 13N and W of 80W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A dissipating stationary front and a remnant frontal trough extend
from the Florida Straits across the central to NW Gulf. Numerous
moderate and isolated strong convection are seen from 23N to 28N
and E of 91W in the Gulf. Outside of convection, weak ridging
across the basin maintains moderate or weaker winds and seas of
1-3 ft.
=20=20
For the forecast, a nearly stationary front extending from the=20
Florida Keys to the north-central Gulf near 27N90W will gradually=20
weaken today, becoming a frontal trough and likely persisting over
the east-central Gulf through Fri. This system will continue to=20
generate scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms,
mainly across the eastern part of the basin. Elsewhere, a weak=20
pressure gradient in place will maintain gentle to moderate winds=20
with slight to locally moderate seas through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A frontal boundary running through the Florida Straits continues=20
to support scattered moderate convection along the S coast of
Cuba. Other convection in the basin is associated with the East
Pacific monsoon trough. Otherwise, the pressure gradient between
weak ridging in the NE Caribbean and the 1011 mb Colombia Low
maintains moderate to fresh trades and 4-6 ft seas in the south-
central Caribbean. The remainder of the Caribbean is seeing
moderate or weaker trades and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge centered west of the Azores=20
near 34N37W combined with lower pressures in northern Colombia=20
will sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds along with=20
moderate seas across much of the central Caribbean through Sat.=20
Fresh to locally strong winds are expected to pulse at night off=20
Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela through Fri night. In addition,
moderate to locally fresh E winds and slight to moderate seas=20
will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through Sat night.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1009 mb low near 32N74W southwestward
through the northern Bahamas and the Florida Straits. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is seen N of Cuba between
the front and 72W. Moderate to fresh SSW winds and 5-8 ft seas are
ahead of the front out to about 65W and N of 23N. Farther east, a
surface trough is analyzed from 27N55W to 22N57W, with scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms seen generally within 200 nm=20
of the trough axis.=20

Much of the remaining Atlantic is under the influence of a=20
subtropical ridge, stemming from the 1026 mb Bermuda-Azores high.=20 Scatterometer and altimeter data confirm moderate to fresh trades=20
and moderate seas across much of the Atlantic N of 10N. Areas=20
north of 20N and E of 20W are seeing fresh to locally strong=20
trades and seas of 6-8 ft. Much of the remaining Atlantic is=20
seeing gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, a nearly stationary front will=20
persist across the NW part of the forecast region extending SW=20
across the NW Bahamas and the Florida Keys. The pressure gradient=20
between the Atlantic ridge and the front supports an area of fresh
to strong southerly winds with moderate to rough seas north of=20
27N and between 70W and 73W. These winds will persist through late
today. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms E of the=20
front are affecting the Bahamas, the Straits of Florida and Cuba.=20
Unsettled weather conditions will continue ahead of the front over
the next few days. Stronger winds and higher seas are likely near
the strongest storms. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue
to dominate the weather pattern across the forecast waters,=20
supporting gentle to moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$=20
Adams

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

749=20
AXNT20 KNHC 031755
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Sep 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Atlantic Tropical Wave: An eastern Atlantic tropical wave
is along 32W, south of 19N, moving westward at 10 kt. Numerous=20
moderate convection is observed from 06N to 15N between 24W and=20
37W. Environmental conditions remain conducive for additional=20
development of this system during the next several days, and a=20
tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this=20
weekend. This system is expected to move westward to west-
northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central=20
tropical Atlantic into early next week. There is a medium chance=20
of formation within the next 2 days, and a high chance within the=20
next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at=20 https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!7sPOCcNRMQ= _Zd8_4uWBhmS3wLp14YYMLaZD3Oi8Hi2fLF0JPNblDa96skbT2lWZBkP56wOvrDbz-UZWhv4rpW= 3j1k-U$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 58W from 21N southward,=20
and moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is=20
occurring from 10N to 15N between 51W and 58W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Senegal near 15N17W and continues to 13N20W and to 11N40W. The=20
ITCZ extends from 11N40W to 10.5N56W. Scattered moderate to=20
isolated strong convection is noted from 07N to 14N and east of=20
23W. More scattered moderate convection is seen from 09N to 13N
between 43W and 50W.

The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is seen generally S of 13N and W of 80W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A dissipating stationary front and a remnant frontal trough extend
from the Florida Straits across the central to NW Gulf. Numerous
moderate and isolated strong convection are seen from 23N to 28N
and E of 91W in the Gulf. Outside of convection, weak ridging
across the basin maintains moderate or weaker winds and seas of
1-3 ft.
=20=20
For the forecast, a nearly stationary front extending from the=20
Florida Keys to the north-central Gulf near 27N90W will gradually=20
weaken today, becoming a frontal trough and likely persisting over
the east-central Gulf through Fri. This system will continue to=20
generate scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms,
mainly across the eastern part of the basin. Elsewhere, a weak=20
pressure gradient in place will maintain gentle to moderate winds=20
with slight to locally moderate seas through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A frontal boundary running through the Florida Straits continues=20
to support scattered moderate convection along the S coast of
Cuba. Other convection in the basin is associated with the East
Pacific monsoon trough. Otherwise, the pressure gradient between
weak ridging in the NE Caribbean and the 1011 mb Colombia Low
maintains moderate to fresh trades and 4-6 ft seas in the south-
central Caribbean. The remainder of the Caribbean is seeing
moderate or weaker trades and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge centered west of the Azores=20
near 34N37W combined with lower pressures in northern Colombia=20
will sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds along with=20
moderate seas across much of the central Caribbean through Sat.=20
Fresh to locally strong winds are expected to pulse at night off=20
Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela through Fri night. In addition,
moderate to locally fresh E winds and slight to moderate seas=20
will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras through Sat night.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1009 mb low near 32N74W southwestward
through the northern Bahamas and the Florida Straits. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is seen N of Cuba between
the front and 72W. Moderate to fresh SSW winds and 5-8 ft seas are
ahead of the front out to about 65W and N of 23N. Farther east, a
surface trough is analyzed from 27N55W to 22N57W, with scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms seen generally within 200 nm=20
of the trough axis.=20

Much of the remaining Atlantic is under the influence of a=20
subtropical ridge, stemming from the 1026 mb Bermuda-Azores high.=20 Scatterometer and altimeter data confirm moderate to fresh trades=20
and moderate seas across much of the Atlantic N of 10N. Areas=20
north of 20N and E of 20W are seeing fresh to locally strong=20
trades and seas of 6-8 ft. Much of the remaining Atlantic is=20
seeing gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, a nearly stationary front will=20
persist across the NW part of the forecast region extending SW=20
across the NW Bahamas and the Florida Keys. The pressure gradient=20
between the Atlantic ridge and the front supports an area of fresh
to strong southerly winds with moderate to rough seas north of=20
27N and between 70W and 73W. These winds will persist through late
today. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms E of the=20
front are affecting the Bahamas, the Straits of Florida and Cuba.=20
Unsettled weather conditions will continue ahead of the front over
the next few days. Stronger winds and higher seas are likely near
the strongest storms. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue
to dominate the weather pattern across the forecast waters,=20
supporting gentle to moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$=20
Adams

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

793=20
AXNT20 KNHC 032131
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Sep 4 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
2130 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic a few
hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde islands continues
to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions remain conducive for additional development of this
system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form late this week or this weekend. This system is
expected to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic into early next
week. There is a medium chance of formation within the next 2=20
days, and a high chance within the next 7 days. Refer to the=20
latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://w= ww.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!_1o-GEvfc5Idznbwg90b6LvP-N2zjAYWB90Ijv0tEpiK7c= TP00CUNVSUBIW2tprPXdfLDAv6gsNMnah8ZnZV5rTLyl8$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 33W, from
01N to 19N, moving westward at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 10N to 16N
between 30W and 36W. Please see SPECIAL FEATURES above for the
potential of tropical development associated with this tropical
wave.=20

The axis of a central Atlantic tropical wave is near 59W from 21N
southward, and moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate=20
convection is noted from 12N to 16N between 52W and 59W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Senegal near 15N16W and continues to 11N33W and to 11N47W. The=20
ITCZ continues from 11N47W to 11N56W. Aside from convection noted
in the tropical waves section above, scattered moderate to=20
isolated strong convection is noted from 07N to 13N east of 28W,
and from 10N to 13N between 38W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A frontal trough extends from the Florida Keys to the north-=20
central Gulf near 25N93W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of this trough over the eastern
Gulf. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 1-3 ft, prevail over=20
the Gulf waters.
=20=20
For the forecast, the frontal trough will persist over the east-=20
central Gulf through Fri. This system will continue to generate=20
scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms, mainly=20
across the eastern part of the basin. Elsewhere, a weak pressure=20
gradient in place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with=20
slight to locally moderate seas through the forecast period.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between ridging N of the area and the=20
Colombia low is supporting moderate to fresh trades and seas in=20
the 4-5 ft range in the south- central Caribbean. Moderate or
weaker trades, and slight seas prevail over the remainder of the
Caribbean waters.=20

For the forecast, The Atlantic ridge, anchored by a 1026 mb high=20
located SW of the Azores near 34N37W, combined with lower=20
pressures in northern Colombia will sustain moderate to fresh=20
easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of the=20
central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to locally strong winds are=20
expected to pulse at night off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela=20
through Fri night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E winds=20
and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras=20
through Sat night.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1010 mb low centered near 33N72W SE to
the straits of Florida. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of the front. Moderate to fresh=20
winds, and seas of 4-7 ft, are on either side of the front N of=20
27N. High pressure dominates the remainder of the waters N of 20N,
anchored by a 1026 mb high located SW of the Azores near 34N37W.
Moderate to fresh winds prevail over the waters E of 35W, reaching
strong speeds off the coast of Africa. Seas over these waters are
in the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft,
prevail elsewhere.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, the frontal boundary will persist=20
across the NW part of the forecast region and E of Florida likely
through Sat. The front will shift westward as the Atlantic high=20
pressure moves also westward over the next two or three days. The=20
pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the front=20
supports an area of fresh to strong southerly winds with moderate=20
to rough seas north of 27N and between 70W and 73W. These winds=20
will diminish to 20 kt or less by this evening. Scattered to=20
numerous showers and thunderstorms E of the front are affecting=20
the Bahamas, south Florida, the Straits of Florida and Cuba.=20
Unsettled weather conditions will continue ahead of the front over
the next few days. Stronger winds and higher seas are likely near
the strongest storms. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue
to dominate the weather pattern across the forecast waters,=20
supporting gentle to moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
AL

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

041=20
AXNT20 KNHC 032131
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Sep 4 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
2130 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic a few
hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde islands continues
to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions remain conducive for additional development of this
system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form late this week or this weekend. This system is
expected to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic into early next
week. There is a medium chance of formation within the next 2=20
days, and a high chance within the next 7 days. Refer to the=20
latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://w= ww.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!98cK3leualJGEZDcFxcL01dFSNY9ZokLExjXf9CAZFlgk8= 5J3X2cSfcRJPeonyO1lRERehdScqdNpRBfrk7vi07ybFA$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 33W, from
01N to 19N, moving westward at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 10N to 16N
between 30W and 36W. Please see SPECIAL FEATURES above for the
potential of tropical development associated with this tropical
wave.=20

The axis of a central Atlantic tropical wave is near 59W from 21N
southward, and moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate=20
convection is noted from 12N to 16N between 52W and 59W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of=20
Senegal near 15N16W and continues to 11N33W and to 11N47W. The=20
ITCZ continues from 11N47W to 11N56W. Aside from convection noted
in the tropical waves section above, scattered moderate to=20
isolated strong convection is noted from 07N to 13N east of 28W,
and from 10N to 13N between 38W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A frontal trough extends from the Florida Keys to the north-=20
central Gulf near 25N93W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of this trough over the eastern
Gulf. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 1-3 ft, prevail over=20
the Gulf waters.
=20=20
For the forecast, the frontal trough will persist over the east-=20
central Gulf through Fri. This system will continue to generate=20
scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms, mainly=20
across the eastern part of the basin. Elsewhere, a weak pressure=20
gradient in place will maintain gentle to moderate winds with=20
slight to locally moderate seas through the forecast period.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between ridging N of the area and the=20
Colombia low is supporting moderate to fresh trades and seas in=20
the 4-5 ft range in the south- central Caribbean. Moderate or
weaker trades, and slight seas prevail over the remainder of the
Caribbean waters.=20

For the forecast, The Atlantic ridge, anchored by a 1026 mb high=20
located SW of the Azores near 34N37W, combined with lower=20
pressures in northern Colombia will sustain moderate to fresh=20
easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of the=20
central Caribbean through Sat. Fresh to locally strong winds are=20
expected to pulse at night off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela=20
through Fri night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E winds=20
and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of Honduras=20
through Sat night.=20

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1010 mb low centered near 33N72W SE to
the straits of Florida. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of the front. Moderate to fresh=20
winds, and seas of 4-7 ft, are on either side of the front N of=20
27N. High pressure dominates the remainder of the waters N of 20N,
anchored by a 1026 mb high located SW of the Azores near 34N37W.
Moderate to fresh winds prevail over the waters E of 35W, reaching
strong speeds off the coast of Africa. Seas over these waters are
in the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft,
prevail elsewhere.=20

For the forecast west of 55W, the frontal boundary will persist=20
across the NW part of the forecast region and E of Florida likely
through Sat. The front will shift westward as the Atlantic high=20
pressure moves also westward over the next two or three days. The=20
pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the front=20
supports an area of fresh to strong southerly winds with moderate=20
to rough seas north of 27N and between 70W and 73W. These winds=20
will diminish to 20 kt or less by this evening. Scattered to=20
numerous showers and thunderstorms E of the front are affecting=20
the Bahamas, south Florida, the Straits of Florida and Cuba.=20
Unsettled weather conditions will continue ahead of the front over
the next few days. Stronger winds and higher seas are likely near
the strongest storms. Elsewhere, the Atlantic ridge will continue
to dominate the weather pattern across the forecast waters,=20
supporting gentle to moderate winds and mostly moderate seas.=20

$$
AL

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

919=20
AXNT20 KNHC 051811
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Sep 5 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1805 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 35.7W from 17N southward
to 06N, with a a broad 1011 mb low near 11.8N35.7W along the axis,
drifting W at less than 5 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is seen from 11N to 16N between 35W and 40W. Shower
and thunderstorm activity is currently limited and disorganized=20
in association with a tropical wave over the central tropical=20
Atlantic. Although upper-level winds are generally favorable for=20 development, environmental dry air is likely to limit development=20
over the next couple of days. However, a tropical depression could
still form early next week as the system moves westward at around
10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. This system is=20
likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to latter part
of next week, and interests there should monitor its progress.=20
There is a medium chance of formation within the next 2 days, and=20
a high chance within the next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC=20
Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurrican= es.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!43jwcpsaTJWE9PafW4OWgRlpzFmzfU6FVr10GRmWjzDQQUG_MsundfH77= YruqlbpGNR7N2Buu4gKXcy_XxzeEg027nE$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave (AL91) that is likely to become a tropical
depression by this weekend.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 66W from Puerto Rico=20
to central Venezuela, moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate=20
convection is noted along the wave from 13N to 16.5N between 65W
and 67W.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W, then extends=20 west-southwestward through a 1011 mb low pressure near 11.8N35.7W
to 08.5N48.5W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection=20
is present south of the monsoon trough from 05N to 11N between 21W
and 30W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 11N
between 40W and 49W.=20

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous strong convection across the Caribbean waters S of 13.5N,
near Costa Rica, Panama, and Colombia.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A trough persists from the northeast Gulf to the central Gulf,=20
anchored by 1012 mb low pressure near 27N86W. Scattered moderate=20
convection is associated with this trough from 27N to 29N between
83W and 86.6W. An upper level trough is supporting numerous to=20
isolated strong convection over the SE Gulf. Outside of=20
convection, light to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft prevail=20
over the Gulf.
=20=20
For the forecast, a trough persists from the northeast Gulf to=20
the central Gulf, anchored by 1012 mb low pressure near 27N86W.=20
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with these=20
features. Farther south, an upper trough is supporting numerous=20 thunderstorms over the far southeast Gulf. Otherwise, a weak=20
pressure gradient over the basin will lead to moderate or weaker=20
winds and generally slight seas into early next week. A cold front
will move into the northern Gulf late Sun, then stall early next=20
week over northern waters.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough sections above for
information on convection being caused by those features.=20
Convergent trades are coupling with an upper- level trough in the=20
vicinity to trigger isolated moderate convection across waters=20
near Cuba, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Haiti. A tradewind=20
dominant regime prevails over the basin, with generally moderate=20
easterly winds, fresh over the central basin, and gentle in the=20
NW. Seas are 4 to 7 ft in the central Caribbean, 3 to 5 ft in the
east and SW, and 1 to 3 ft in the NW.=20

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic=20
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to=20
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central Caribbean into early Sun. Fresh to locally strong=20
winds are expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight and Sat night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E=20
winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of=20
Honduras through Sat night. Looking ahead, there is a medium=20
chance low pressure currently in the eastern Atlantic may develop=20
into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours, and a high chance=20
it will develop through the next seven days at it moves westward.=20
At a minimum, this feature may bring strong winds and rough seas=20
to the Atlantic waters east of the Leeward Islands by the middle=20
of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about the potential=20
for tropical cyclone development in the tropical Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from 31N73.5W to the northern Bahamas.=20
Scattered moderate convection is noted along the front including=20
the northern Bahamas. Farther east, a weak 1019 mb low pressure=20
centered near 25.5N60.5W is causing scattered moderate convection=20
from 20N to 29N between 57W and 64.5W. Refer to the Monsoon=20
Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at the beginning for=20
additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.=20

Light to gentle E winds are west of the stationary front. While
moderate SE winds are found ahead of the front. A large dome of=20
1027 mb high at the central Atlantic is supporting moderate with=20
locally fresh E winds and 4 to 6 ft seas north of 10N between 25W=20
and 60W. In the far eastern Atlantic, E of 25W, fresh to locally=20
strong NE winds and seas of 7 to 10 ft prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front=20
will meander from 31N75W to the northern Bahamas into the start of
next week, bringing showers and thunderstorms to that region,=20
along with locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the=20
Bermuda ridge will dominate weather through the forecast period,=20
bringing gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.=20

$$ KRV

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

920=20
AXNT20 KNHC 051811
TWDAT=20

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Sep 5 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through=20
1805 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 35.7W from 17N southward
to 06N, with a a broad 1011 mb low near 11.8N35.7W along the axis,
drifting W at less than 5 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is seen from 11N to 16N between 35W and 40W. Shower
and thunderstorm activity is currently limited and disorganized=20
in association with a tropical wave over the central tropical=20
Atlantic. Although upper-level winds are generally favorable for=20 development, environmental dry air is likely to limit development=20
over the next couple of days. However, a tropical depression could
still form early next week as the system moves westward at around
10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. This system is=20
likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to latter part
of next week, and interests there should monitor its progress.=20
There is a medium chance of formation within the next 2 days, and=20
a high chance within the next 7 days. Refer to the latest NHC=20
Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurrican= es.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!_RqAhuOn36EFQ7-v6YvBch9FeGTpBbKxZmFuZthhxehsjt6nC6pbE5uGy= JZ2KEHRzxJ1KdORW6CPnLMznQgDDy4AkmQ$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Refer to the Special Features section above on an eastern=20
Atlantic tropical wave (AL91) that is likely to become a tropical
depression by this weekend.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 66W from Puerto Rico=20
to central Venezuela, moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate=20
convection is noted along the wave from 13N to 16.5N between 65W
and 67W.=20

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...=20

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W, then extends=20 west-southwestward through a 1011 mb low pressure near 11.8N35.7W
to 08.5N48.5W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection=20
is present south of the monsoon trough from 05N to 11N between 21W
and 30W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 11N
between 40W and 49W.=20

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous strong convection across the Caribbean waters S of 13.5N,
near Costa Rica, Panama, and Colombia.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A trough persists from the northeast Gulf to the central Gulf,=20
anchored by 1012 mb low pressure near 27N86W. Scattered moderate=20
convection is associated with this trough from 27N to 29N between
83W and 86.6W. An upper level trough is supporting numerous to=20
isolated strong convection over the SE Gulf. Outside of=20
convection, light to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft prevail=20
over the Gulf.
=20=20
For the forecast, a trough persists from the northeast Gulf to=20
the central Gulf, anchored by 1012 mb low pressure near 27N86W.=20
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with these=20
features. Farther south, an upper trough is supporting numerous=20 thunderstorms over the far southeast Gulf. Otherwise, a weak=20
pressure gradient over the basin will lead to moderate or weaker=20
winds and generally slight seas into early next week. A cold front
will move into the northern Gulf late Sun, then stall early next=20
week over northern waters.=20

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough sections above for
information on convection being caused by those features.=20
Convergent trades are coupling with an upper- level trough in the=20
vicinity to trigger isolated moderate convection across waters=20
near Cuba, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Haiti. A tradewind=20
dominant regime prevails over the basin, with generally moderate=20
easterly winds, fresh over the central basin, and gentle in the=20
NW. Seas are 4 to 7 ft in the central Caribbean, 3 to 5 ft in the
east and SW, and 1 to 3 ft in the NW.=20

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic=20
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to=20
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central Caribbean into early Sun. Fresh to locally strong=20
winds are expected to pulse off Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight and Sat night. In addition, moderate to locally fresh E=20
winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in the Gulf of=20
Honduras through Sat night. Looking ahead, there is a medium=20
chance low pressure currently in the eastern Atlantic may develop=20
into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours, and a high chance=20
it will develop through the next seven days at it moves westward.=20
At a minimum, this feature may bring strong winds and rough seas=20
to the Atlantic waters east of the Leeward Islands by the middle=20
of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about the potential=20
for tropical cyclone development in the tropical Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from 31N73.5W to the northern Bahamas.=20
Scattered moderate convection is noted along the front including=20
the northern Bahamas. Farther east, a weak 1019 mb low pressure=20
centered near 25.5N60.5W is causing scattered moderate convection=20
from 20N to 29N between 57W and 64.5W. Refer to the Monsoon=20
Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at the beginning for=20
additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.=20

Light to gentle E winds are west of the stationary front. While
moderate SE winds are found ahead of the front. A large dome of=20
1027 mb high at the central Atlantic is supporting moderate with=20
locally fresh E winds and 4 to 6 ft seas north of 10N between 25W=20
and 60W. In the far eastern Atlantic, E of 25W, fresh to locally=20
strong NE winds and seas of 7 to 10 ft prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front=20
will meander from 31N75W to the northern Bahamas into the start of
next week, bringing showers and thunderstorms to that region,=20
along with locally hazardous winds and seas. Elsewhere, the=20
Bermuda ridge will dominate weather through the forecast period,=20
bringing gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.=20

$$ KRV

=3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

323
AXNT20 KNHC 061030
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Sep 6 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 39W from 16N southward
through a broad 1011 mb low near 12N39W. These features are
moving west around 5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 10N to 15N between 35W and 42W. Although relatively dry air
will limit potential tropical development of this system over the
next couple of days, environmental conditions may become
marginally favorable thereafter. A tropical depression could form
during the early and middle part of next week. There is a low
chance of development within the next 48 hours and a medium
chance of tropical cyclone formation over the next 7 days. The
system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to
latter part of next week, and interests there should monitor its
progress.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W from Hispaniola
southward into NW Venezuela, moving W at around 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is along and ahead of the wave to 75W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered moderate to strong convection in the SW Caribbean S of
11N offshore Colombia and Panama.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Mauritian coast
near 20N16W then continues SW to low pressure at 12N39W and to
09N49W. The ITCZ extends west from 09N49W to 10N59W. Numerous
moderate convection is noted from 06N to 11N between 26W and 35W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 13N between 42W
and 47W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Low pressure of 1012 mb is centered near 26N87W, with a surface
trough extending eastward into Florida. Associated convection has
diurnally waned, leaving the convection generally dry early this
morning. Gentle to locally moderate SW winds are present in the SW
Gulf, where seas are 2 to 4 ft. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
and seas of 1 to 2 ft dominate.

For the forecast, the low pressure, surface trough, and associated
showers and thunderstorms over the NE Gulf will prevail this
weekend. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas
through early next week. A cold front will move into the northern
Gulf late Sun, then stall and replace the trough over the
northeast and central Gulf early next week, continuing unsettled
weather over the region.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Convergent trades are coupling with an upper-level trough in the
vicinity to trigger scattered moderate convection in the vicinity
of the Cayman Islands and western Cuba. Refer to the Tropical
Waves sections for information on additional convection in the
Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh E tradewinds and seas of 4 to 6
ft are present in the eastern and central basin. Elsewhere, mainly
gentle winds prevail, with seas of 3 to 5 ft in the SW Caribbean,
and 2 to 4 ft in the NW.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central Caribbean into early Sun. In addition, moderate to
locally fresh E winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in
the Gulf of Honduras through tonight. Looking ahead, a tropical
wave currently in the eastern Atlantic may bring strong winds and
rough seas to the Atlantic waters east of the Leeward Islands by
the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends SSW from 31N77W to the NW Bahamas.
Scattered moderate convection associated with this feature is
present W of 75W. To the east, an upper-level low and reflective
surface trough are inducing scattered moderate convection N of 23N
between 60W and 67W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and
Tropical Waves sections for information on additional convection
in the Atlantic Basin. W of 65W, gentle winds and seas of 2 to 4
ft ar present. For waters E of 65W, a tradewind dominant regime is
leading to widespread moderate to locally fresh winds, with seas
of 5 to 7 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough extending into
the NW Bahamas will meander over the far NW waters this weekend
and be reinforced by a weak cold front that will stall over the
same area early next week. This will keep showers and
thunderstorms along with locally hazards winds and seas in place
offshore Florida and north of the Bahamas during this time.
Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will dominate weather through the
forecast period, bringing gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas.

$$
Konarik

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

322
AXNT20 KNHC 061030
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Sep 6 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 39W from 16N southward
through a broad 1011 mb low near 12N39W. These features are
moving west around 5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 10N to 15N between 35W and 42W. Although relatively dry air
will limit potential tropical development of this system over the
next couple of days, environmental conditions may become
marginally favorable thereafter. A tropical depression could form
during the early and middle part of next week. There is a low
chance of development within the next 48 hours and a medium
chance of tropical cyclone formation over the next 7 days. The
system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to
latter part of next week, and interests there should monitor its
progress.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W from Hispaniola
southward into NW Venezuela, moving W at around 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is along and ahead of the wave to 75W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered moderate to strong convection in the SW Caribbean S of
11N offshore Colombia and Panama.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Mauritian coast
near 20N16W then continues SW to low pressure at 12N39W and to
09N49W. The ITCZ extends west from 09N49W to 10N59W. Numerous
moderate convection is noted from 06N to 11N between 26W and 35W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 13N between 42W
and 47W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Low pressure of 1012 mb is centered near 26N87W, with a surface
trough extending eastward into Florida. Associated convection has
diurnally waned, leaving the convection generally dry early this
morning. Gentle to locally moderate SW winds are present in the SW
Gulf, where seas are 2 to 4 ft. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
and seas of 1 to 2 ft dominate.

For the forecast, the low pressure, surface trough, and associated
showers and thunderstorms over the NE Gulf will prevail this
weekend. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas
through early next week. A cold front will move into the northern
Gulf late Sun, then stall and replace the trough over the
northeast and central Gulf early next week, continuing unsettled
weather over the region.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Convergent trades are coupling with an upper-level trough in the
vicinity to trigger scattered moderate convection in the vicinity
of the Cayman Islands and western Cuba. Refer to the Tropical
Waves sections for information on additional convection in the
Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh E tradewinds and seas of 4 to 6
ft are present in the eastern and central basin. Elsewhere, mainly
gentle winds prevail, with seas of 3 to 5 ft in the SW Caribbean,
and 2 to 4 ft in the NW.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central Caribbean into early Sun. In addition, moderate to
locally fresh E winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail in
the Gulf of Honduras through tonight. Looking ahead, a tropical
wave currently in the eastern Atlantic may bring strong winds and
rough seas to the Atlantic waters east of the Leeward Islands by
the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends SSW from 31N77W to the NW Bahamas.
Scattered moderate convection associated with this feature is
present W of 75W. To the east, an upper-level low and reflective
surface trough are inducing scattered moderate convection N of 23N
between 60W and 67W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and
Tropical Waves sections for information on additional convection
in the Atlantic Basin. W of 65W, gentle winds and seas of 2 to 4
ft ar present. For waters E of 65W, a tradewind dominant regime is
leading to widespread moderate to locally fresh winds, with seas
of 5 to 7 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough extending into
the NW Bahamas will meander over the far NW waters this weekend
and be reinforced by a weak cold front that will stall over the
same area early next week. This will keep showers and
thunderstorms along with locally hazards winds and seas in place
offshore Florida and north of the Bahamas during this time.
Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will dominate weather through the
forecast period, bringing gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas.

$$
Konarik

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

292
AXNT20 KNHC 061647
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Sep 6 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1647 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 38.6W from 17N
southward. This wave is moving west at around 5 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 34W and 39W.
Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for
development, and the chances of this system becoming a tropical
depression are decreasing. The wave is expected to move generally
westward at 10 to 15 kt, and will likely be near the Lesser
Antilles by the middle part of next week. Interests there should
monitor its progress. There is a low chance of development within
the next 48 hours and in the next 7 days.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W from Hispaniola
southward into NW Venezuela, moving W at around 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 14N to 18N between 69W and 73W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N17W then continues
SW 09N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to
10.5N between 27W and 34W. Similar convection is also depicted
from 07.5N to 13N and east of 18.5W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous moderate to scattered strong convection in the SW
Caribbean S of 14N offshore of Colombia and Panama.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Low pressure of 1013 mb is centered near 28N87W, with a surface
trough extending SE into SE Gulf. Scattered moderate convection
is depicted near the low center and over the SE Gulf. Another
surface trough extends from 27.5N95W to 24N88W. Scattered moderate
convection is found along this trough. Gentle to locally moderate
SE winds are present in the SW Gulf, where seas are 2 to 4 ft.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft dominate.

For the forecast, a trough persists from the northeast Gulf to
the central Gulf, anchored by 1013 mb low pressure near 28N87W.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with these
features. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas through
early next week. A cold front will move into the northern Gulf
late Sun, then stall and replace the trough over the northeast and
central Gulf early next week, accompanied by scattered showers
and thunderstorms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Refer to the Tropical Waves and the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ sections
for information on convection in the Caribbean Sea. Moderate to
locally fresh E tradewinds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are present in
the eastern and central basin. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds
prevail, with seas of 2 to 4 ft in the SW and NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central Caribbean into early Sun. Looking ahead, a tropical
wave currently in the eastern Atlantic may bring strong winds and
rough seas to the Atlantic waters east of the Leeward Islands by
the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends SSW from 31N77W to the NW Bahamas.
Scattered moderate convection associated with this feature is
present W of 75W. To the east, an upper-level low and reflective
surface trough are inducing scattered moderate convection N of 22N
between 62W and 69W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and
Tropical Waves sections for information on additional convection
in the Atlantic Basin. W of 65W, gentle winds and seas of 2 to 4
ft are present. For waters E of 65W, a tradewind dominant regime
is leading to widespread moderate to locally fresh winds, with
seas of 5 to 8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, a trough off northeast Florida will
persist into Mon, ahead of a cold front that move into the area
by late Mon. The front will stall off northeast Florida Tue. This
will keep showers and thunderstorms along with locally hazards
winds and seas in place offshore Florida and north of the Bahamas
during this time. Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will dominate
weather through the forecast period, bringing gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas.


$$
KRV

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

293
AXNT20 KNHC 061647
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Sep 6 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1647 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 38.6W from 17N
southward. This wave is moving west at around 5 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 34W and 39W.
Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for
development, and the chances of this system becoming a tropical
depression are decreasing. The wave is expected to move generally
westward at 10 to 15 kt, and will likely be near the Lesser
Antilles by the middle part of next week. Interests there should
monitor its progress. There is a low chance of development within
the next 48 hours and in the next 7 days.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W from Hispaniola
southward into NW Venezuela, moving W at around 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 14N to 18N between 69W and 73W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N17W then continues
SW 09N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to
10.5N between 27W and 34W. Similar convection is also depicted
from 07.5N to 13N and east of 18.5W.

The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous moderate to scattered strong convection in the SW
Caribbean S of 14N offshore of Colombia and Panama.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Low pressure of 1013 mb is centered near 28N87W, with a surface
trough extending SE into SE Gulf. Scattered moderate convection
is depicted near the low center and over the SE Gulf. Another
surface trough extends from 27.5N95W to 24N88W. Scattered moderate
convection is found along this trough. Gentle to locally moderate
SE winds are present in the SW Gulf, where seas are 2 to 4 ft.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft dominate.

For the forecast, a trough persists from the northeast Gulf to
the central Gulf, anchored by 1013 mb low pressure near 28N87W.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with these
features. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas through
early next week. A cold front will move into the northern Gulf
late Sun, then stall and replace the trough over the northeast and
central Gulf early next week, accompanied by scattered showers
and thunderstorms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Refer to the Tropical Waves and the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ sections
for information on convection in the Caribbean Sea. Moderate to
locally fresh E tradewinds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are present in
the eastern and central basin. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds
prevail, with seas of 2 to 4 ft in the SW and NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central Caribbean into early Sun. Looking ahead, a tropical
wave currently in the eastern Atlantic may bring strong winds and
rough seas to the Atlantic waters east of the Leeward Islands by
the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends SSW from 31N77W to the NW Bahamas.
Scattered moderate convection associated with this feature is
present W of 75W. To the east, an upper-level low and reflective
surface trough are inducing scattered moderate convection N of 22N
between 62W and 69W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and
Tropical Waves sections for information on additional convection
in the Atlantic Basin. W of 65W, gentle winds and seas of 2 to 4
ft are present. For waters E of 65W, a tradewind dominant regime
is leading to widespread moderate to locally fresh winds, with
seas of 5 to 8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, a trough off northeast Florida will
persist into Mon, ahead of a cold front that move into the area
by late Mon. The front will stall off northeast Florida Tue. This
will keep showers and thunderstorms along with locally hazards
winds and seas in place offshore Florida and north of the Bahamas
during this time. Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will dominate
weather through the forecast period, bringing gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas.


$$
KRV

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

660
AXNT20 KNHC 062258
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Sep 7 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 40W from 17N southward.
This wave is moving west at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 13N between 38W and 42W.
Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for
development, and the chances of this system becoming a tropical
depression continue to diminish. The wave is expected to move
generally westward at 10 to 15 kt, and will likely be near the
Lesser Antilles by the middle part of next week. Interests there
should monitor its progress. There is a low chance of development
within the next 48 hours and in the next 7 days.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W from Hispaniola
southward into NW Venezuela, moving W at around 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted over Hispaniola.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N17W then continues
SW to 09N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 300 nm
on either side of the boundary.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Low pressure of 1013 mb is centered near 27N87W, with a surface
trough extending SE into SE Gulf. Scattered moderate convection is
depicted near the low/trough. To the W, another surface trough
extends from 28N94W to 25N90W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted along this trough. Gentle to moderate SE winds are present
in the SW Gulf, with moderate seas. Elsewhere, light to gentle
winds and slight seas dominate.

For the forecast, the trough will persist from the northeast Gulf
to the central Gulf, anchored by 1013 mb low pressure near
27N87W. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas through
early next week. A cold front will move into the northern Gulf
late Sun, then stall and replace the trough over the northeast and
central Gulf early next week, accompanied by scattered showers
and thunderstorms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Moderate to fresh E tradewinds and moderate seas are present in
the eastern and central basin. Elsewhere, gentle winds will prevail,
with moderate seas in the SW and NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to fresh
easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of the
central Caribbean into early Sun. Moderate winds and seas will
follow elsewhere through mid week, except for gentle breezes and
slight seas over the northwest Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends SSW from 31N77W to 25N80W. Scattered
moderate convection associated with this feature is present W of
75W. To the east, an upper-level low and a surface trough are
inducing scattered moderate convection N of 22N between 62W and
70W. W of 65W, gentle winds and moderate seas are present. For
waters E of 65W, a tradewind dominant regime is leading to
widespread moderate to locally fresh winds, with rough seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the trough off northeast Florida
will persist into Mon, ahead of a cold front that move into the
area by late Mon. The front will stall off northeast Florida Tue.
This will keep showers and thunderstorms along with locally
hazards winds and seas in place offshore Florida and north of the
Bahamas during this time. Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will
dominate weather through the forecast period, bringing gentle to
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.

$$
ERA

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

659
AXNT20 KNHC 062258
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Sep 7 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 40W from 17N southward.
This wave is moving west at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 13N between 38W and 42W.
Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for
development, and the chances of this system becoming a tropical
depression continue to diminish. The wave is expected to move
generally westward at 10 to 15 kt, and will likely be near the
Lesser Antilles by the middle part of next week. Interests there
should monitor its progress. There is a low chance of development
within the next 48 hours and in the next 7 days.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W from Hispaniola
southward into NW Venezuela, moving W at around 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted over Hispaniola.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N17W then continues
SW to 09N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 300 nm
on either side of the boundary.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Low pressure of 1013 mb is centered near 27N87W, with a surface
trough extending SE into SE Gulf. Scattered moderate convection is
depicted near the low/trough. To the W, another surface trough
extends from 28N94W to 25N90W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted along this trough. Gentle to moderate SE winds are present
in the SW Gulf, with moderate seas. Elsewhere, light to gentle
winds and slight seas dominate.

For the forecast, the trough will persist from the northeast Gulf
to the central Gulf, anchored by 1013 mb low pressure near
27N87W. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
lead to moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas through
early next week. A cold front will move into the northern Gulf
late Sun, then stall and replace the trough over the northeast and
central Gulf early next week, accompanied by scattered showers
and thunderstorms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Moderate to fresh E tradewinds and moderate seas are present in
the eastern and central basin. Elsewhere, gentle winds will prevail,
with moderate seas in the SW and NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to fresh
easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of the
central Caribbean into early Sun. Moderate winds and seas will
follow elsewhere through mid week, except for gentle breezes and
slight seas over the northwest Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends SSW from 31N77W to 25N80W. Scattered
moderate convection associated with this feature is present W of
75W. To the east, an upper-level low and a surface trough are
inducing scattered moderate convection N of 22N between 62W and
70W. W of 65W, gentle winds and moderate seas are present. For
waters E of 65W, a tradewind dominant regime is leading to
widespread moderate to locally fresh winds, with rough seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the trough off northeast Florida
will persist into Mon, ahead of a cold front that move into the
area by late Mon. The front will stall off northeast Florida Tue.
This will keep showers and thunderstorms along with locally
hazards winds and seas in place offshore Florida and north of the
Bahamas during this time. Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will
dominate weather through the forecast period, bringing gentle to
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.

$$
ERA

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

825
AXNT20 KNHC 070606
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Sep 7 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 41W from 17N southward,
and moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 11N to 14N between 39W and 44W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 74W from near the
Windward Passage southward into northern Colombia. It is moving
west around 15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are seen over western Cuba, Hispaniola, the Windward Passage and
near northwestern Colombia.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Mauritian
near Nouamghar and curves southwest to 10N30W, then continues
westward to 09N49W. An ITCZ continues from 09N49W to north of
Guyana at 10N59W. Widely scattered moderate convection is found
south of the trough from 05N to 08N between 18W and 34W. Scattered
moderate convection is present near and up to 80 nm north of the
ITCZ between 49W and 51W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak frontal boundary extends east-northeastward from southern
Texas across the coast of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the
Florida Panhandle. Isolated thunderstorms are noted off the Texas
coast. A surface trough meanders southwestward from northeastern
Florida through a 1012 mb low near 21N85W to the central Gulf at
26N92W. Convergent SW winds near and south of the trough are
triggering widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms at
the east- central Gulf and Florida Straits. Gentle to moderate NE
to E winds and 2 to 3 ft seas are evident near the Florida Big
Bend and at the eastern Bay of Campeche. Light to gentle winds and
seas of 1 to 2 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient over the Gulf will
allow moderate or weaker winds and generally slight seas to
persist through early next week. The aforementioned frontal
boundary will move southward into the northern Gulf as a cold
front late Sun, then stall and replace the trough over the
northeastern and central Gulf early next week, accompanied by
scattered showers and thunderstorms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A mid-level trough is combining with modest convergent trades to
produce widely scattered moderate convection across the western
basin, including the Gulf of Honduras and near the Yucatan Channel
Modest convergent trades are causing isolated thunderstorms at
the northeastern basin. Refer to the Tropical Waves section for
additional weather in the Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh ENE to
SE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are evident at the south-central
basin. Gentle to moderate easterly winds and 3 to 5 ft seas
dominate the north-central basin. Gentle with locally moderate E
winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft are noted at the eastern basin and
Gulf of Honduras. Light to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft
prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds along with moderate seas across much of
the central basin into early Sun. Moderate winds and seas will
then prevail across most of the basin through mid week, except for
gentle breezes and slight seas over the northwestern basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Convergent southerly winds feeding toward a persistent surface
trough over northern Florida are producing widely scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms from the northwest Bahamas
northward and west of 75W. Farther east, an upper-level trough and
its reflected surface trough are generating scattered moderate
convection from 22N to 28N between 66W and 72W. At the central
Atlantic, another upper-level trough is creating similar
convection from 25N to 28N between 55W and 62W. Refer to the
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections for additional
convection in the Atlantic Basin.

Gentle to moderate SE to S winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft are
present north of 20N and west of 70W. Farther east, a large dome
of 1029 mb high at the north-central Atlantic is supporting
moderate to fresh NE to SE winds and 4 to 7 ft seas north of 12N
between 35W and 70W/Lesser Antilles. For the remainder of the
Atlantic Basin west of 35W, gentle with locally moderate SE to SW
winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft in mixed moderate swells prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the trough over northern Florida
will persist into Mon, ahead of a cold front that move into the
area by late Mon. The front will stall off northeast Florida Tue.
This will keep showers and thunderstorms along with locally
hazardous winds and seas in place offshore Florida and north of
the Bahamas during this time. Elsewhere, the Bermuda ridge will
dominate weather through midweek next week, sustaining gentle to
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.

$$

Chan

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)