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  • FORECAST: Tropical Storm Gabrielle Forecast/advisory Number 2

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-atlan@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Sep 17 14:56:36 2025
    917
    WTNT22 KNHC 171456
    TCMAT2

    TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072025
    ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
    1500 UTC WED SEP 17 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 46.6W AT 17/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 19 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
    34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
    4 M SEAS....120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 46.6W AT 17/1500Z
    AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 46.3W

    FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.5N 48.5W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.8N 50.6W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...150NE 120SE 0SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.8N 52.6W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...150NE 120SE 0SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.7N 54.6W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.5N 56.6W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...150NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 24.7N 58.3W
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
    34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 27.4N 60.8W
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
    34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 90NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 30.0N 62.5W
    MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
    50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
    34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 46.6W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

    $$
    FORECASTER TAYLOR/BLAKE



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