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  • FORECAST: Tropical Depression Seven Forecast/advisory Number 1

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Sep 17 08:34:47 2025
    683
    WTNT22 KNHC 170834
    TCMAT2

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072025
    0900 UTC WED SEP 17 2025

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 45.9W AT 17/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 45.9W AT 17/0900Z
    AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 45.5W

    FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.8N 47.4W
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.6N 49.6W
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
    34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.0N 51.9W
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
    34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 19.7N 54.0W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.4N 55.9W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 21.6N 57.6W
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
    34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 24.0N 60.0W
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
    34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 90NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 26.9N 63.0W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
    34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 45.9W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z

    $$
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



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